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November 2016 C.E.T. Forecasts


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Posted
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)
  • Weather Preferences: Unseasonably cold weather (at all times of year), wind, and thunderstorms.
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)

An interesting statistic from last November is that the first half (1st-15th) was the second warmest on record (11.4C), behind 1938 (12.0C). The 10 warmest first halves of Novembers are as follows.

1. 1938: 12.0

2. 2015: 11.4

3. 1994: 10.6

=4. 2011: 10.5

=4. 1978: 10.5

6.1818: 10.4

=7. 1817: 10.0

=7. 1899: 10.0

=9. 1852: 9.9

=9. 1982: 9.9

 

So why am I saying this?

The value for the half-month 16th-31st December 2015 was 10.4C. The second half of December 2015 would rank joint 6th place in the list of warmest first halves of November! That's just bonkers! It also trounces all second halves of November, the warmest of which was 1994 (9.6C).

Edited by Relativistic
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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

Which date holds the record for the first ice day. Also, does Nov 10 hold the date records for the last week. 

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Posted
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)
  • Weather Preferences: Unseasonably cold weather (at all times of year), wind, and thunderstorms.
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)
2 hours ago, summer blizzard said:

Which date holds the record for the first ice day. Also, does Nov 10 hold the date records for the last week. 

The earliest ice day was 7th November 1791 (-0.6C) (see RJS's post on page 1), although it's possible that October 1740 saw ice days (daily data isn't available unfortunately).

The 28th November 2010 was the only day to break a date record in that month (-4.0C). The same date saw the record low November CET maximum (-1.0C).

Edited by Relativistic
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Posted
  • Location: Helensburgh,22 miles from Glasgow
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,snow and....a bit more snow
  • Location: Helensburgh,22 miles from Glasgow

Chilly

6c atm

but may revise prior to months end 

brrr

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Posted
  • Location: Thornbury, South Glos
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes
  • Location: Thornbury, South Glos

5.4 for me please.

Edited by John88B
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Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary

6.3C for me, thanks.

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Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking LPs, heavy snow. Also 25c and calm
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey

8.3.  The big talk point for me will be massive HP domination.  Could be some beautiful Indian Summer days but cokd nights to scupper temps or HP positioning.  Very dry month.....let's see

 

BFTP 

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Posted
  • Location: Irlam
  • Location: Irlam
On 21 October 2016 at 22:19, Relativistic said:

The earliest ice day was 7th November 1791 (-0.6C) (see RJS's post on page 1), although it's possible that October 1740 saw ice days (daily data isn't available unfortunately).

The 28th November 2010 was the only day to break a date record in that month (-4.0C). The same date saw the record low November CET maximum (-1.0C).

I point out that the 7th November 1791 possibly wasn't an ice day. An ice day by definition is when the maximum doesn't exceed 0.0C.

Sub zero CET daily maxima are exceptionally rare, I think there have only been about 5 since 1878

 

 

 

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Posted
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)
  • Weather Preferences: Unseasonably cold weather (at all times of year), wind, and thunderstorms.
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)
6 hours ago, Weather-history said:

I point out that the 7th November 1791 possibly wasn't an ice day. An ice day by definition is when the maximum doesn't exceed 0.0C.

Sub zero CET daily maxima are exceptionally rare, I think there have only been about 5 since 1878

Yes, only 5 subzero CET maxima in November.

27th 1890 (-0.3C)

28th 1890 (-0.5C)

24th 1904 (-0.3C)

23rd 1993 (-0.5C)

28th 2010 (-1.0C)

So the earliest proper ice day on record is 23rd November 1993.

Edited by Relativistic
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Posted
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom
  • Weather Preferences: cold winters, cold springs, cold summers and cold autumns
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom
On ‎19‎/‎10‎/‎2016 at 18:31, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

Right, start of the 4 Atlantic domination months, 4 above average months, 8.7C

Hyper Blowtorch Atlantic is the new norm!

 

Rest in pieces 'autumn' 2016!  13C  :(  Last sub 3C November in 1915.  Last sub 4C November in 1925.  Last sub 5C November in 1993.  Last sub 6C November in 2010.

Edited by Lettucing Gutted
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Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
On 19/10/2016 at 18:31, I remember Atlantic 252 said:
4 minutes ago, Lettucing Gutted said:

16C:(

Crazy mixed up kid :crazy:

I maybe revising a little but things are certainly not that bad :drunk-emoji:

Edited by Dancerwithwings
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Posted
  • Location: Tullynessle/Westhill
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snowy or warm and dry
  • Location: Tullynessle/Westhill

6.6C

I suspect this might be a bit on the cool side but all the good values on the cooler side of average have gone already. :closedeyes:

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