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Think i might be right when i predicted a foot of snow by monday..

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Been a proper clear crisp winters morning, low of -1c, frosty and sunny with a thaw as temps rise. Still quietly optimistic for some decent snow tomorrow, especially as it'll be my first snow of the winter! Is it bad that I'm slightly excited, even though I know it could still go wrong for here? 😁

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Guess met office waiting for later model runs before amber warnings

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This morning on metoffice I was down for heavy snow in Magor from 5pm tommorow and through night. Now it is just sleet and rain, apart from 1 HR at 8pm 😔

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1 minute ago, alijoe said:

This morning on metoffice I was down for heavy snow in Magor from 5pm tommorow and through night. Now it is just sleet and rain, apart from 1 HR at 8pm 😔

They've done similar with me, 4hrs of rain and sleet before the heavy snow starts according to them, but hopefully will be different come tomorrow, their symbols aren't very reliable! lets see what the models today bring 🙂

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Got a bit of a covering, last heavy shower somehow missed us

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Edited by PsychedelicTony

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Do I detect a few 'going the way of the pear' evolutions this morning? Not had chance to delve into the mad thread to pick up any pieces, just from what I see on here.

Someone alleviate the concerns!

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Ooh another fall of snow!  One not happy cat and snowy scene.  This calls for kaffee und kuchen

41402692-C4B4-4C9F-A32F-F2B7C290A541.jpeg

2CA740FA-CE9D-4365-9CDB-F9F152A838F7.jpeg

Edited by snefnug

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22 minutes ago, CRACKPOT said:

Do I detect a few 'going the way of the pear' evolutions this morning? Not had chance to delve into the mad thread to pick up any pieces, just from what I see on here.

Someone alleviate the concerns!

Always doubt even though weather warnings will go today,personally not worried ,me i expect weather warnings to go amber tommorow, what's going to be fascinating is watching how the front grows and how intense it wil be.

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1 hour ago, bradythemole said:

Hopefully the strong easterly wind doesn’t prevent Swansea getting in on the act like last time.

Different setup this time. Last time it was ene winds with bands of precip coming from the east. This time ese winds with a system moving up from the SW. I think West facing and South facing hills will be hit hardest....

And to answer some concerns    Yes it is still on!   06z Gfsp is a stonking run for mid and south wales...... north wales still sees snow just less intense

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Icon 06z also a great run for us tomorrow keeping things further south which means less marginal at the coast.

Gfs 06z slightly further north Cardif still all snow... It then goes on to build a scandi high by Tuesday putting us in an easterly flow

Hirlam 06z good run 12+ hours of snow

Arpege 06z good run 11+ hours of snow more marginal for Pembrokeshire Carmarthenshire on the coast but is out weighed by the rest of the suites

Will definitely be Amber warnings out for south wales based on that lot 😁👍

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1 minute ago, NoTraction said:

Icon 06z also a great run for us tomorrow keeping things further south which means less marginal at the coast.

Gfs 06z slightly further north Cardif still all snow... It then goes on to build a scandi high by Tuesday putting us in an easterly flow

Hirlam 06z good run 12+ hours of snow

Arpege 06z good run 11+ hours of snow more marginal for Pembrokeshire Carmarthenshire on the coast but is out weighed by the rest of the suites

Will definitely be Amber warnings out for south wales based on that lot 😁👍

Hi..what's the northern extent on each, Mid Wales?

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Derek going for rain/sleet for South Western coast and sleet/risk of snow for south east coast. I'll be devastated if we miss out on this one. 🙄😔

Edited by RhysWales

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Currently up the bwlch and got to see some laying snow finally 😅 so nice to see!!

 20190130_120202.thumb.jpg.40712b64b191b57df051de5b9d28f385.jpg

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Met Office are showing Light Snow from Mid day - Heavy snow from 3pm through to Mid night then light snow thereafter - temperature never gets above 1C for the whole period

Best chance yet for the Valleys South of the Heads of the Valleys I would think

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Just now, Stevetynant said:

Met Office are showing Light Snow from Mid day - Heavy snow from 3pm through to Mid night then light snow thereafter - temperature never gets above 1C for the whole period

Best chance yet for the Valleys South of the Heads of the Valleys I would think

You reckon we still game on then Steve?

John

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It's game on here now! So if it doesn't reach this far north tomorrow at least we've had some. Good luck for others further South.

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27 minutes ago, PsychedelicTony said:

Hi..what's the northern extent on each, Mid Wales?

Icon - Welshpool

Arpege - Welshpool.

Hirlam - Liverpool

Gfs - Liverpool

Gfsp - Chester

Also to add possibly coldest night this winter tonight so ground will be hard cold which is what we want 👍

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Not expecting as much snow here now it seems to be shifting slightly further south each day,

Bitter east wind tomorrow and light snow later drifting.

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9 minutes ago, NoTraction said:

Icon - Welshpool

Arpege - Welshpool.

Hirlam - Liverpool

Gfs - Liverpool

Gfsp - Chester

Also to add possibly coldest night this winter tonight so ground will be hard cold which is what we want 👍

In the balance then for me..but as I said it's still chucking it down now so good luck to others for tomorrow

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6 minutes ago, PsychedelicTony said:

In the balance then for me..but as I said it's still chucking it down now so good luck to others for tomorrow

Yes,you have a good stream of showers set up there. Just missing the island unfortunately

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