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Update 

Issued at: 
12:05 on Tue 10 Jan 2017

Valid from: 
00:05 on Thu 12 Jan 2017

Valid to: 
23:55 on Thu 12 Jan 2017

Rain moving eastwards across the south of the UK on Thursday may turn to snow in places. Whilst this is unlikely, there is a small chance of snow settling with disruption to road, rail and air services as well as interruptions to power supplies and other utilities. Associated heavy rain and strong winds may prove additional hazards.

If the area of heavy rain moves further north, this would pull cold air into the system and bring snow to parts of southern England and south Wales. At the same time heavy rain will likely persist in some areas along with the potential for some locally strong winds.

Local Authorities affected and associated warning levels

Blaenau Gwent, Bridgend, Caerphilly, Cardiff, Merthyr Tydfil, Monmouthshire, Neath Port Talbot, Newport, Powys, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Swansea, Torfaen, Vale of Glamorgan

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=warnings&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1484179200&regionName=wl

2017-1-12

 

Edited by Cwmbran Eira
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Looking good for team wales today / this eve- Have fun !!

I'm happy now I've had my fix ? There's a nice covering on the hills  

Some photos from this morning up on the Rhigos between Hirwaun and Treherbert. Here we are around 480-500m asl  it was stunning with amazing views over the Brecon Beacons and beyond. The mountain

Posted Images

The latest warning that includes Cardiff and rest of south east Wales is from the low pressure to the south not from showers. Northern extent of that very uncertain which is why it's "very low likelihood" but could be good if we get lucky! 

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Yellow Warning of Snow for Wales

 

Yellow Warning of Snow for Wales : Blaenau Gwent, Bridgend, Caerphilly, Cardiff, Merthyr Tydfil, Monmouthshire, Neath Port Talbot, Newport, Powys, Rhonnda Cynon Taff, Swansea, Torfaen & Vale of Glamorgan valid from 1000 Thu 12 Jan to 2100 Thu 12 Jan

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3 minutes ago, Marcus_surfer said:

Wont the low kill any wintry showers in the south? And pull in a more westerly atlantic influence?

nope it'll generate it's own cold and snow from the north wind

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Yellow Warning of Snow for Wales

 

Yellow Warning of Snow for Wales : Carmarthenshire, Ceredigion, Conwy, Denbighshire, Flintshire, Gwynedd, Isle of Anglesey, Pembrokeshire, Powys & Wrexham valid from 0005 Thu 12 Jan to 2355 Thu 12 Jan

 

it's next week that looks more interesting than this - but hey - let's see what happens

Edited by andymusic
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Just now, andymusic said:

nope it'll generate it's own cold and snow from the north wind

We have seen many situations like this before and we have had some good snowfall. Hopefully nearer the time, there is enough cold air to mix if that low pushed north. Evaporate cooling (i cant spell) will be our friend here too

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Yellow Warning of Snow for Wales

 

Yellow Warning of Snow for Wales : Carmarthenshire, Ceredigion, Conwy, Denbighshire, Flintshire, Gwynedd, Isle of Anglesey, Powys, Wrexham, Bridgend, Merthyr Tydfil, Neath Port Talbot, Pembrokeshire, Rhonnda Cynon Taff, Swansea & Vale of Glamorgan valid from 0005 Fri 13 Jan to 2355 Fri 13 Jan

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Nice to lightening mentioned in tjhe weather warning ,can we see some thunder snow? I seen some in i think 1998 in december whiteout with lightening giving ac brief pink glow Errie lol!

Edited by keithlucky
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2 hours ago, Cwmbran Eira said:

Update 

Issued at: 
12:05 on Tue 10 Jan 2017

Valid from: 
00:05 on Thu 12 Jan 2017

Valid to: 
23:55 on Thu 12 Jan 2017

Rain moving eastwards across the south of the UK on Thursday may turn to snow in places. Whilst this is unlikely, there is a small chance of snow settling with disruption to road, rail and air services as well as interruptions to power supplies and other utilities. Associated heavy rain and strong winds may prove additional hazards.

This says it all to me especially where it says this is unlikely!!! Higher ground snow lower levels sleet or rain is wot I think will happen but fingers crossed I'm wrong

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1 minute ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

Hi all, finally something to look forward to! Not going to bother looking at charts for shower distribution, we all remember what happened in 2010! 

Yeah, fack all snow-wise.  Lol.

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Happy new year all. Very suspicious of any snow chances coming straight off the back of a milder interlude. For those of us on lower land in the south it's looking like the parameters are just a little too marginal. Best we don't get our hopes up as while the global models have shown promise, the higher res models don't want to give us much to play with at all. Maybe a little back edge sleet from the front passing W to E with the colder air digging in. As @andymusic says, next week should be of more interest. Get the cold in first and see where it takes us. For us snow-starved, lets get it cold and wait it out for some fun from the NW or a battleground event! 

Good luck to those in search of something this week though. Get up the Beacons and Snowdonia! 

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If the low on Thursday is going to give us rain, i'd rather it just stay further south and hedge my bets on the colder showery north west flow instead for snow. 

Euro4 high res showing rain for South Wales Thursday. Still looking good for after that mind.

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10 minutes ago, bradythemole said:

If the low on Thursday is going to give us rain, i'd rather it just stay further south and hedge my bets on the colder showery north west flow instead for snow. 

Euro4 high res showing rain for South Wales Thursday. Still looking good for after that mind.

Met all over place concerning the warm sector one met forecast shows the northern edge of the system over the south coast !very interesting if system is 50 miles north.

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1 hour ago, foggybrynna said:

BBC Wales weather shows rain for south Wales Thurs and met office shows snow so which one right

FIGHT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! (Harry Hill style)

interesting

17011212_1012.gif

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I was thinking why the weather warning was showing for the West really.  I can't see anything below 100meters.  That's just a guess mind you.  Seems like forecast temperatures have risen a few degrees than originally thought 

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