Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

[A Frayed Knot]

29 minutes ago, A Frayed Knot said:

' I wonder what he meant by this then

Winds increasing with widespread rain ... ah well

[Alicol]

It's looking a bit festive midweek with the prospect of snow for Wednesday so on that happy note - Nadolig Llawen pawb, and I hope you all have a fabulous Christmas.

[lindy2222]

Have  a merry xmas met office got sun for us....if its to snow we will get it.....

 

[andymusic]

Looks like Wales is in the sweet spot again - Merry xmas and happy new year everyone

 

[andymusic]

On ‎21‎/‎12‎/‎2017 at 19:01, A Frayed Knot said:

Just watched Derek Brockway  forecast for Christmas eve and Day ' at the end of his forecast he did say BIG CHANGES NEXT WEEK ' I wonder what he meant by this then

he's retiring and Sue Charles is taking over LOL

[keithlucky]

Merry xmas allNice let it snow let it snow for th27th December https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=1&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwic58iumaPYAhXCAsAKHaD7A78Q3ywIMDAA&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fwatch%3Fv%3Do2uvtl-1V70&usg=AOvVaw36kWNTFOOR7jffCYxPlGof

[andymusic]

[andymusic]

well this covers all eventualities lol - meto on the sauce I think - merry xmas lol

Yellow Warning of Rain and Snow for Wales

 

Yellow Warning of Rain and Snow for Wales : Conwy, Denbighshire, Flintshire, Gwynedd, Ceredigion, Powys, Wrexham, Carmarthenshire, Blaenau Gwent, Caerphilly, Merthyr Tydfil, Monmouthshire, Rhonnda Cynon Taff, Torfaen & Newport valid from 1800 Tue 26 Dec to 1100 Wed 27 Dec

[andymusic]

Chief Forecaster's assessment

A weather system moving east across southern England is likely to bring a mix of heavy rain and snow. 15-25 mm of rain is likely quite widely within the warning area with some places receiving 30-40 mm. As the rain becomes increasingly heavy, it is likely to turn to snow in places, initially over parts of Wales and perhaps the Peak District then over central England in the early hours of Wednesday. Snow may fall to increasingly low levels, giving a cm or two in places. with 2-5 cm accumulating locally above 100 m, and perhaps 10 cm in a few places. These larger amounts are more likely over Wales whilst East Anglia and Lincolnshire see little or no snow. There is low confidence in the balance between rain and snow with marked variations likely from place to place in the amounts of any snow

[andymusic]

Chris Fawkes after tonights ECM

EC12Z run has shifted snow south 27th December, London Midlands & Wales latest targets, still 15-20+cm

[andymusic]

tomorrow's/Tuesday's Brecon beacons meto forecast

Clear spells and scattered wintry showers are forecast in the early hours with a widespread frost, and showers during morning with bright spells in valleys and patchy low cloud covering hills. Cloud will increase around midday with heavy rain at low levels, and sleet and snow above 300 metres, then snow at all levels later. Widespread fog will form on hills at all levels.

[valley blue_501]

11 hours ago, andymusic said:

tomorrow's/Tuesday's Brecon beacons meto forecast

Clear spells and scattered wintry showers are forecast in the early hours with a widespread frost, and showers during morning with bright spells in valleys and patchy low cloud covering hills. Cloud will increase around midday with heavy rain at low levels, and sleet and snow above 300 metres, then snow at all levels later. Widespread fog will form on hills at all levels.

Should be interesting for us at the top of eastern valley in Blaenavon then. 350M plus ASL bits of snow in the air this morning at 3C

[andymusic]

 

[Carl46Wrexham]

Northern Wales looks dry now. Some will get snow..some are going to get quite a bit of rain. 

[andymusic]

Cardiff has been added to the warning area

Yellow Warning of Rain and Snow for Wales

 

Yellow Warning of Rain and Snow for Wales : Blaenau Gwent, Caerphilly, Carmarthenshire, Ceredigion, Merthyr Tydfil, Monmouthshire, Newport, Powys, Rhonnda Cynon Taff, Torfaen, Wrexham, Bridgend, Neath Port Talbot, Cardiff & Vale of Glamorgan valid from 1800 Tue 26 Dec to 1100 Wed 27 Dec

[freeze for all]

I was pleased when I saw the weather warning yesterday cos I wasn't in it but now I am and 25mm of rain is not wot I wanted to have ??

Edited December 26, 2017 by freeze for all

[A Frayed Knot]

Light rain here ' waiting for the cold wind to dig in then will it wont it .

[andymusic]

my take on this is 6pm onwards is when the fun could start - already southern Ireland has some sleet/snow in the mix with the swirling front

[A Frayed Knot]

Rain Rain and just Rain ' Feeling cold though .

[Fujita scale]

[Marcus_surfer]

Torrential rain here 

[Jackfrost]

Heavy rain turning quickly to snow here.

The 12Z shows a heavy band of snow stretching from Southeast Wales up into the Midlands. Certainly an upgrade if this materialises and it would make this December, despite not being a cold month, the snowiest here since January 2013 with two significant snow events:

Edited December 26, 2017 by Jackfrost

[andymusic]

6 minutes ago, Jackfrost said:

Heavy rain turning rapidly to snow here.

The 12Z shows a heavy band of snow stretching from Southeast Wales up into the Midlands. Certainly an upgrade if this materialises:

shouldn't be long before it turns here then

[Jackfrost]

3 minutes ago, andymusic said:

shouldn't be long before it turns here then

Ahh, perhaps I should have been clearer: it's not exactly blowing a blizzard of fluffy white flakes up here, but there's a wintry component to the rain that definitely wasn't there a short while ago! Checking the Dowlais and Rhymney traffic cameras, it looks like it's now snowing properly up there.

[andymusic]

2 minutes ago, Jackfrost said:

Ahh, perhaps I should have been clearer: it's not exactly blowing a blizzard of fluffy white flakes up here, but there's a wintry component to the rain that definitely wasn't there a short while ago! Checking the Dowlais and Rhymney traffic cameras, it looks like it's now snowing properly up there.

no worries - storey arms webcam - looks like it's getting a pasting up there - according to gfs a good potential 9 hours of snow ahead of us - we shall see

Edited December 26, 2017 by andymusic