Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

[andymusic]

and our next cold shot only 3 days away after a tad milder spell

and next week this

 

[lindy2222]

Ive got funeral on wednesday ..so you think more snow........

[Jonathan Rhodri Roberts]

What a rollercoaster this winter is turning out to be from frost & ice to balmy temperatures by Saturday with an overnight low of 11C, very impressive for January... anyone fancy a bbq on the beach? 

[coldie]

The snow has nearly all melted now, im happy with what we had tho I was only expecting a brief sleet shower at best  roll on the next cold snap/spell!

[beatpete]

 

[keithlucky]

Looking better snow prospects for Saturday night  Sunday the wind direction more from the north with   colder conditions , 

Edited January 23, 2019 by keithlucky

[A Frayed Knot]

Seems like winter is a no go according by the ups and downs in the banter model discussion.

Roll on a spring like thread then . Tut tut tut .

[Jackfrost]

4 hours ago, A Frayed Knot said:

Seems like winter is a no go according by the ups and downs in the banter model discussion.

Roll on a spring like thread then . Tut tut tut .

Where do you keep getting this from? Those in the MOD threads are a capricious bunch: it's obvious to anyone that even in the mildest of winters (which this isn't, despite it having been benign so far), the season isn't over on Jan. 24th.

Anyway, a decent GFS run for us this morning. I won't post the whole set of charts, just the snow accumulation map. This is exactly one week away so it's prone to change, but it's surely comforting to know that most of the next week will almost certainly have below average temperatures with plenty of moisture around thanks to the presence of low pressure.

[lindy2222]

Netweather says ive got highest snow risk from Tuesday to saturday next week.................................

[andymusic]

4 hours ago, Jackfrost said:

Where do you keep getting this from? Those in the MOD threads are a capricious bunch: it's obvious to anyone that even in the mildest of winters (which this isn't, despite it having been benign so far), the season isn't over on Jan. 24th.

Anyway, a decent GFS run for us this morning. I won't post the whole set of charts, just the snow accumulation map. This is exactly one week away so it's prone to change, but it's surely comforting to know that most of the next week will almost certainly have below average temperatures with plenty of moisture around thanks to the presence of low pressure.

yes - most models firming up on the general theme possibly from sunday onwards - slight delay as it was gonna be Saturday - of cold to very cold 850s and also the odd marginal incursions of low pressure into Wales - dumping loads of snow - details to be ironed out - but we could be looking at lots of the stuff - the caveat being as before no looking more than about 4 days out unfortunately as updates are changing fast!

[andymusic]

9 hours ago, A Frayed Knot said:

Seems like winter is a no go according by the ups and downs in the banter model discussion.

Roll on a spring like thread then . Tut tut tut .

February and march should be our coldest and best ops for snow - it's coming - not long to wait now

[andymusic]

snow ops kick off as early as lunchtime sunday

battleground dumpings Wednesday

[Jonathan Rhodri Roberts]

Well we might be struggling to get snow in Porthcawl but one thing we can rely on is the gales, nothing 'marginal' about those so we have much more confidence of these arriving here surfs up! 

[andymusic]

possibly a little disruptive snow next week eh - we shall see eh

[whiskers]

Just now, andymusic said:

possibly a little disruptive snow next week eh - we shall see eh

Wishful thinking!

[andymusic]

16 minutes ago, whiskers said:

Wishful thinking!

my little joke - must put them lols on lol - while wait for part 2/3

[keithlucky]

Fantastic outputs continually again and again possible snow from the cold front moving south,Sunday night  could give a couple of cms,bitter northerly bitterly cold wind with moisture picking up from the Irish sea streamers developing Monday Tuesday in a unstable air flow More organized band of snow moving across Wales Wednesday,Daytime temperature around 2c in the south.

[Weather roller-coaster]

Gone really boring the weather lately hopefully have a good gale with snow if we get some just hope it's not put back to that word 10days again.

[andymusic]

22 minutes ago, keithlucky said:

Fantastic outputs continually again and again possible snow from the cold front moving south,Sunday night  could give a couple of cms,bitter northerly bitterly cold wind with moisture picking up from the Irish sea streamers developing Monday Tuesday in a unstable air flow More organized band of snow moving across Wales Wednesday,Daytime temperature around 2c in the south.

yep - that battleground low moving through on Wednesday giving 12 hours of heavy snow as it moves through - but we won't know it's actual trajectory until closer to the day

[freeze for all]

I'd b happy with this the way this winter is going

[whiskers]

So confused after being in the mod thread,some saying it will somesaying it won’t,heads in the shed after being in there!

 

[lindy2222]

1 hour ago, whiskers said:

So confused after being in the mod thread,some saying it will somesaying it won’t,heads in the shed after being in there!

Best not go there always negative...............its cheerier in Wales..

 

[Loadsa2000]

[andymusic]

2 hours ago, whiskers said:

So confused after being in the mod thread,some saying it will somesaying it won’t,heads in the shed after being in there!

 

don't be confused - be snow.com - loads a coming next week that's for sure

[snowy36]

What a mess the charts are , i dont believe anything past 72 hours tonight . I'll start to believe some of these charts come saturday evening until then it's just a total guess what will happen.