Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

[Daniel*]

Andy it seems you have been posting these snowy looking charts all winter and the winters before this. How often have they not verified? 

I must say however Tuesday is looking good for you folks..

Edited February 11, 2018 by Daniel*

[snefnug]

Ooh, snowing again ?. Am liking this winter so far. ?

[andymusic]

7 hours ago, Daniel* said:

Andy it seems you have been posting these snowy looking charts all winter and the winters before this. How often have they not verified? 

I must say however Tuesday is looking good for you folks..

and how often have they verified, seems we don't keep score lol

[freeze for all]

Nowhere near as often as they don't verify

[andymusic]

here's an interesting chart - euro 4 against what's happening on radar now - euro 4 underplays potential - always

so if it's underplaying potential - this actually looks quite good in the next few hours

and this one does - considering yesterday - euro 4 had very little to nothing down for us - but gfs had loads

interesting

 

[PompeyFC]

I see the latest ECM is already in its last 2 runs not even showing an easterly at 168 but high pressure building from the south.  This is why I don' pay any attention until we get in reliable timeframe. There will be changes with each run but ECM may be showing a new pattern

[somofagun]

Chuckin it down here

[EastAnglian]

Had a lot of showers here this morning, no snow just hail. Ground covered but it is melting. Oh well!

[Snowyowl9]

38 minutes ago, somofagun said:

Chuckin it down here

Ireland doing very well from the atlantic this year.

-9 upper air coming in later.

 

[Missdolly]

It's snowing here ! Obviously the charts are showing snow potential it's been trying for the last week or so , surely a good dumping is imminent ? Keep the charts coming Andy it's good see as I'm staying clear of the crazy thread ??!

[keithlucky]

Snow showers really packing in over N Ireland lets hope they can get here ,lets hope we can get a covering after dark.

[andymusic]

no easterly on the gfs 6z - but model runs will fluctuate in their output, still think around the 20th of the month the freeze will begin

but it does continue on with this same north westerly mainly freeze with the odd slightly milder bit theme

Edited February 11, 2018 by andymusic

[Marcus_surfer]

14 minutes ago, keithlucky said:

Snow showers really packing in over N Ireland lets hope they can get here ,lets hope we can get a covering after dark.

We've had this setup many times this winter and it hasn't delivered anything to south wales apart from the odd flurry. Its looking dry for much of the day

[andymusic]

4 minutes ago, Marcus_surfer said:

We've had this setup many times this winter and it hasn't delivered anything to south wales apart from the odd flurry. Its looking dry for much of the day

you got out the wrong side of bed this morning Marcus? - I know you'd like a foot of snow at your doorstep mate - you never know you may get your wish, winter ain't over yet

[snefnug]

I think snow chasers on MAD and Moan threads are like a person with a delicious meal in front if them but watching Nigella cooking on tv rather than eat......

[snefnug]

More snowings 

[andymusic]

about to get our first dollop of the white stuff - here it comes

IT'S SNOWING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[andymusic]

still snowing lol

[andymusic]

admittedly not a blizzard but some lovely snow - here we are again

contrast euro4 and the current radar - way under doing it again

means this could be interesting for this afternoon - and the radar is closer to what gfs has been showing the last few days

just put a bit more snowy meat on the chart below lol

tomorrow afternoon

interesting potential - rain to snow?????

Edited February 11, 2018 by andymusic

[andymusic]

Yellow Warning of Ice for Wales

 

Yellow Warning of Ice for Wales : Ceredigion, Gwynedd, Carmarthenshire, Pembrokeshire, Swansea, Bridgend, Neath Port Talbot, Powys, Caerphilly, Cardiff, Merthyr Tydfil, Rhonnda Cynon Taff, Vale of Glamorgan, Blaenau Gwent, Denbighshire, Wrexham, Conwy, Isle of Anglesey, Flintshire, Monmouthshire, Newport & Torfaen valid from 1700 Sun 11 Feb to 1000 Mon 12 Feb

[andymusic]

snow showers packing in lovely now on radar - should be a good fall shortly again

[Missdolly]

Gone grey here and snowing more north of the valleys ! 

[andymusic]

snowing again here too

[whiskers]

I'm from the blackwood area but have a school trip (yr 3 children,yay!) on Wednesday to st fagans, is it going to snow? 

Its wishful thinking as the kids hate being outside in the cold and wind!! Snow day maybe?? Plz!

[Marcus_surfer]

8 minutes ago, whiskers said:

I'm from the blackwood area but have a school trip (yr 3 children,yay!) on Wednesday to st fagans, is it going to snow? 

Its wishful thinking as the kids hate being outside in the cold and wind!! Snow day maybe?? Plz!

Rain looks likely