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North West England Regional Weather Discussion

A.J

By A.J
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Geordiesnow Accomplished

Geordiesnow

Posted
  • Location: Morecambe
  • Location: Morecambe
Posted
3 minutes ago, Stratocumulus perlucidus said:

12z GFS is an upgrade for some! Prolonging snow for 6hrs into friday

I don't think any organised snow will last for all that long as there is such strong winds within the flow but if any area does get caught in that, then expect blizzards for sure.

I think for us, I would want it a bit further Westwards as the PPN charts could well be a bit mis-leading in terms of it western extent, however too far west then the mild sector could come into play but as per ever, lets see what the forecasts say and of course the radar!

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Snow free zone Aficionado

Snow free zone

Posted
  • Location: Preston - Lancashire
  • Location: Preston - Lancashire
Posted
6 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

High res GFS

This is how I expect Thursday to play out given the wind flow, looks very promising..

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rhgfs483.gif 

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rhgfs513.gif

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rhgfs543.gif

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rhgfs488.gif

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rhgfs482.gif

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rhgfs484.gif  - marginal near coasts though 

Theres that word everyone west of the M6 dreads .................

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I Cumbria Marra I Seasoned

I Cumbria Marra I

Posted
  • Location: West Cumbria, Egremont 58m (190.3ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold/snow winter, Warm/hot summer, Thunderstorms, Severe Gales
  • Location: West Cumbria, Egremont 58m (190.3ft) ASL
Posted

Im sure if the showers are heavy which is more than likely then we'll see snow right on the beaches

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loubie_4 Enthusiast

loubie_4

Posted
  • Location: Maghull, Merseyside 29m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frost, storms
  • Location: Maghull, Merseyside 29m ASL
Posted
2 minutes ago, Snow free zone said:

Theres that word everyone west of the M6 dreads .................

Yep! Wonder if we'll get a wintry mix rather than the good stuff *starts praying* ;)

 

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chris78 Enthusiast

chris78

Posted
  • Location: Preston
  • Location: Preston
Posted
1 minute ago, Snow free zone said:

Theres that word everyone west of the M6 dreads .................

indeed SFZ,  I know there are all sorts ot ways we can in theory get snow here, but i will be forever tainted by 2010, i.e if ice days and minus double digits are not forecast, I expect sleet at best.

 

on 2010, the snow we got Dec 19th, was that the start of the bitter cold, or had we had ice days and bitter nights already by then?

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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted

Unbelievable roller coaster this and it hasn't even started yet!

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dodge Accomplished

dodge

Posted
  • Location: Oldham, Gtr Manchester
  • Location: Oldham, Gtr Manchester
Posted

Yes so today started with a downgrade for Thursday but now a possible upgrade for the early hours of Friday morning.  Indeed if some of the precipitation type charts come off, it would be blizzards on the tops of the pennines and not a great deal of fun even lower down..... still a lot to be decided before it's time for eyes-down nowcasting.  Windy tomorrow.

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pip22 Accomplished

pip22

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: very cold frosty days, blizzards, very hot weather, floods, storms
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
Posted

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Honestly I can see it upgrading to a amber warning somwhere in the NW England. Judging by the charts some places could see 20cm!!

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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted

Snowdome fully operational over Wirral and Merseyside going by this chart :nonono:

hirlamuk-1-48-0.png.735b05d3ef16fb565232f7855d13b5d8.png

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Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted

The window for us is being cut short by little shortwaves in the flow- one to south Thursday which halts the NW flow somewhat and one from north on Friday. However, Thurs eve still looks interesting here...this is Cheshire's best chance

57-102UK.GIF?10-12

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Stratocumulus perlucidus Community Regular

Stratocumulus perlucidus

Posted
  • Location: St helens, warrington, widnes border
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Clod snowy Winters
  • Location: St helens, warrington, widnes border
Posted

Its fridays shortwave that brings the more organised ppn early friday.

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Spah1 Accomplished

Spah1

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
Posted
35 minutes ago, pip22 said:

prectypeuktopo.png

prectypeuktopo.png

prectypeuktopo.png

prectypeuktopo.png

prectypeuktopo.png

prectypeuktopo.png

prectypeuktopo.png

Honestly I can see it upgrading to a amber warning somwhere in the NW England. Judging by the charts some places could see 20cm!!

Oh come on, everyone knows they are garbage! Use the high res short term mods for snow charts. image.jpg

i have this 'snow radar app'

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Spah1 Accomplished

Spah1

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
Posted

It's a radar event all day long. Beer, food, I pad, Lampost that's all you need. 

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Stratocumulus perlucidus Community Regular

Stratocumulus perlucidus

Posted
  • Location: St helens, warrington, widnes border
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Clod snowy Winters
  • Location: St helens, warrington, widnes border
Posted
Just now, Spah1 said:

It's a radar event all day long. Beer, food, I pad, Lampost that's all you need. 

Dont forget charger! Ipad runs down mega quick when your keep f5'ing all night lol

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Spah1 Accomplished

Spah1

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
Posted
Just now, Stratocumulus perlucidus said:

Dont forget charger! Ipad runs down mega quick when your keep f5'ing all night lol

I'll have laptop, I pad and iphone full-charge already to go!

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Stratocumulus perlucidus Community Regular

Stratocumulus perlucidus

Posted
  • Location: St helens, warrington, widnes border
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Clod snowy Winters
  • Location: St helens, warrington, widnes border
Posted

Speaking of which i need to update my sub for radar!

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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted
6 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

It's a radar event all day long. Beer, food, I pad, Lampost that's all you need. 

Like the sound of that! :good:

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Stratocumulus perlucidus Community Regular

Stratocumulus perlucidus

Posted
  • Location: St helens, warrington, widnes border
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Clod snowy Winters
  • Location: St helens, warrington, widnes border
Posted

Nmm 12z shows snow for st helens from 0900 thursday although very light

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Spah1 Accomplished

Spah1

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
Posted
4 minutes ago, Stratocumulus perlucidus said:

When does NMM update?

Don't know. There are so many models. Euro 4, Aperge, NMM. 

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Stratocumulus perlucidus Community Regular

Stratocumulus perlucidus

Posted
  • Location: St helens, warrington, widnes border
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Clod snowy Winters
  • Location: St helens, warrington, widnes border
Posted

Also shows first shortwave not digging too far north

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Cheese Rice Community Regular

Cheese Rice

Posted
  • Location: Manchester City center/ Leeds Bradfor Airport 200m
  • Location: Manchester City center/ Leeds Bradfor Airport 200m
Posted

I think its going to be a washout for most of the NW. 

 

Wintry showers been the order of the day but lying snow looks transient inland, towards the coast no chance, this is backed up by the EURO4. 

 

 

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frosty ground Veteran

frosty ground

Posted
  • Location: oldham
  • Location: oldham
Posted
7 minutes ago, Cheese Rice said:

I think its going to be a washout for most of the NW. 

 

Wintry showers been the order of the day but lying snow looks transient inland, towards the coast no chance, this is backed up by the EURO4. 

 

 

Any links...

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