Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

[Summerstorm]

Still snowing here around 5.5 inches of snow at the moment which isn't bad considering we missed the worst of it here in the North East.

[thetipster]

Wednesday  and Thursday  next  to keep an eye on 

[Jackfrost]

Don't get too excited but the edge of that storm centred over Northern France is getting tantalisingly close to the southeast corner of Wales and the easterly wind is really howling at the moment. One to watch this morning.

[Jayfromcardiff]

Just now, Jackfrost said:

Don't get too excited but the edge of that storm centred over Northern France is getting tantalisingly close to the southeast corner of Wales and the easterly wind is really howling at the moment. One to watch this morning.

Yep been watching since I got up at 6am. What's your thoughts on it?

[Jackfrost]

6 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

Yep been watching since I got up at 6am. What's your thoughts on it?

I'm being cautious. Nothing is impossible and there's always a potential for surprises - yesterday, for one - but twice in a row would unlikely. That said, the centre of it does seem to be pivoting over Normandy and the outer edges have been steadily creeping in our direction for the last few hours, so who knows: perhaps some further light snow isn't out of the question! Do you remember Feb. 8th 2007? A low was forecast to track across Northern France but ended up coming north over southern Britain, giving us a second day of heavy snow.

Edited December 11, 2017 by Jackfrost

[Jayfromcardiff]

1 minute ago, Jackfrost said:

I'm being cautious. Nothing is impossible and there's always a potential for surprises - yesterday, for one - but twice in a row would unlikely. That said, the centre of it does seem to be pivoting over Normandy and the outer edges have been steadily creeping in our direction for the last few hours, so who knows: perhaps some further light snow isn't out of the question! Do you remember Feb. 8th 2007? A low was forecast to track across Northern France but ended up coming north over the southern UK, giving us a second day of heavy snow.

Yep I remember that.

Well we'll see what happens anyway not getting too excited. That wind outside is howling so if any snow arrives it'll be blizzards.

[Jackfrost]

Just now, Jayfromcardiff said:

Yep I remember that.

Well we'll see what happens anyway not getting too excited. That wind outside is howling so if any snow arrives it'll be blizzards.

Yeah, I'm trying to not get excited because the likelihood is that nothing will happen.

Do you recall hearing anything about the strong easterly wind this morning? I don't, and it seems to be associated with the storm over Normandy. Who knows, perhaps something is afoot up there! 

[Jayfromcardiff]

Just now, Jackfrost said:

Yeah, I'm trying to not get excited because the likelihood is that nothing will happen.

Do you recall hearing anything about the strong easterly wind this morning? I don't, and it seems to be associated with the storm over Normandy. Who knows, perhaps something is afoot up there! 

That's true. It appears the system is pivoting too so we'll see what happens lol surely hey can't get this wrong or can they?

[Jackfrost]

8 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

That's true. It appears the system is pivoting too so we'll see what happens lol surely hey can't get this wrong or can they?

We shall see.

In our favour, Storm Ana is definitely pivoting over Northern France (I haven't been following its forecast track and I don't know if that was supposed to happen), there's a bitter howling wind coming from the east, the precipitation band is still heading northwesterly, now approaching Bristol, and it's damn cold. Flakes in the air here, too; have been for about three hours.

Working against is the fact that these days, forecasts rarely go so wrong as such a short juncture!

Edited December 11, 2017 by Jackfrost

[Stevetynant]

Well it was snowing when I left for work again this morning - short lived I'm guessing but if we had no snow at all for the rest of this winter I'd still be happy after the weekend we've just had

[Snowmadsam]

With winds in a N direction don’t rule out precipitation today in the West. Pembs dangler May form...

[dbaloo]

Getting ready for the next snow chase now!!

[andymusic]

feeling a bit of model/snow burn out here lol - loads of snow all around here and won't be going anywhere for a few days I'm sure - will be ICY too - mind how you go peeps

[Snowyowl9]

Wind picked up early on,did see some more drifting first,the edge of the secondary heading into the SE,been blowing all night by the looks.

-4.4c last night and -1.6c now with clear blue skies,little to no thaw in the sun.

A few snow showers later possible.

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/wrfnmm.php?ech=31&mode=42&map=330

[DeepSnow]

A nice sunny winters day here with a high of 4.3c so far, much warmer than yesterday! 

[Marcus_surfer]

Taken just now in the Brecon Beacons, lovely day although -3C at Story Arms!

[JamesL]

Great trip over to Brecon from Merthyr today. Looked beautiful. Could see the huge shower clouds to the west forming over the Irish Sea too which may give something later in the West of our region. 

Our baby is just 9 months old and loved the snow. Takes after his dad! 

[Stevetynant]

What a weekend it was - no snow for my part of the world before Christmas at least would be my guess but plenty of weather station watching tonight - gonna be an exceptionally cold one by the look of it

 

[snefnug]

Ooh, little snow flurry there?

[Snowyowl9]

Yep odd light snow showers filtering in.

[andymusic]

looks like a cracking dangler today - any snow coming from that? - it's freezing out there today though - even when the sun was up and I was trying to get the snow off the car it was bitter and icy under foot - gonna be stupidly cold tonight - double figures minuses

[freeze for all]

Was supposed to b clear and freezing tonight, well it's cloudy and had a light snow shower 10 mins ago and temp 2c

[andymusic]

3 hours ago, Stevetynant said:

What a weekend it was - no snow for my part of the world before Christmas at least would be my guess but plenty of weather station watching tonight - gonna be an exceptionally cold one by the look of it

 

more on the way this week apparently Steve

the mild blip middle of the week is a blink and you'll miss it affair

Edited December 11, 2017 by andymusic

[whiskers]

It's -6 here in Blackwood,struggling to open car door!!  Keep safe everyone! 

[Simon SWales]

Forcsst rain tonight. At 3 degrees. It's -9.7 here in Brynmawr atm with 15 inches of lying snow. I'm.beginning to wonder if this rain will be snow especially as the temperatures on the BBC forecast have been miles out. Saying-2 atm but it's miles out. Same on Sunday. Didn't get above -1 All day yet rain and sleet forecast at 2 degrees. Time will tell.