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Looking at the ecm just rolling out the front may not make it over the beacons could be a cardiff Bridgend Swansea Llanelli Newport and heads of the valleys job now lol 

 

Edit and all the places in between along the M4 corridor 

Edited by Pembroke Dangler
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Looking good for team wales today / this eve- Have fun !!

Dyma rai o'm lluniau gaeafol (Dydd Mawrth - Wythnos diwethaf) Here are some of my wintry scenes from Tuesday, last week Lleoliad/ Location: Blaenau Clwyd 230masl  (Between Corwen and Rhuthun)

Fair dooz to Torfaen council. They've initiated their red warning plan. I've just received the survival package.

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Looking at all the model runs, Wales is in the sweet spot.

GFS - takes it further North , but Wales gets a few hours of snow, especially inland, some snow for Cardiff and Coastal areas but this model suggests sleet later

ECM keeps it all further South, This keeps all of Wales in line for Snow for most of the day

Met Office model, shows due points perfect south of Wales and a sustained period of snow

In addition, winds are a brisk Easterly, helping to keep temperature low and blowing any lying snow into drifts

I suggest heads of the valleys etc will see disruption and many school closures

This is the one time where a little further North or South still leaves most of Wales in the firing line, just where i am is dubious with those dew points according to GFS, but some areas would still see 10cm of snow further North, valleys etc. 

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Much better angle of attack on Thursday snow ,as I said yesterday with a cold continental feed hoping it doesn't start snowing until after4pm.Still snowing Friday  according to the met possibly suggestion a stalling front.

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36 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

Not sure, still unsure whether we'll get the snow.

I see u've had u chill pill?? . I wouldn't want to be anywhere else on thursday , wales should be the best place and lets hope we all gets some.

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1 minute ago, whiskers said:

Just watched Derek he says we have snow on Thursday!??

It was a very interesting forecast because he was using the ECW and not the meto which is slightly different.

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Just now, snowy36 said:

It was a very interesting forecast because he was using the ECW and not the meto which is slightly different.

Pretty sure it won't change alot between now and Thursday surely. I think amber warnings may be issued tomorrow.

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Anyone worried about Thursday needs to take a look at this from the Met Office.

Deputy Chief Forecaster puts the valleys into the sweetspot for probability.

Skip to about 15 mins onwards for Thursday. Well explained by her.

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31 minutes ago, freeze for all said:

Some hefty looking showers over in Ireland, r they going to make it all the way over the pond and give us some fun and games in the morning

That's a monster streamer over the NWest Ireland

 

 

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