North West England Regional Weather Discussion

[dodge]

Festive greetings to all NW members.  Some Christmas cheer being shown from the models going into the new year with cold potentials cropping up.  Have they been on the mulled wine with the hangover letdowns to come or could they be onto something?  We shall see.

Merry Christmas

[iand61]

glad to see a bit of sun this morning and it's certainly an improvement on yesterday evening when a 20 minute walk home ended with us all thoroughly soaked to the skin.

 

 

[toggerob]

Went to bed in the early hours after a few xmas tipples, must have been around 4 or 5 am that I was woken up by some brief strong winds with what sounded like small hail pellets hitting the window. Must have been a fleeting shower passing overhead as it was quiet after that for the rest of the early morning.

Edited December 26, 2016 by SNOW_JOKE

[iand61]

Not a bad day but I'm certainly glad I was wrapped up at the football this afternoon

not complaining though, it is winter after all and if the models stick to their guns we shouldn't be hearing much of "at least it will be mild" in the coming couple of weeks.

[Spah1]

Also, keep an eye for the possible low running in from NW as per UKMO-GM. That's 2 days now where it has appeared (albeit still considered a low prob) in UKMOproducts and some EC members.

 

Happy with this from the Mod thread from Ian F !!

[iand61]

30 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

Also, keep an eye for the possible low running in from NW as per UKMO-GM. That's 2 days now where it has appeared (albeit still considered a low prob) in UKMOproducts and some EC members.

 

Happy with this from the Mod thread from Ian F !!

New year, new weather hopefully.

in the meantime, mainly dry but a colder, more seasonal few days coming up.

[toggerob]

Manchester METAR looks promising for a inversion occurring overnight with the top of the layer forecast between 600ft to 1400ft. A early morning trip around the Peaks at sunrise will no doubt look photogenic for any early-birds up at that time. 

[Day 10]

A belated Merry Christmas to all, been very busy eating and getting drunk. Nice to see the models have cheered up somewhat, here's hoping to a white new year!!!

[SparkleS]

Bloody freezing!

[cheshire snow]

Yes -2c here not cold enough though for some in the mod thread.

C.S

[Chris.R]

At last, an air frost! First since the last week of November. 

[dodge]

Hard frost of most surfaces outside.  Just like the start to a day in late December should be.  Chalk and cheese between this winter and last.  Now we just need some of the fluffy white stuff to make an appearance.

Edited December 28, 2016 by dodgeredee

[iand61]

2 hours ago, dodgeredee said:

Hard frost of most surfaces outside.  Just like the start to a day in late December should be.  Chalk and cheese between this winter and last.  Now we just need some of the fluffy white stuff to make an appearance.

Agreed, I just hope that this is the start of a few weeks of proper winter conditions and not just a blip before "at least it will be mild" returns.

[shadowfax]

1 hour ago, iand61 said:

Agreed, I just hope that this is the start of a few weeks of proper winter conditions and not just a blip before "at least it will be mild" returns.

The fog has now descended and we are in in the white zone, looking forward to some real winter weather soon.

[iand61]

6 minutes ago, shadowfax said:

The fog has now descended and we are in in the white zone, looking forward to some real winter weather soon.

Oh yeah, been sat watching the TV and never noticed that.

I'm not keen on fog but at least it should hold the temperature down

[cheshire snow]

Snow row now up to 11 on the 2nd January and 15 on the 8th January.

C.S 

Quite a few memebers going for back edge snow NY Day into 02Jan,maybe a boxing day 2013 event 

Edited December 28, 2016 by cheshire snow

[Chris.R]

Temperature already plummeting again even before the sun has set.  I also have my new anemometer which i'm looking forward to testing over the winter.

Report as of 13:50. 

Temp: 2.8°C

rh: 94%

 

DP: 2.1°C

Pressure: 1037.9 mbar

Wind: from the SE; ( 143°) at 2 mph. 

 

 

Edited December 28, 2016 by Chris.R

[Day 10]

8 hours ago, cheshire snow said:

Snow row now up to 11 on the 2nd January and 15 on the 8th January.

C.S 

Quite a few memebers going for back edge snow NY Day into 02Jan,maybe a boxing day 2013 event 

Yes agree, I think we "COULD" be on the verge/start of a decent cold spell by next week. I'll go for snowfall at some point in this region early Jan. If we can eventually get that high toward Greenland then game on. Interesting few days model watching coming up.

[Chris.R]

Boxing Day 2014 surely?

A nice event but the wind turned on-shore later and it  all melted. 

[cheshire snow]

10 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

Boxing Day 2014 surely?

A nice event but the wind turned on-shore later and it  all melted. 

Yes you are correct my error.only difference this time is wind direction is Northerly

Just a question of can the cold air catch the PPNto be honest won't be to bothered if

It does not happen January shaping up very nicely. 

C.S

[Miamay]

Harsh frost this morning when going home everywhere white. Car temp said -1. Felt much colder than that.

[dodge]

No fog here despite the risk shown in the weather forecasts.  Second day running the skies are blue, bright and cold.  Chance of something wintry into New Years day still on a knife-edge....it will be a case of timing and if the cold air will be quick enough to catch up the rain band coming down from the north.  Hope the ingredients are mixed right.

Edited December 29, 2016 by dodgeredee

[Chris.R]

Minimum of -1.6°C overnight, only just rising above freezing now. 

[cheshire snow]

Holy God 06GFS Is insane and not in deepest FI Either

C.S 

[pip22]

9 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:

Holy God 06GFS Is insane and not in deepest FI Either

C.S 

Yep the model thread is in meltdown! I'm not believing it will go that cold!! 

Wait until it reaches 100 hrs then I shall start believing.