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The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion

A.J

By A.J
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Dancerwithwings Maestro

Dancerwithwings

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
Posted (edited)
49 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

the front moving southwards Fri am, bbc shows down the east coast, and thicknesses do not support snow for our region

 

hgt500-1000.png

Uppers at -7, Dew's at -2, surface temps at 0c to 1c :blink2: 

= 45-574UK.GIF?11-12  

Plus the Thickness dam line is on holiday...South of France last time i looked :cold:

Rtavn423.gif

Mild sector....There isn't one...please don't tell us -6 to -7 hPa's  is a mild sector :laugh:

Edited by Dancerwithwings
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chris pawsey Contributor

chris pawsey

Posted
  • Location: Kenilworth, Warks
  • Location: Kenilworth, Warks
Posted
7 minutes ago, Snowy L said:

It's sub-528 for all of the Midlands. The East coast may see rain though.

And also dew points maybe favourable. The Euro4 shows snow, could be a surprise for some :cold:

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Dancerwithwings Maestro

Dancerwithwings

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
Posted

Normally waiting for something to happen that's interesting in the 18z output, it's way out in FI and late, most of the time i can't be bothered.

But isn't it great for the first time in i really don't know how long......it's t12 to t18 :yahoo:

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I remember Atlantic 252 Maestro

I remember Atlantic 252

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted

It is a mild sector, you can see on the chart, this screams 'wintry mix' for low levels, Willinkent and high up members should be okay

hgt500-1000.pnghgt500-1000.pnghgt500-1000.pnghgt500-1000.png

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nobble Rising Star

nobble

Posted
  • Location: pelsall, 500ft asl (west mids)
  • Location: pelsall, 500ft asl (west mids)
Posted

updates on latest run , less rain

more heavy snow and light snow most of evening /early hours of Friday !!

sunday looks wet though :(

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Walsall Wood Snow Seasoned

Walsall Wood Snow

Posted
  • Location: Walsall Wood, Walsall, West Midlands 145m ASL
  • Location: Walsall Wood, Walsall, West Midlands 145m ASL
Posted

My expectations are low though I'm not without hope. But one thing to bear in mind is that here always seems to be a nowcast region. I therefore don't take precip charts even at short range too seriously as the outcome is usually slightly different to those. The band could therefore end up slightly further north, south, east or west to what they show. This leaves room for surprise anywhere really. We'll see soon enough though. Good luck everyone :good:.

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Walsall Wood Snow Seasoned

Walsall Wood Snow

Posted
  • Location: Walsall Wood, Walsall, West Midlands 145m ASL
  • Location: Walsall Wood, Walsall, West Midlands 145m ASL
Posted
7 minutes ago, nobble said:

updates on latest run , less rain

more heavy snow and light snow most of evening /early hours of Friday !!

sunday looks wet though :(

Although I still want it to happen, tomorrow Friday and Saturday I'm on some awful shifts at work, as I won't finish until 9pm tomorrow, 6pm Friday and 8:30pm Saturday. So even if we do get anything I won't really have any chance to enjoy it. I'm not off again until Sunday so it's just my luck that it'll be milder and raining then. At least it looks like getting colder again next week, with the models showing further promise down the line. Plus I'm off work for the week commencing the 23rd so I hope it'll be nice and wintry then with hopefully snow. A long way off yet though in the world of weather.

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Dancerwithwings Maestro

Dancerwithwings

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
Posted (edited)

That's me done, for me, good times.... no different for tomorrow....It'll be great Just to see snow flakes fall from the sky.

Lets hope that wave goes deeper sooner and more northerly .....10cm to 15cm and BLIZZARDS .............Happy days :hi:

Edited by Dancerwithwings
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I remember Atlantic 252 Maestro

I remember Atlantic 252

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted
Just now, Ian Ballinger said:

When is the cold air supposed to arrive

Tomorrow between 3-6pm after rain clears

hgt500-1000.png

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Dancerwithwings Maestro

Dancerwithwings

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
Posted
4 minutes ago, Chunky Flake said:

Will I see any snow ? 

Snow showers tomorrow evening.....but who knows, we will have to see what the main rain to snow event does, may go a little further north yet :)

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Polar Maritime Maestro

Polar Maritime

Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
Posted (edited)

Light showers turning to sleet here now.

Edited by Polar Maritime
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weirpig Maestro

weirpig

Posted
  • Location: Kensington
  • Location: Kensington
Posted

We will all be glued to the skies tomorrow and into the early hours. Who knows what will happen. The balmy met office app has me down for seven hours of heavy snow. Mmm as long as I see a few flakes I'm happy 

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Dancerwithwings Maestro

Dancerwithwings

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
Posted

Just one thing to mention before i go and retire, out of the 20 en's GEFS members, 14 of them have the snow pretty much across the Midlands for pm tomorrow.

As the BBC weather said "this rain to snow event even at this stage is being very elusive".....Just food for thought....if the professionals are have problems,,,,,WHO KNOWS :D

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Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted
1 hour ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

looks a very good chart/angle this, 9pm tomorrow!

hgt500-1000.png

Yes, if you look at the Hi-res charts you'll see a disturbance there running into NW England, probably pushing down into the Midlands. I think that is why the Metoffice has me down for heavy snow for a few hours tomorrow evening.

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weirpig Maestro

weirpig

Posted
  • Location: Kensington
  • Location: Kensington
Posted
3 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:

Just one thing to mention before i go and retire, out of the 20 en's GEFS members, 14 of them have the snow pretty much across the Midlands for pm tomorrow.

As the BBC weather said "this rain to snow event even at this stage is being very elusive".....Just food for thought....if the professionals are have problems,,,,,WHO KNOWS :D

Yes still up in the air  might wait for the euro 4 

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WillinGlossop Maestro

WillinGlossop

Posted
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
Posted (edited)

18z euro 4 looks good still for 10-15cm for peak district over next 36hrs.....

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=euro4&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=weas&HH=36&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=

Edited by WillinGlossop
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weirpig Maestro

weirpig

Posted
  • Location: Kensington
  • Location: Kensington
Posted
Just now, WillinGlossop said:

18z euro 4 looks good still for 10-15cm for peak district over next 36hrs.....

Just seen it a good run for the more mid to north midlands. Looks like a streamer from early Friday then a band of heavy precipitation after. Interesting 

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snowangel32 Rising Star

snowangel32

Posted
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow, Thunder storms and lightning
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands
Posted (edited)
3 hours ago, weirpig said:

Not to be taken seriously but a little accumulation 

IMG_0398.GIF

I think we are going to be unlucky this time around the front tomorrow looks to far south but south Midlands looks a sweet spot to me, although still some uncertainty. And Friday the main band of PPN is mainly along the east coast now with us maybe getting a flurry or two. But like I said there's still loads of uncertainty even at this close range so still time for upgrades. 

Good luck to all Midlanders cmon Chesire gap work your magic. :cold:

Edited by snowangel32
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