Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

[A Frayed Knot]

Just watched the weather for the week ahead not going to be very cold but could get some wintry showers. 

We do not want wintry showers we want blizzards and loads of snow .

Even the banter thread are going into a hype always go's further ahead , we want it in the reliable frame Fr@#120 hours ahead .

Roll on Spring I say as this winter is stuck in a rut .

Hope I'm am wrong though -But a big but I Ain't .

Edited January 25, 2019 by A Frayed Knot

[whiskers]

Not looking good for next work according to the banter thread,fingers crossed it’s just a blip and the models change throughout the day....keep snow dancing!

[snefnug]

Wow, complete utter mega tantrum in banter thread.  Off to work at a mild 9 degrees after two days of snow, will check in tonight to see if all of them are either on the naughty step, or have had calpol, calmed down and stopped grizzling.  

[Sky Full]

Might be an interesting day for Wales next Wednesday if this comes off.....

[andymusic]

9 hours ago, A Frayed Knot said:

Just watched the weather for the week ahead not going to be very cold but could get some wintry showers. 

We do not want wintry showers we want blizzards and loads of snow .

Even the banter thread are going into a hype always go's further ahead , we want it in the reliable frame Fr@#120 hours ahead .

Roll on Spring I say as this winter is stuck in a rut .

Hope I'm am wrong though -But a big but I Ain't .

a lot of what is showing is knife edge scenarios - reason why mod thread is up in arms - knife edge doesn't really do it for those in the south east and down south generally - but we in Wales stand a better chance with knife edge stuff - especially when it's coming in from the north west/west - so model thread is a tad skewed - knife edge can be good as the boundary layer between cold and not so cold 528 dam is often with the lows in the right place, the place to be to get a lot of snow

sunday afternoon and onwards through next week looking good for snow - details closer to the time

Edited January 25, 2019 by andymusic

[Blackjack]

A group of Waxwings have been spotted in Crickhowell. Loads of Twitchers about. A sign of cold weather to come....?

[Gerryhattrick]

Exeters extended forecast looking promising plus next weeks possible snow events. I think there's still hope yet. Keep the Faith guys

[lindy2222]

Gavsweather vids looked good....

[A Frayed Knot]

1 hour ago, lindy2222 said:

Gavsweather vids looked good....

Link for it please @lindy2222 x

[lindy2222]

you tube 

[A Frayed Knot]

1 minute ago, lindy2222 said:

you tube 

Thanks will look now x

[andymusic]

528 dam now showing slightly earlier for Wales this coming sunday - cold in by around 6am

gfsp has loads of snow ops next week

starting sunday - less than two days away now

Monday

Tuesday

Wednesday into Thursday

looks like a busy week ahead

Edited January 25, 2019 by andymusic

[freeze for all]

7 minutes ago, andymusic said:

528 dam now showing slightly earlier for Wales this coming sunday - cold in by around 6am

gfsp has loads of snow ops next week

starting sunday - less than two days away now

Monday

Tuesday

Wednesday into Thursday

looks like a busy week ahead

Wot is the Ecm saying m8?

[andymusic]

5 minutes ago, freeze for all said:

Wot is the Ecm saying m8?

agreeing with the gfsp - last run - tonight's run will be interesting - here's some more evidence we'll be ok next week - meto beacons mountain forecast is as follows for Tuesday for eg

Tuesday 29 January 2019

Sunrise: 07:59

Sunset: 16:56

Moon phase: Third quarter

Occasional snow showers, and sunny spells. Showers could merge into more persistent snow at times, and could be slow moving due to largely light winds. Freezing level at valley floors.

 

largely light winds means a flabby slow moving low which will hold the cold and as it states freezing level to floor - 528 dam at all levels - so accumulations very possible in fact more like probable more widespread next week - expect inches and it to hang around for a good few days with further snow to add to it

[Jonathan Rhodri Roberts]

13 minutes ago, andymusic said:

agreeing with the gfsp - last run - tonight's run will be interesting - here's some more evidence we'll be ok next week - meto beacons mountain forecast is as follows for Tuesday for eg

Tuesday 29 January 2019

Sunrise: 07:59

Sunset: 16:56

Moon phase: Third quarter

Occasional snow showers, and sunny spells. Showers could merge into more persistent snow at times, and could be slow moving due to largely light winds. Freezing level at valley floors.

 

largely light winds means a flabby slow moving low which will hold the cold and as it states freezing level to floor - 528 dam at all levels - so accumulations very possible in fact more like probable more widespread next week - expect inches and it to hang around for a good few days with further snow to add to it

Oh that sounds awesome if the roads aren't too bad we may do that 44 miles drive to the "winter wonderland", if they are then we won't risk it

[freeze for all]

I've been on this forum a few years now but I've never known it to b this bad b4, the mad thread is unreal I come out of there and I honestly don't know which way is up or down. Ecm is great loads of snow potential we'll b digging ourselves out, next post Ecm is poor cold rain is all we're getting and that's from people in the same area!!!!! Mind blowing

[A Frayed Knot]

3 hours ago, lindy2222 said:

youtube 

44 minutes ago, freeze for all said:

I've been on this forum a few years now but I've never known it to b this bad b4, the mad thread is unreal I come out of there and I honestly don't know which way is up or down. Ecm is great loads of snow potential we'll b digging ourselves out, next post Ecm is poor cold rain is all we're getting and that's from people in the same area!!!!! Mind blowing

That's the Mad thread for you 'mostly full of English who want snow in there own area and if it is showing in other parts on the country and not there specific area then it's throw dolls out of the pram time .

Also I think to myself sometimes can they really read what the charts are saying . They go hours upon hours ahead when there could be all kinds of wobbles . Stick to what meto are suggesting sod all that wisimby rubbish ☺

[keithlucky]

24 minutes ago, A Frayed Knot said:

 

Totally correct heavy sleet/snow showers Sunday night Monday Tuesday,could well give a good covering any were across Wales with colder weather we could be pleasantly surprised.,As you said they they demand the beast from the east,but he hiding.So WEST IS BEST!!!

[andymusic]

6am sunday - nice early start lol

Monday

Tuesday

Wednesday

low pressure anomaly slower to form on this run but more snow depending on exact track

Thursday night/Friday morning

cold on this run holds for at least a full week so any snow on the ground should keep nice and frozen

any further is too far ahead to see any possible "breakdown" for now

[NoTraction]

Mid and North Wales looks the best! Get In There!!!!!

 

Oh,,,,,, i just remember'd i'm down South..... lol.

 

Well here's hoping we get in on some White Action right down to the coast. Snow line will change up an down with each model run.

Good Luck everyone!!!!

[andymusic]

34 minutes ago, NoTraction said:

Mid and North Wales looks the best! Get In There!!!!!

 

Oh,,,,,, i just remember'd i'm down South..... lol.

 

Well here's hoping we get in on some White Action right down to the coast. Snow line will change up an down with each model run.

Good Luck everyone!!!!

gfsp extends the cold to over a week and beyond and delivers copious amounts of snow all over Wales

20 - 25cm widely

 

Edited January 26, 2019 by andymusic

[Marcus_surfer]

[NoTraction]

Yes gfsp 18z possibly the best run of the winter so far for us in Wales. And the cold arrives in 36 hours....

Feet firmly on the ground though. lets look for support to build from other models on the 0z runs with regards to duration of cold.

Long range models are all going for cold February so i am expecting(hoping) to see a shift soon towards this sort of outcome...

[A Frayed Knot]

1 hour ago, andymusic said:

gfsp extends the cold to over a week and beyond and delivers copious amounts of snow all over Wales

20 - 25cm widely

 

@andymusic please don't post this in the mad head English only thread as they will pull there teeth out and go on the plonk all night .

I would love to see a UK All over snow though 'just some in there wants it in my back garden event .

I myself think that the last week in march is going to go stonking with cold .

Also Tuesday is looking fine not 100% there but still game on and marginal .

[dyl232]

I reckon temps will be a tad too high again for any settling snow, like last week. Hope im wrong though