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Looking at the ecm just rolling out the front may not make it over the beacons could be a cardiff Bridgend Swansea Llanelli Newport and heads of the valleys job now lol 

 

Edit and all the places in between along the M4 corridor 

Edited by Pembroke Dangler

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Looking at all the model runs, Wales is in the sweet spot.

GFS - takes it further North , but Wales gets a few hours of snow, especially inland, some snow for Cardiff and Coastal areas but this model suggests sleet later

ECM keeps it all further South, This keeps all of Wales in line for Snow for most of the day

Met Office model, shows due points perfect south of Wales and a sustained period of snow

In addition, winds are a brisk Easterly, helping to keep temperature low and blowing any lying snow into drifts

I suggest heads of the valleys etc will see disruption and many school closures

This is the one time where a little further North or South still leaves most of Wales in the firing line, just where i am is dubious with those dew points according to GFS, but some areas would still see 10cm of snow further North, valleys etc. 

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lets hope thurs don't go like today, made this just now.. 

 

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Much better angle of attack on Thursday snow ,as I said yesterday with a cold continental feed hoping it doesn't start snowing until after4pm.Still snowing Friday  according to the met possibly suggestion a stalling front.

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36 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

Not sure, still unsure whether we'll get the snow.

I see u've had u chill pill😂😂 . I wouldn't want to be anywhere else on thursday , wales should be the best place and lets hope we all gets some.

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1 minute ago, snowy36 said:

I see u've had u chill pill😂😂 . I wouldn't want to be anywhere else on thursday , wales should be the best place and lets hope we all gets some.

Don't care even if it's a couple of cm of snow better than nothing.

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Just watched Derek he says we have snow on Thursday!😂👏

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Just now, whiskers said:

Just watched Derek he says we have snow on Thursday!😂👏

10-20cm on higher ground.

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1 minute ago, whiskers said:

Just watched Derek he says we have snow on Thursday!😂👏

It was a very interesting forecast because he was using the ECW and not the meto which is slightly different.

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Just now, snowy36 said:

It was a very interesting forecast because he was using the ECW and not the meto which is slightly different.

Pretty sure it won't change alot between now and Thursday surely. I think amber warnings may be issued tomorrow.

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3 minutes ago, snowy36 said:

It was a very interesting forecast because he was using the ECW and not the meto which is slightly different.

Hope he’s got it right then! 

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Snowing over central Wales heading to Cardiff a bit of a streamer forming.

Edited by keithlucky

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9 minutes ago, keithlucky said:

Snowing over central Wales heading to Cardiff a bit of a streamer forming.

Going to be close whether it hits us or not.

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Anyone worried about Thursday needs to take a look at this from the Met Office.

Deputy Chief Forecaster puts the valleys into the sweetspot for probability.

Skip to about 15 mins onwards for Thursday. Well explained by her.

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9 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

Going to be close whether it hits us or not.

Whoever gets it will get a covering fair size.

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All the snow is covered in ice.......freezing winds.......

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Please can this shower that is now heading for Cardiff not disintegrate as soon as it’s gone over the Beacons like the other 5 before!! 

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4 minutes ago, bradythemole said:

Please can this shower that is now heading for Cardiff not disintegrate as soon as it’s gone over the Beacons like the other 5 before!! 

Hope so mate, good chance of a decent snow event on Thursday now.

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Snowing in Pembroke were the Dangled lol.Looks like you picks in Brady

 

Edited by keithlucky

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These showers are so frustrating optimal conditions now as well...

Edited by Cymro

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1 hour ago, whiskers said:

Just watched Derek he says we have snow on Thursday!😂👏

Its snowing here in the valleys 😍

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Been snowing for 5 mins and everything already white 😊

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Some hefty looking showers over in Ireland, r they going to make it all the way over the pond and give us some fun and games in the morning

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31 minutes ago, freeze for all said:

Some hefty looking showers over in Ireland, r they going to make it all the way over the pond and give us some fun and games in the morning

That's a monster streamer over the NWest Ireland

 

 

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