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Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion


A.J

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Posted
  • Location: Strumble Head Pembrokeshire 60m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow and hot sun
  • Location: Strumble Head Pembrokeshire 60m asl
42 minutes ago, andymusic said:

est snow accum totals gfsp

gfsp snow accum.gif

Guess that leaves us @Strumble Head Lighthouse out this time :oldsorry:

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Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
15 minutes ago, Penfoel said:

Guess that leaves us @Strumble Head Lighthouse out this time :oldsorry:

don't think ya gonna miss out with the depth of cold shown - those are computer estimations - you'll see some snow I've no doubt - and if we get an atlantic front bumping up against some frigid cold air over us could be right down to the sea on all coasts in wales

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Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl

met office news release

Cold weather is now affecting most of the UK and there are strong signals this could last well into February bringing a range of winter hazards including widespread frosts, ice and snow.

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Posted
  • Location: Sth Staffs/Shrops 105m/345' & NW Snowdonia 219m/719'
  • Location: Sth Staffs/Shrops 105m/345' & NW Snowdonia 219m/719'

 

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Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl

these are some choice charts from the gfs 6z - lets see if the 12z can do any better (or hopefully not worse)

Monday night

image.thumb.png.fd417c7bddb5a1f0f98ff351140d06ec.png

Tuesday

image.thumb.png.a76a40ff109549c2f3d016a9bb7ff11e.png

image.thumb.png.3172e502a9ec04c304f06756f06a5cd5.png

Wednesday

image.thumb.png.9311419e94e5abd5f143e63243a2ff96.png

image.thumb.png.33a3ce8f6d4af95b0450bef609341637.png

That's a good start - with the severe cold in - snow could then turn up at anytime

Let's see what the 12zs can bring

 

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Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl

another wadge of snow falling on Wales generally Wednesday as the easterly/north easterly begins to bite down and ssw really digs in

image.thumb.png.b4a268ea1921993fed9f69b1746e2e56.png

Edited by andymusic
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Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl

lots of little wriggles in the flow in an unstable north easterly airmass bringing more snow Wednesday night/Thursday

image.thumb.png.f30b3ae7c4cf6d79abd4652afd125099.png

 

Edited by andymusic
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Posted
  • Location: Powys Mid Wales borders.
  • Location: Powys Mid Wales borders.

Snow lasted longer than expected today stuck very easily this morning and even drifting on the yard/lanes roof...a slight covering.

Today has exceeded my expectations,winter has broke its duck 1.9c max coldest day so far in a Sly could you make that up no.

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Posted
  • Location: gwynedd
  • Weather Preferences: Snow/blizzard
  • Location: gwynedd
1 hour ago, andymusic said:

these are some choice charts from the gfs 6z - lets see if the 12z can do any better (or hopefully not worse)

Monday night

image.thumb.png.fd417c7bddb5a1f0f98ff351140d06ec.png

Tuesday

image.thumb.png.a76a40ff109549c2f3d016a9bb7ff11e.png

image.thumb.png.3172e502a9ec04c304f06756f06a5cd5.png

Wednesday

image.thumb.png.9311419e94e5abd5f143e63243a2ff96.png

image.thumb.png.33a3ce8f6d4af95b0450bef609341637.png

That's a good start - with the severe cold in - snow could then turn up at anytime

Let's see what the 12zs can bring

 

What are the chances of those charts verifying though Andynot once for my location the last couple of times

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Posted
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
50 minutes ago, andymusic said:

lots of little wriggles in the flow in an unstable north easterly airmass bringing more snow Wednesday night/Thursday

image.thumb.png.f30b3ae7c4cf6d79abd4652afd125099.png

 

Yes never seen model outputs as good as this in 40 years of model watching.after the initial attack from the West with active weather system very slowly moving west to east across Wales(possiblystalling front) providing heavy snow Monday night into Tuesday.We then get a bitter North East normally dry wind but this different with LPressure sending pulses of snow moving east west across  Wales .FANTASTIC winter weather.ANDY send in the Huskies!!!!!

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Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
8 minutes ago, dyl232 said:

What are the chances of those charts verifying though Andynot once for my location the last couple of times

what - not even last years major easterlies? - I think this is fairly nailed on now - time to get prepped

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Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl

Coming to a street or your street near you lol - don't know why I'm laughing - this could be as bad as it looks shortly

coming down your street shortly.jpg

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Posted
  • Location: gwynedd
  • Weather Preferences: Snow/blizzard
  • Location: gwynedd
2 minutes ago, andymusic said:

what - not even last years major easterlies? - I think this is fairly nailed on now - time to get prepped

i meant the last couple of times, last month etc 

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Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl

GFSp 12z is mental - Wales/UK starts to develop it's own GLACIER at this point and we all have to consider moving out or down to Barry Island lol

 

gfsp snow mental.png

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Posted
  • Location: Hengoed 208m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snowy..warm summers but not so hot you can fry an egg on the ground
  • Location: Hengoed 208m asl

All seems very surreal this...we are possibly on the verge of something truly special!???❄❄❄❄❄

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Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
Just now, Steve Murr said:

Wales ( >150M ) is going to get pummeled this week-

I reakon Tues-weds  >150-200M all snow events

150-200M 5-10cm

200-300M up to 20cm

Highest tops 20-30 

Thanks Steve - pop over and help dig us out lol

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Posted
  • Location: Ynysybwl 200msl
  • Location: Ynysybwl 200msl
10 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Wales ( >150M ) is going to get pummeled this week-

I reakon Tues-weds  >150-200M all snow events

150-200M 5-10cm

200-300M up to 20cm

Highest tops 20-30 

Come over here whenever u like , we'll make u a honorary welshman with news like that.

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Posted
  • Location: Glyn Ceiriog. 197m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow in winter, good sun at other times with appropriate rain.
  • Location: Glyn Ceiriog. 197m ASL

So is it defo going to happen @andymusic?  And possible timescales.  Madmod  thread in snow heaven meltdown, feel safest asking here.

 

Been snowing on and off all day here but sleety now.  

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Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
7 minutes ago, snefnug said:

So is it defo going to happen @andymusic?  And possible timescales.  Madmod  thread in snow heaven meltdown, feel safest asking here.

 

Been snowing on and off all day here but sleety now.  

Monday night/Tuesday/Wednesday - quite a lot of snow all over Wales - get prepped - and then locked into the cold or extreme cold afterwards with more snow - possibly even 1980s style dumpings

Edited by andymusic
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