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Winter Thoughts & Hopes 2016/17


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Posted
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
    1 minute ago, Spikey M said:

    I can't help but think we've cashed our chips to early. Surely the West wont be held off too much longer.

    Quite, the Atlantic will take over at some point, most likely November.Far too early for any confidence of what winter will be like, im just going to enjoy some lovely cold/frosty weather from next weekend onwards, as i live in the pennines i'm expecting some lovely pea souper weather im not sure i can recall the last cold and frosty Bonfire night,they certainly seem to have been few and far between in recent years, i do remember one in the early 80's,not sure of the year though . :)

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    Posted
  • Location: Irlam
  • Location: Irlam
    10 hours ago, nn2013 said:

    I vaguely remember November 1993, it snowed on my ninth birthday! I remember the following day we were told school was shut. I don't know whether it's just me but I remember after Christmas that day (around 27th / 28th) it snowed heavily. My Dad went to a Birmingham City v West Brom game and cleared all the snow off the pitch with other fans. My Mum's cat was murdered by a vicious dog we had and I just remember my Mum being upset and I was just playing with my sister in the garden in the snow.

     

    Has there ever been a winter where November to March or even November to February have delivered with cold wall to wall with the odd mild interlude? 

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Marton
  • Location: Marton
    1 hour ago, Spikey M said:

    I can't help but think we've cashed our chips to early. Surely the West wont be held off too much longer.

    Yes I wonder the same. November taking on the facade of winter only to lead to a counterfeit!

    Edited by Matthew Wilson
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    Posted
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Hot and Sunny but not opressive
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey
    50 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

     

    Thanks weather history . I love it when you post these in reply a great trip down memory lane.:D

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    Posted
  • Location: newcastle,north east
  • Weather Preferences: severe cold
  • Location: newcastle,north east
    16 hours ago, knocker said:

    I think you will find that his contract with the Express has since been terminated.

    I do believe the scientist is a female

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    Posted
  • Location: Ashbourne,County Meath,about 6 miles northwest of dublin airport. 74m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold weather - frost or snow
  • Location: Ashbourne,County Meath,about 6 miles northwest of dublin airport. 74m ASL
    2 hours ago, Spikey M said:

    I can't help but think we've cashed our chips to early. Surely the West wont be held off too much longer.

    Perhaps,the fear would be by the time we get to winter proper the pattern will have moved on etc. Im hopefull though the pattern is a good sign for the coming winter or at least the first half. Perhaps a good chance of a front loaded winter.

    Well the last few winters it was thought that the second halves might deliver,so we waited and waited and waited but nothing ever happened ,so i dont mind too much if we do cash in our chips a bit early this yr.

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    3 hours ago, Spikey M said:

    I can't help but think we've cashed our chips to early. Surely the West wont be held off too much longer.

    Logic states this could well be the case although any remaining blocking could possibly send the driving force we all know as the jet stream on a more southerly route bringing disturbed weather to the med area?  Apart from a few short lived periods most of October has had the easterly flow continuing. Interesting stuff which could herald a few surprises into the new month. Baby steps? 

    http://metro.co.uk/2016/10/19/uk-gets-first-snow-in-early-sign-that-winter-is-coming-6200968/

    Hardly unusual to see snow up on higher ground but the signals are and remain there looking at forecasts into start of November.

    Edited by white crimbo
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    3 hours ago, northwestsnow said:

    Quite, the Atlantic will take over at some point, most likely November.Far too early for any confidence of what winter will be like, im just going to enjoy some lovely cold/frosty weather from next weekend onwards, as i live in the pennines i'm expecting some lovely pea souper weather im not sure i can recall the last cold and frosty Bonfire night,they certainly seem to have been few and far between in recent years, i do remember one in the early 80's,not sure of the year though . :)

    This time next week from short sleeves to chunky sweaters in a matter of a day or two. As for a snowy bonfire now that would put the cat amongst the pigeons! Unlikely but never say never. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Newton in Bowland
  • Location: Newton in Bowland
    4 minutes ago, fergieweather said:

    ....and some very interesting ongoing signals for rest of Nov and 1st half of winter. Rest assured we have some very interesting model-watching coming our way :-) Enjoy.

    You do know you shouldn't tease the customers like that Ian.. :D

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    Posted
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Hot and Sunny but not opressive
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey

    Well it's not November the 5th yet but I think the blue touch paper has just been lit.

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    Posted
  • Location: Staffordshire moorlands 252m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Frosty and fresh
  • Location: Staffordshire moorlands 252m asl
    11 minutes ago, Hocus Pocus said:

    You do know you shouldn't tease the customers like that Ian.. :D

    Oh i think he should:diablo:it makes it more fun that way:yahoo:

    It brings out the inner child in most even if they won't admit it:D

    Edited by moorlander
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    Posted
  • Location: Powys Mid Wales borders.
  • Location: Powys Mid Wales borders.

    Blocking highs are always a good sign and this morning keeps it going into November depends where they are,looks warmer later this week indian summer blip after a ground frost, then early november Greenland/Iceland high.:hi:

    Edited by Snowyowl9
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    Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 would be nice :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 would be nice :-)

    Bonfire night looks to be cold and frosty this year but if we are looking at extremes in the UK.....   Brrrr  -11.1c and then  shorts & T shirt weather 21.1c

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/events/bonfire-night#?tab=map&map=Temperature&zoom=5&lon=-3.25&lat=55.74&fcTime=1477591200

     

    Edited by Dancerwithwings
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    Posted
  • Location: Cyprus and North east Swindon. 104 ASL
  • Location: Cyprus and North east Swindon. 104 ASL

    Another good GFS run with colder weather  hitting most of the UK on Halloween , FI not as good as the 06z with less blocking around Greenland and Canada - that is FI though and it still looks good. lets see what the ENS and ECM say!! 

    Edited by Ali1977
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    Posted
  • Location: Lincolnshire - 15m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Frost and snow. A quiet autumn day is also good.
  • Location: Lincolnshire - 15m asl
    On 20/10/2016 at 14:30, lassie23 said:

    I'm hoping that my October Fog Index theory goes tights up this winter, as yet again I have had zero fog this month which usually means another snow less winter if you believe in weather lore, it has been correct the past three winters.:closedeyes:

    Had quite a bit of fog here in the SW though not especially thick. Saw very little to no fog in the last few years so a definite contrast in that regard.

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    Posted
  • Location: Chichester West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snow
  • Location: Chichester West Sussex

    I've been going in the mod threads everyday watching the excitement build, in all honestly I think some are getting way ahead of themselves concerning the high blocking and weak jet stream. would love a cold snowy winter but reality is it won't be. I will put money on that the vortex will of sorted its act out by mid November and the Atlantic will be full steam ahead as we enter December, the season for my thinking is our seasons seem to of shifted the last few years we now get summer later so on with autumn and winter, I believe all we are seeing now is an Indian summer effect with the northern hemisphere not quite getting its act together. I hope I'm wrong but every time I go into the mod thread I'm just waiting for the normal service to begin. 

     

    My my prediction for winter 2016/17 will start on the chilly side with bouts of warm air from Spain, rain levels to remain low through late autumn. I expect things in the northern hemisphere to sort itself out and return normal service with a organised vortex dictating our winter weather with a westerly based theme but with bouts of cold outbreaks from the north. Rainfall amounts will catch up on recent low totals. 

    Hope to god I'm wrong because my little girl still haven't seen snow and I've promised to build her a snowman but in reality I think i will have to go somewhere on a winter break to build her that snowman. 

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    Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: Basically intresting weather,hot,cold,windy you name it
  • Location: sheffield

    And so the rollercoaster begins its journey but its that overall view you must take,one grouping of runs doesn't make a trend,chances are this time tomorrow or day after things will have changed again. Given the comments already the local Prozac dealers must be rubbing their hands together!:D

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    Posted
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom
  • Weather Preferences: cold winters, cold springs, cold summers and cold autumns
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom
    On ‎22‎/‎10‎/‎2016 at 20:51, nn2013 said:

    I vaguely remember November 1993, it snowed on my ninth birthday! I remember the following day we were told school was shut. I don't know whether it's just me but I remember after Christmas that day (around 27th / 28th) it snowed heavily. My Dad went to a Birmingham City v West Brom game and cleared all the snow off the pitch with other fans. My Mum's cat was murdered by a vicious dog we had and I just remember my Mum being upset and I was just playing with my sister in the garden in the snow.

     

    Has there ever been a winter where November to March or even November to February have delivered with cold wall to wall with the odd mild interlude? 

    The whole period of November 1878 through March 1879 was very cold.  Gavin Partridge has been saying he will do a historic video about it 1 day.

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    Posted
  • Location: South ockendon essex
  • Weather Preferences: thunderstorms and HEAVY snow
  • Location: South ockendon essex
    7 hours ago, More Snow said:

    i wonder how many times this will happen over the next 5 months lol

    pram1.jpg

    Next 5 months???? Next 5 days and I'd have enough to open a toyshop (or at least replace the ones I'VE  already lost this week!

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