Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

[snowy36]

2 minutes ago, joo said:

Hello everyone, I'm de-lurking for this one.

I missed last March's snow as I was on hols in Vietnam, but I'm avidly watching this thread for this one.

I've put my leave card on my line manager's desk for Friday and worked an extra hour today so I can go home earlier tomorrow.

I'll be reporting from Caerphilly (and maybe Pontypridd town centre as I work there now)

Hi Jo , get up in those cranes in ponty , the snow will be better up there 

[snowy36]

Just now, LJ1224 said:

Nooo, I get nothing

Way to early to tell , i'm not sure the bbc or meto know exactly what will happen.

[bradymk]

Latest 15z Icon is as good as it gets for southern counties 

[DeepSnow]

5 minutes ago, bradythemole said:

Latest 15z Icon is as good as it gets for southern counties 

Can we bank that now, it has to be like that!!

[Jayfromcardiff]

5 minutes ago, bradythemole said:

Latest 15z Icon is as good as it gets for southern counties 

What model are we siding with lol

[bradymk]

Latest ECM is best run yet. I am getting excited.

tomorrow evening 

Friday morning 9am, still some light snow left over in the south

best snow depth so far from ECM

[Jayfromcardiff]

1 minute ago, bradythemole said:

Latest ECM is best run yet. I am getting excited.

tomorrow evening 

Friday morning 9am, still some light snow left over in the south

best snow depth so far from ECM

Brilliant!

[keithlucky]

Just now, Jayfromcardiff said:

Brilliant!

By midday we shall see how intense these fronts are on the satellite images for example a nice line of green and yellows running along the front rather than blue we have a good idea on depths of snow..

[PompeyFC]

BBC Wales has mixture of rain and snow right on south coast until gone 5pm

[DeepSnow]

Whilst meto have finally given me 9hours of pure snow and removed any sleet or rain from their forecast from my area - don't think anyone quite knows where this snow line will end up!

[Jayfromcardiff]

1 minute ago, DeepSnow said:

Whilst meto have finally given me 9hours of pure snow and removed any sleet or rain from their forecast from my area - don't think anyone quite knows where this snow line will end up!

I think it'll start as light sleet then turn to heavy snow.

[DeepSnow]

9 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

I think it'll start as light sleet then turn to heavy snow.

Unfortunately because the time of day its coming in (around the warmest part with temps of 2-4C it is likely to be sleet for lower areas before temps drop back and it turns to snow, just means it will take longer to stick and won't accumulate quite as much if that turns out to be the case! Either way, we should see snow pretty much everywhere except may the immediate coastline?

Edited January 30, 2019 by DeepSnow

[Jayfromcardiff]

1 minute ago, DeepSnow said:

Unfortunately because the time of day its coming in (around the warmest part with temps of 2-4C it is likely to be sleet for lower areas before temps drop back and it turns to snow, just means it will take longer to stick and won't accumulate quite as much if that turns out to be the case! Either way, we should see snow pretty much everywhere except may the immediate coastline?

I thought it wasn't arriving until darkness? Hopefully it gets delayed.

[DeepSnow]

4 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

I thought it wasn't arriving until darkness? Hopefully it gets delayed.

Depends on whether its further north/south than actual predictions, but I believe its currently expected around 2pm onwards? 

[Selliso]

1 hour ago, thetipster said:

   here it is ultra high res snow acc

Great stuff!

What's the northern extent on the super high res?

[bradymk]

Down to just under -1c now in Cardiff already. These cold nights the past few days will definitely have lowered the ground temps quite a bit and a good temp for tomorrow now.

even if it is rain initially, any snow should accumulate fairly quickly if/when it falls.

Onto the 18z models next...

Arrival of precip different on every model Jay. But somewhere between 2 and 4pm looks likely.

[PompeyFC]

31 minutes ago, bradythemole said:

Down to just under -1c now in Cardiff already. These cold nights the past few days will definitely have lowered the ground temps quite a bit and a good temp for tomorrow now.

even if it is rain initially, any snow should accumulate fairly quickly if/when it falls.

Onto the 18z models next...

Arrival of precip different on every model Jay. But somewhere between 2 and 4pm looks likely.

-2.9 here in llanharan make that -3.0 now. Was -4.5 at 7am this morning

Edited January 30, 2019 by PompeyFC

[A Frayed Knot]

-2.6 here and weather station is flashing the good snow symbol the first time this year .

[snowy36]

Its the night  before a big event and its very quiet in here . U would have thought rain was on its way 

[Coilspring]

Minus 3°c here and falling . Humidity up to 94%. I'll be amazed if no snow tomorrow. I'm even taking snow chains for the van in the morning, just in case im snowed out from home.

[Bartlett High]

Just hopes doesn't turn out to be a damp squib!

[ourson]

9 minutes ago, snowy36 said:

Its the night  before a big event and its very quiet in here . U would have thought rain was on its way 

Everyone's out buying bread and milk. It'll kick off in here once the shops shut 

[Jayfromcardiff]

1 minute ago, ourson said:

Everyone's out buying bread and milk. It'll kick off in here once the shops shut 

Probably nothing left on the shelves now.

[snowy36]

1 minute ago, ourson said:

Everyone's out buying bread and milk. It'll kick off in here once the shops shut 

They can keep their bread and milk , im going out to get a shovel 

[Sky Full]

You guys in the south east could get five or six hours of disruptive frontal snow tomorrow if the models are even close to getting this right, especially with a little bit of elevation away from the coast:

Provided we get enough here in the Preselis to leave footprints and it hangs around long enough to get some pics on Friday, I'll be happy!