Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

[keithlucky]

At last some change taking place on January 1 as colder air pushes in from the N west with possibleback edge snow

[keithlucky]

Very positive tweet from Joe B a europe whiteout on its way in the New Year This is indicating that the models think there’s going to be a lot of snow on the ground in the UK and all through western Europe.” -

Edited December 27, 2016 by keithlucky

[gareth moo]

You know that something is afoot out there in FI when the usual posters in the Model thread start spitting their dummies out and disparaging each other!

Nonetheless a new year packed with cold potential on the way.

[Sky Full]

Absolutely stunning day today.  Sparkling sunshine all day, max 7C, min 3C, slight iciness on the roads where the sun hasn't reached this morning.  If it stayed like this until March I wouldn't complain.

[Carl46Wrexham]

Glorious crisp sunshine of earlier has been replaced by dense freezing fog.

Temp : -0.7c

[keithlucky]

23 hours ago, keithlucky said:

Very positive tweet from Joe B a europe whiteout on its way in the New Year This is indicating that the models think there’s going to be a lot of snow on the ground in the UK and all through western Europe.” -

 Another possible northerly outbreak around the 7th with snow showers feeding down from the north

[andymusic]

2 minutes ago, keithlucky said:

 Another possible northerly outbreak around the 7th with snow showers feeding down from the north

not jumping on that bandwagon just yet a little too FI - lets see how the initial northerly pans out 1st and high pressure - but joe b seems convinced

Edited December 28, 2016 by andymusic

[Sky Full]

Very dull this morning - cold with low cloud and almost no movement in the air.  Quite a contrast from yesterday but at least it's dry and no fog!  Looks like we'll keep these conditions until Sunday when the cold front moves through and introduces a brief northerly.  Sadly any chance of snow now pushed well into the second week of January but with any luck this might change within the next few days.

[andymusic]

GFS 6z today - wowish - blizzards - major ICE days - all thrown in today as from about the 7th - 8th of Jan onwards - do we dare believe it?????????????????????????????

[gareth moo]

1 hour ago, andymusic said:

GFS 6z today - wowish - blizzards - major ICE days - all thrown in today as from about the 7th - 8th of Jan onwards - do we dare believe it?????????????????????????????

Bonkers charts from the GFS. Nearly all the UK in minus double figures daytime surface air temps!!

Surely it won't happen Andy????? !!!!!!!

[andymusic]

1 minute ago, gareth moo said:

Bonkers charts from the GFS. Nearly all the UK in minus double figures daytime surface air temps!!

Surely it won't happen Andy????? !!!!!!!

bit off the scales and again way out in FI land - plus the 6z isn't always the one to go with - bit like the pub run 18z - can be a bit eratic - but ya never know - could be onto something and joe b seems a little spooked too

[andymusic]

Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi Dec 26

Europe get ready, cause the train is coming. 1-6,6-11,11-16 may be alot of snow on the ground western Europe into UK in 11-16

[andymusic]

12z still looking potentially good as from around 6th -7th Jan - but not as good as the 6z - so the gfs is "playing" around with some cold/snow ideas - but at this far out - who knows how bad/good it might get

Just to add a full on BEASTERLY in FI - wowsers

 

could be game on if these sorts of output keep coming

Edited December 29, 2016 by andymusic

[keithlucky]

1 hour ago, andymusic said:

12z still looking potentially good as from around 6th -7th Jan - but not as good as the 6z - so the gfs is "playing" around with some cold/snow ideas - but at this far out - who knows how bad/good it might get

Just to add a full on BEASTERLY in FI - wowsers

 

could be game on if these sorts of output keep coming

"IF" only the snow risk charts are amazingly good nice eye candy the 1st jan 6th jan

Edited December 29, 2016 by keithlucky

[andymusic]

GFS & ECM are now almost singing from the same hymn sheet regarding the 6th Jan and onwards - looks like were on for a very wintry spell of weather folks

Edited December 30, 2016 by andymusic

[keithlucky]

2 minutes ago, andymusic said:

GFS & ECM are now almost singing from the same hymn sheet regarding the 6th Jan and onwards - looks like were on for a very wintry spell of weather folks

Update from Joe B major Arctic outbreak to effect uk and Europe from the 6th to the15 of January and beyound boldly stating it could last to MARCH

[andymusic]

10 minutes ago, keithlucky said:

Update from Joe B major Arctic outbreak to effect uk and Europe from the 6th to the15 of January and beyound boldly stating it could last to MARCH

very bold statement about till march - considering we only really know approx 10 days to two weeks ahead and that's flawed - offer caution about that but the 6th jan onwards is now looking more certain

[andymusic]

GFS 6z keeps the party going - seems we may have a situation developing here

[keithlucky]

44 minutes ago, andymusic said:

GFS 6z keeps the party going - seems we may have a situation developing here

Very snowy yes indeededthen the 6th

Edited December 30, 2016 by keithlucky

[DeepSnow]

I'd laugh now if regardless how cold it got I still managed to get rain!   Hopefully this will be a nice change for us to seem some decent winter weather again as I was living away in Uni when we had the last decent snowfalls down here so I haven't seen a good snowfall since 2010!

[whiskers]

I'm a little excited and biting my tongue not to mention it to anyone as you all know what happens if you do!   This is better than Xmas day itself! Would love a snow day! Cmon it's our turn for sure!    Anybody else a little excited?

[keithlucky]

56 minutes ago, whiskers said:

I'm a little excited and biting my tongue not to mention it to anyone as you all know what happens if you do!   This is better than Xmas day itself! Would love a snow day! Cmon it's our turn for sure!    Anybody else a little excited?

Could well see back edge snow over Breacons Beacons new years day and wintry showers for a few days then confident for  snow for the rest of Wales by the 7th );

Edited December 30, 2016 by keithlucky

[andymusic]

18 minutes ago, keithlucky said:

Could well see back edge snow over Breacons Beacons new years day and wintry showers for a few days then confident for  snow for the rest of Wales by the 7th );

detail is gonna be sketchy until we get closer to the time it happens but yes the possibility of snow is getting closer in Wales

[keithlucky]

8 minutes ago, andymusic said:

detail is gonna be sketchy until we get closer to the time it happens but yes the possibility of snow is getting closer in Wales

Long way to go Andy i know but the consistancy is there precipitation is hard to forecast but one thing looks odds on it will be cold with persistant hard night frosts for most of the week ahead.

Edited December 30, 2016 by keithlucky

[andymusic]

Happy New Year everyone - let 2017 come and the snows and cold begin