Ireland Regional Weather Discussion

[carboncowboy75]

Insane 18z it would b like the day after tomorrow lol

[mountain shadow]

Look out for black ice first thing. 

[Neiller22]

Just back home from Work. The roads are horrific. 

[ronan]

Alex Deakin sums up exactly how things are looking at the minute. Big question mark over next week and the way the models are acting at the minute it's hard to say what's going to happen! Have a watch in the link below.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[sundog]

Anyone else get the feeling that Dec will be a close but no cigar month. Perhaps a reasonable amount of chilly weather but no real cold ever getting established.

[Rocheydub]

Yep. Certainly feels that way, but that’s not very scientific!

[Weegaz]

26 minutes ago, sundog said:

Anyone else get the feeling that Dec will be a close but no cigar month. Perhaps a reasonable amount of chilly weather but no real cold ever getting established.

I think the problem is everyone is looking for the holy grail scenario, 2010 keeps getting mentioned and compared to and although I for one would love it again, its a 1 in 100 year event.

The cold this year we have experienced so far has, for me, made it feel like winter, along with the falls of snow in certain areas.

The model forum is getting to much for me now.

[Neiller22]

Unfortunately I think iv just realised getting proper snow is just basically impossible year in year out if at all. I will always follow the models but I just go with the flow and take what we are given. No point getting annoyed about it anymore as it rarely happens now. 

[Sperrin]

Very interesting 6z which would bring very interesting conditions around the 9th with back edge snow and a northerly forming in it's wake. The ens for Omagh show the huge drop in 850s (with the mean dropping from +5 to -5 in 24 hours and the op showing and even wilder swing) when the low drops SE. I know it's one run but this is beginning to pick up momentum and we seem to be in an ideal place if this low transpires and turns wintry,

[mountain shadow]

And we're back in the game!

Copious amounts of snow from Thursday on the 12z so far

Just need the ECM on board. 

[ronan]

Yes MS and finally some cross model agreement!! Coupd be a very interesting end to next week!!

[Weegaz]

GFS looking good for Thursday as the guys mention above, if it’s there come Tuesday and metO come on board then my excitement level will rise quite considerably.

 

[ronan]

Just ordered a weeks supply of Prozac!! Looking good folks!! If inly the ECM would get it's head out of its hole and catch up!! 

[gary1365]

Looks like some potential for next week although I'm not getting excited until the snow is falling lol. Knowing my luck I'll be working anyway and miss all the fun.

[Weegaz]

Such a waste all the snow falling in the Atlantic 

still looking good for end of next week, but i’m not allowing my hopes to get up yet

[Sperrin]

The 6z continues the theme of cold and snow for later in the working week. The ens for Omagh highlight the incredible drop in 850 temps, there's almost a 15°C drop in just over 24hrs!

Also showing a 95% chance of snow, hoping ECM is better this evening.

 

[Weegaz]

Maybe buy the handle for a snow shovel on Tuesday if charts continue to show good signs sperrin?

[ronan]

Good solid runs now regarding a northerly to end the week. I expect the EMC to be fully on board this evening(wishful thinking). In fact the latest runs bring the colder 850's in a little earlier. Very interesting week ahead!! I was in Iceland February this year and 50cms of snow fell the day we arrived. Would love to see something like that here. Would be epic! 

[mountain shadow]

If the ECM plays ball later on then the sledge will be getting waxed!

[ronan]

Getting there now folks. Another day of runs needed but i think it's fair to say that we will have snow by Friday. 

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Lots of excitement on the MT, which I am always wary about given the south east england bias, but I did like this graphic 

[ronan]

Yes Pom thats a cracking chart! That would result in helcopters having to drop in supplies to people living in the Sperrins ?? A wee bit like the spring blizzard of 2013! 

[Weegaz]

Friday looking like a day to take off work, MT in good tune as alluded to above.

Charts looking good for weekend coming, with a bit of luck we’ll see some of the white stuff 

Edit:- just had a look at metO forecast for tomorrow and noticed double snow symbols for Friday. I appreciate automated.....but gave a wee buzz all the same 

Edited December 2, 2017 by Weegaz

[Sperrin]

My Christmas work do in the Birches hotel in Omagh on Friday. Looks like we'll be snowed in. Ah well, will just have to continue drinking!

 

[ronan]

Nothing wrong with that. I have a wedding to photograph Saturday starting down near Magherafelt. May need a helicoptor to get over the Glenshane. Lol