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Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
    1 hour ago, judowidow said:

    Not looking good for me with surgery booked I’m Morriston on the 27th, I love snow but can we delay a week. I’ve been waiting 15 months now. Will be a hairy drive down the heads of the valley

    if this happens nobody will be going anywhere from around 26th onwards possibly

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    Looking good for team wales today / this eve- Have fun !!

    Dyma rai o'm lluniau gaeafol (Dydd Mawrth - Wythnos diwethaf) Here are some of my wintry scenes from Tuesday, last week Lleoliad/ Location: Blaenau Clwyd 230masl  (Between Corwen and Rhuthun)

    Some photos from this morning up on the Rhigos between Hirwaun and Treherbert. Here we are around 480-500m asl  it was stunning with amazing views over the Brecon Beacons and beyond. The mountain

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    Posted
  • Location: Newport
  • Location: Newport
    1 hour ago, judowidow said:

    Not looking good for me with surgery booked I’m Morriston on the 27th, I love snow but can we delay a week. I’ve been waiting 15 months now. Will be a hairy drive down the heads of the valley

    Hope everything works out ok and wish you a speedy recovery 

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    Posted
  • Location: brynmawr south wales 1340 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold . snow
  • Location: brynmawr south wales 1340 ft ASL
    2 minutes ago, Gerryhattrick said:

    Hope everything works out ok and wish you a speedy recovery 

    I know what you mean i cant drive now ....but hated it when it got colder.....fingers crossed for you 

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    Posted
  • Location: Carmarthenshire
  • Location: Carmarthenshire

    I think you'll be ok, it will get colder the end of the week into next but not to the extremity of what the charts are showing in my opinion.  Plus we won't get heavy snow from an easterly, only when the milder air tries to get in from the atlantic and even then the snow would by transitory.

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    Posted
  • Location: Llanharan, South Wales
  • Location: Llanharan, South Wales

    There' No way we will see those uppers (-15's). Too early to say about snow. Depends on flow direction

    Edited by PompeyFC
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    Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
    8 hours ago, A Frayed Knot said:

    sort of but really it's coming from SIBERIA lol - but on this morning's ecm will switch around to be from the Artic from St David's day onwards - so easterly to northerly:cold::cold:  - this morning's GFS - brutal cold from Siberia also - and snowaplenty starting next week once the dry bitter cold has moved in - deadly set up, as the ground will be frozen ready to accept the dry powdery snowy goodness lol:cold::cold:

    Edited by andymusic
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    Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl

    25th Feb - 6 days away

    gfs-2-156.png?0

    26th Feb

    gfs-2-186.png?0

    27th Feb

    gfs-2-210.png?0

    28th Feb

    gfs-2-228.png?0

    1st March St David's day

    gfs-2-252.png?0

    2nd March

    gfs-2-264.png?0

    gfs-2-276.png?0

    3rd March

    gfs-2-288.png?0

    snowmageddon potential for a week or so

     

     

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Llanharan South Wales 76m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: freezing cold and lots of snow
  • Location: Llanharan South Wales 76m ASL

    Well if I ever had to do a forecast for the next few weeks this would b it, talk about sitting on the fence and giving every weather type a mention lol. That is not as good as it was a few days ago for the potential of heavy snow but let's c if we can get the cold in first and then c if any surprises turn up.

    Screenshot_20180219-081641.png

    Screenshot_20180219-081656.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
    3 minutes ago, freeze for all said:

    Well if I ever had to do a forecast for the next few weeks this would b it, talk about sitting on the fence and giving every weather type a mention lol. That is not as good as it was a few days ago for the potential of heavy snow but let's c if we can get the cold in first and then c if any surprises turn up.

    Screenshot_20180219-081641.png

    Screenshot_20180219-081656.png

    nope - they are saying exactly what the models are showing - snow for the uk next week once the cold sets in by the end of this week which could go on well into the 1st/2nd week of march before possible milder weather returns - but it may not go that quick - ie could extend even further into march due to the depth of cold

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    Posted
  • Location: Crymych, Pembrokeshire. 150m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes of all kinds...
  • Location: Crymych, Pembrokeshire. 150m asl
    1 hour ago, andymusic said:

    25th Feb - 6 days away

    gfs-2-156.png?0

    26th Feb

    gfs-2-186.png?0

    27th Feb

    gfs-2-210.png?0

    28th Feb

    gfs-2-228.png?0

    1st March St David's day

    gfs-2-252.png?0

    2nd March

    gfs-2-264.png?0

    gfs-2-276.png?0

    3rd March

    gfs-2-288.png?0

    snowmageddon potential for a week or so

     

     

     

    OMG Andy - that looks like non-stop heavy snow for much of Wales from the 1st to the 3rd March!!  That would bring some serious accumulations in places and might hang around for a bit, too, if air temperatures stay low.  If only those conditions could continue to be modelled up to the 28th..... But somehow I think by then it will have changed because there has been a growing tendency by the models to move the coldest air south into Europe.  Even so, we stand to get some record breaking weather out of these conditions one way or another - I would love to see more than just a centimetre or two of snow for a change.

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    Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl

    GFS 12z St David's Day Blizzard is back - it's corker - drifting snow every where - OMG

    starts next Monday night into Tuesday - but we'll already had a sprinkling of snow next sunday

    gfs-2-192.png?12

    gfs-2-198.png?12

    gfs-2-210.png?12

    st david's day blizzard with a nasty low coming up from the south - south west

    starts on the 28th feb

    gfs-2-222.png?12

    gfs-2-228.png?12

    gfs-2-234.png?12

    this run it switches back to rain - but with the depth of cold modelled i'm not exactly sure it'll happen like that - freezing air the likes we are seeing will be a bugger to shift once it sets in

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    Posted
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder & Lightning, Thundersnow, Storms, Heatwave
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales

    ECM 12z one of best runs it’s ever had. Would be a historic cold spell if true. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Cardiff 9m (32ft) asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, cold, thunder and lightning.
  • Location: Cardiff 9m (32ft) asl

    I've just been catching up in the model thread. WOW! If this comes off it is going to be epic! Don't think I've ever seen charts like this and the models in agreement too. Very very exciting times for everyone.

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    Posted
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy Winters, warm stormy spring & sumemr, cool frosty Autumn!
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)

    It will get bitterly cold for sure if any of those models were to come off today but especially the ECM! Just have to hope for some surprises in terms of snowfall for us in the south and west of the UK. Very exciting times coming up! We have waited a long time for something like this after all.  

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    Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
    1 minute ago, DeepSnow said:

    It will get bitterly cold for sure if any of those models were to come off today but especially the ECM! Just have to hope for some surprises in terms of snowfall for us in the south and west of the UK. Very exciting times coming up! We have waited a long time for something like this after all.  

    not too long - 2010 was the epic last time - so only about 8 years - and if the sun keeps losing it's solar energy etc - there maybe more of this to come in the years ahead of us - the sun is defo responsible for changing our weather - it gets a little less active we shiver - simples

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    Posted
  • Location: Cardiff
  • Weather Preferences: Day 10
  • Location: Cardiff
    On 18/02/2018 at 18:49, andymusic said:

    if this happens nobody will be going anywhere from around 26th onwards possibly

    Nobody? Are we talking down to sea level?

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    Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
    15 minutes ago, Magic Trichs said:

    Nobody? Are we talking down to sea level?

    Siberian temps - what do you think Magic?

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    Posted
  • Location: porth (Welsh valleys)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and very cold.
  • Location: porth (Welsh valleys)
    28 minutes ago, andymusic said:

    Siberian temps - what do you think Magic?

    Although it will be bitterly cold,western parts will be mainly dry as all the good stuff will be in eastern and central parts.

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    Posted
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Storms & Snow.
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL

    That met office extended 6-30 days forecast is the best I've ever seen tbh

     

    The weekend will be mostly dry, with frost and freezing fog patches clearing to give cold days with sunny spells. Snow flurries may develop across eastern and southern areas where a brisk easterly wind will make it feel bitterly cold. It may be less cold in the far northwest with some rain possible. Into next week it is likely to turn colder with brisk easterly winds, giving a significant wind chill, especially in the south and east. This will give the risk of further snow flurries, which may become heavier and more widespread. There is also the risk of more significant snow pushing northeastwards across southern and some central areas. The north and west will be brighter, and it may be less cold across the far northwest at times.

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    Posted
  • Location: Carmarthenshire
  • Location: Carmarthenshire

    Okay, i've really tried not to do this to myself again but can't help it with what we are seeing on the model runs.

    I have fallen off the fence and getting really excited by the prospect of the cold coming in, any snow we will have to wait and see what happens but sure we will see something at some point. 

    :yahoo::drunk-emoji: Cheers

     

     

     

    giphy-downsized.gif

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