Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

[freeze for all]

Happy new year all, the models have led us up the garden path again and r not looking good if it's cold and snow u want

[Carl46Wrexham]

38 minutes ago, freeze for all said:

Happy new year all, the models have led us up the garden path again and r not looking good if it's cold and snow u want

That is no surprise. January now. Listen carefully enough and you might just hear the faint sounds of the clock ticking on this winter.

[Snowyowl9]

Heaviest snow of the winter looking likely now 1.6c

Edited January 1, 2017 by Snowyowl9

[whiskers]

I'm so cofused!! I was all excited coz of the best winter cold setup,that went,that was gutting,in the forum there's lots of confusion there is cold there's not cold,what's going on???

[Snowyowl9]

Heaviest snow of the winter looking likely now.

Beat the last snowfall by a fraction,gave a brief dusting.

Don`t hope for much these days.

[gareth moo]

7 hours ago, whiskers said:

I'm so cofused!! I was all excited coz of the best winter cold setup,that went,that was gutting,in the forum there's lots of confusion there is cold there's not cold,what's going on???

Patience. It's coming.... Loads of background signals and proper cold now knocking upon the European door. If the deep cold invades Europe, we can pick up a cold source from an additional bearing. Just need to get rid of this stubborn lingering HP to our South.

[kar999]

At least the mountain tops of the Snowdon range and Ogwen range had a nice covering.

Turned into a lovely crisp afternoon (with a tad of wind chill!)

Edited January 1, 2017 by kar999

[andymusic]

12 hours ago, gareth moo said:

Patience. It's coming.... Loads of background signals and proper cold now knocking upon the European door. If the deep cold invades Europe, we can pick up a cold source from an additional bearing. Just need to get rid of this stubborn lingering HP to our South.

yes it looks like it's delayed once again just like the trains - so now we have a start date of about 10th - 11th maybe - 5 days late lol

[freeze for all]

24 minutes ago, andymusic said:

yes it looks like it's delayed once again just like the trains - so now we have a start date of about 10th - 11th maybe - 5 days late lol

It always get pushed back and I bet by the 10th the models will b showing it will b cold from the 20th 

[andymusic]

44 minutes ago, freeze for all said:

It always get pushed back and I bet by the 10th the models will b showing it will b cold from the 20th 

I think you could be right - only get dragged in properly once it gets at least under 144 hrs - until then we wait

[Clair_Witch]

I'm still waiting patiently for some real cold weather to arrive. I had such high hopes for this winter, but the cold keeps getting pushed back time and time again. But, I guess it's only January and we have a good 8-10 weeks yet.

[andymusic]

it's getting pushed back again - not liking the way this is going folks

[andymusic]

ECM looking pretty damn wintry now around the 10th Jan - switching about - sounds like there still might be something to play for

[cardiff lad]

Might change again but seems a lot of websites are going for mid January cold .

[welshwizard]

Happy new year to all.   I see the one and only paper has hit with a ice storm headline. Blizzards _15 etc etc. Maybe this yr they will get it right. I myself think we could get very cold before long.

[andymusic]

sticking my neck out again - the 13th Jan now looking like the start of the real cold/snow possibilities

[whiskers]

Well here we go again,the roller coaster ride is back on! Will it or won't it this time?

what are people thinking?? 

[freeze for all]

The garden path is a hell of a lot longer than it usually is, that's wot I'm thinking

[keithlucky]

Nice to so see possibilties of some cold Nwesterly flow with some heavy prolonged wintry showers on its way thorsday Friday next weekBut what i find even more intersting is that the met are struggling to handle further outlook beyoud 6days ,The models cannot seem to handle a possible complete turn around to East  or a N east flow ,expect some excited model forun watches next week.

Edited January 7, 2017 by keithlucky

[gareth moo]

12 hours ago, keithlucky said:

Nice to so see possibilties of some cold Nwesterly flow with some heavy prolonged wintry showers on its way thorsday Friday next weekBut what i find even more intersting is that the met are struggling to handle further outlook beyoud 6days ,The models cannot seem to handle a possible complete turn around to East  or a N east flow ,expect some excited model forun watches next week.

Yes Keith. Things firming up for potential late next week into weekend. It's only potential as yet and as always since 2010 'Marginal' is the key word. However, we often do well from a NW flow - streamer time maybe??

[Ukwoody]

Just to remind us all.  This was taken today in 2010 in Haverfordwest, Pembrokeshire. (credit to local town councillor Sue Murray for letting me share this.)

[andymusic]

ECM now completely on board and GFS - so from thursday night onwards - sledges at the ready

[whiskers]

What parts of wales may be included in the fun?! 

[A Frayed Knot]

The Mountains ... Knowing our luck .

 

[andymusic]

5 hours ago, A Frayed Knot said:

The Mountains ... Knowing our luck .

 

don't think so - this time of the year it won't take much for all sea levels to get something - and gfs is playing around with something for saturday morning now - mini snow storm - we shall see