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beerandkebab

Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

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Why on Earth as the METO not got my part of Eastern Wales on a Ice Alert ' down to -2.1 here and after the Rain we had today it is like a Ice Rink outside on the roads and also very white with frost ' not even seen a Gritter in sight ' i beg to Differ , this is how there chart should look like .:nonono:

freezing.JPG

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rain just started after a frost - then heavier rain which has now turned to sleet

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caught my eye in the mod thread  from Ian F

 

The issues Sun into Mon are especially tricky. UKV generated a plastering of snow even at lower elevations across W'rn parts of the W Country (incl adjacent Bristol Channel/M5 corridor up into Wales and SW Midlands) but considered overdone. However 00z EC gives quite a few cm in pretty much same areas, but that model automatically settles all solid phase ppn. Jury out....

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Just got to work on time in the early hours of this morning, after sliding down the pavement and scraping thick ice off the car. 

Still cant see any snow falling for tomorrow, except for maybe the prime spots above 300m such as the Brecons, nothing substantial to shout about...however, in saying that - it is only Autumn, and any flakes this year will be a bonus after last years dreary drudgery. 

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Monday morning has potential over Wales too from today's updates - and at the end of the run back comes a trend for December 2010 repeat - so winter appears to be reving it's starting engines

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Ian fergie quote from the model thread - "

Given that we have TMin ENS spread by morning of Dec 2nd ranging from +10C to -11C in the op (!!) & +10 to -6C in the new cycle, I think we can reasonably emphasise the uncertainty....!  Indeed even early next week, there's a raft of issues to resolve including threat (yet tbc) of significant snow in the W Country and Wales >ca 200m. 

NB A more coherent drop in T850 now signalled in the new cycle by end of next week... much less pronounced in the operational

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After overnight hail showers - sleet this morning and now raining steadily. Currently 4.1C (2.3 apparent), 4.5mph northerly, pressure 991.8 falling. 100% overcast. Looking good for tonight if the temp drops a little.

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Happy New Year Welsh winter chasers!

Arpege French model has heavy snow for large areas of Wales (no it apparently won't snow in Cardiff Jay!) for rush hour Monday morning. Not too much support elsewhere as Ian F mentioned in the MOD thread. Nevertheless a better start than most of the previous few winters. It's still officially Autumn after all.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=frfr&MODELL=arpege&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prty&HH=51&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=

 

 

 

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Pretty certain it's sleeting here, despite the radar showing rain.

It's damn cold, whatever is falling from the sky!

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Back for the silly season! Definitely sleetiness here! 3c and feeling very chilly!

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Hi all logging in for tne winter as usual. Looks interesting tonight so stay safe all.

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Snowing and settling at Dowlais Top. Torrential, driving sleet here.

Screen Shot 2016-11-20 at 03.13.30.png

Screen Shot 2016-11-20 at 03.14.32.png

Edited by Jackfrost
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gonna be a cold wet one come sunday night and throughout monday - maybe some snow for the lucky few with decent elevation - and still on the 00z the gfs churns out December 2010 charts for the beginning of this December 2016 - is it a trend or false dawn - we shall see very soon

Rtavn3841.gif

Edited by andymusic
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Nothing much here overnight; gusts of 15.2 mph at 0142 as Angus passed well to the south. No precipitation to speak of.

Currently fully overcast, 2.2 mph NW'ly, temp 2.9C, pressure 980.8 rising quickly. Usual damp and gloomy Sunday.

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Had snow and big winds here at 5am, didn't settle but was still lovely to see..come on winter let's rock and roll

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pretty wintry scenery up at dowlais top - should imagine the beacons are well covered today

 

dowlais november.jpg

dowlais november 2.jpg

Edited by andymusic
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We had a dusting early this morning up in croespenmaen, not sure what the asl is but since they forecast rain it was nice to see everything white 

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Good Couple of cms of snow down here! At 4am it was absolutely pelting down. Starting to turn to slush now.

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Fingers crossed ,perhaps tomorrow may bring something special!?

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bbc is going for quite a bit over elevation in wales tonight and into tomorrow - so we could yet have a surprise fall

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Snowdon looks good today.

webcam1 (1).jpg

 

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We had a dusting over snow in Aberdare last night, mountain looked pretty over looking Dare Valley Country Park 

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Wall to wall -rain. A driving 15.2 mph northerly is reducing the ambient 2.4C to minus 2.3C.  Pressure 983.8 and falling.

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