Ireland Regional Weather Discussion

[booferking]

6 minutes ago, Sparky72 said:

Fair enough will avoid online forecasts to avoid further disappointment!:)

95% are done with gfs model i had 12cm yesterday on some apps and the same showing light rain for both days Thurs-Fri today.

[Guest]

Would the mixed front above NI on Wednesday night come down to us and turn to snow?

[mountain shadow]

For the 100th time, ignore the online app forecasts, they change constantly.

The high resolution models from tonight will give better guidance.

[mountain shadow]

Also, if the ECM is right, the Atlantic does not really get back in before an Easterly next week.

[sundog]

If it is right about the easterly ireland always remains just outside the proper cold though according to the run,would be bloody typical . Early days yet of course though.

Edited January 10, 2017 by sundog

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

12 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

Also, if the ECM is right, the Atlantic does not really get back in before an Easterly next week.

Will it get as far as us though? ECM has certainly been consistent in brining it in, hopefully you guy's in the East will get some benefit from it.

[booferking]

This looking like turning into a prolonged cold spell.

[Rocheydub]

16 minutes ago, sundog said:

If it is right about the easterly ireland always remains just outside the proper cold though according to the run,would be bloody typical . Early days yet of course though.

Indeed Sundog, we're too far east for the westerlies, and too far west for the easterlies!!!! No mans land!!!

[booferking]

Just now, Rocheydub said:

Indeed Sundog, we're too far east for the westerlies, and too far west for the easterlies!!!! No mans land!!!

Hopefully you guys get upgrades down the line for a stronger colder easterly also fronts coming up against the block from the atlantic will be one to watch also.

[Rocheydub]

Cheers, to be honest, a Small covering on Thursday when the kids get home from school would be good enough for me. I don't ask for much!!!

[Rocheydub]

High resolution model from France not predicting much for most of us when we're supposed to be at our coldest. 

[Hegzyy]

seen that  dont understand how it can be showing rain! only a positive note, euro4 is even higher res, and at 48hours, which is wednesday night, the -9 isotherm is almost touching ireland, and showers turning to snow wednesday night

[mountain shadow]

Panic not. The 6z GFS has plenty of snow showers packing in.

[mountain shadow]

43 minutes ago, Hegzyy said:

seen that  dont understand how it can be showing rain! only a positive note, euro4 is even higher res, and at 48hours, which is wednesday night, the -9 isotherm is almost touching ireland, and showers turning to snow wednesday night

Hegzyy, can you stick your location on please.

Ta

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

2 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

Panic not. The 6z GFS has plenty of snow showers packing in.

Yup fear not folks!

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/area/northern_ireland 

meto uncertain about whether it will get "milder" on Saturday the word perhaps is interesting

[Sperrin]

Doesn't appear to be as much potency in the high resolution models I'm viewing over the next few days. I had initially thought 15cm for my area but think it'll be more like 5-10cm at best. Always hard to tell how far inland the showers will punch. 

On the other hand, Met IE mention the possibility of cold Siberian air moving in from the east next week. Could be good for you guys who miss out from the PM airmass.

 

[Sparky72]

Yep warnings for my area down to just Wed now

[gary1365]

Been lurking around watching the models and this thread. I really am worried this is going to turn out a bit of a damp squib with last minute downgrades just a feeling hopefully I'm wrong. I have everything crossed for a decent dumping.

Edited January 10, 2017 by gary1365

[Hegzyy]

5 minutes ago, Sparky72 said:

Yep warnings for my area down to just Wed now

met office website still have warnings for Tyrone Derry and Antrim Wed,Thurs and Friday

[Sperrin]

Uh oh, not looking good!

[Weegaz]

Its a very volatile still by the looks of the charts, even the updates from MetO aren't inspiring.

I'm still confident some could do well out of it, especially Thursday, as below shows. 

For me 2cm of snow is better than none......10cm is a bonus.

Edited January 10, 2017 by Weegaz

[Hegzyy]

Never worry, Euro 4 6z just out, 48 hours time looks pretty good for most of us up North!

[Sperrin]

That's more like it Hegzyy!

[Weegaz]

8 minutes ago, Hegzyy said:

Never worry, Euro 4 6z just out, 48 hours time looks pretty good for most of us up North!

Ties in with GFS for Thursday Hegzyy