Hurricane Hermine

[summer blizzard]

NHC will issue advisories on Tropical Depression 9 from 10pm UK time. 

Most models suggest a strong TS/category 1 into the Panhandle. 

Edited September 1, 2016 by Nick L

[summer blizzard]

Still a tad messy but the LLC is under the convection and the NHC now brings it to 60mph.

 

[summer blizzard]

Looks much better today, should get a name at the next recon pass.

 

[Gael_Force]

 

 

[summer blizzard]

Hurricane watch issued for the Panhandle. 

 

Edited August 30, 2016 by summer blizzard

[Singularity]

The upper level lows in the western Gulf and partially over Florida are both weakening. This means shear is relaxing over TD 9 and it appears that the MLC and LLC are moving toward each other... once this system becomes stacked, then the chances of a hurricane landfalling along the N GOMncoastline can start to be seriously assessed. Odds are it will be into or not far (within, say, 200 miles) west of the Florida Panhandle. Just my two cents.

As always, for official guidance, please refer to the NHC outlooks.

[Nouska]

Well! - she'll never be a Southern Belle but we finally have tropical storm Hermine.

    

 

[summer blizzard]

NHC being pretty conservative in strength, recon found 46KT before it left

Does look like a strengthening system finally though.

[summer blizzard]

Dry air but the satellite presentation looks brilliant. 

Latest update increased to 45mph,  forecast to make landfall at 70mph with a 6 foot storm surge.

[summer blizzard]

Maximum sustained winds are now 60mph, forecast to be a hurricane at landfall. 

Interestingly our seasonal ACE total is running marginally above the rolling average.

[summer blizzard]

Recon has found a found a partial eyewall and 71KT flight level winds.

She's finally starting to blow.

[Boro Snow]

Michael Phelps is on this tonight streaming live if anybody is interested, i think he said hes parked up in Apalachicola should be good viewing

http://stormscapelive.tv/

[summer blizzard]

Now at 65mph, 18 mile eyewall open on the west side. 

[Boro Snow]

This is quite cool anybody know where the centre is

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E CONUS&lat=27.0&lon=-86.2&zoom=1&info=vis&palette=ir1.pal&quality=100&width=1000&height=800&type=Animation&numframes=20

[summer blizzard]

14 minutes ago, Boro Snow said:

This is quite cool anybody know where the centre is

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E CONUS&lat=27.0&lon=-86.2&zoom=1&info=vis&palette=ir1.pal&quality=100&width=1000&height=800&type=Animation&numframes=20

Has about 80% of an eye. 

[summer blizzard]

Eyewall now closed. Not sure whether the NHC have to wait for the surface wind speed or not but this may be upgraded to a hurricane at the next advisory.

[summer blizzard]

Victory!

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds in Hermine have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h). Based on these data, Hermine is now upgraded to a hurricane, the fourth hurricane of 2016 in the Atlantic basin.

[Summer Sun]

 

 

[Jo Farrow]

18 minutes ago, summer blizzard said:

Victory!

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds in Hermine have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h). Based on these data, Hermine is now upgraded to a hurricane, the fourth hurricane of 2016 in the Atlantic basin.

 

hi can you change the thread title so more people can find this, ta

[cheese]

This is about to be Florida's first hurricane landfall since Wilma in October 2005.

[summer blizzard]

Looking much better now..

[Boro Snow]

Just a shame it has to make landfall 

[summer blizzard]

[summer blizzard]

Made us wait and it's a shame we don't have another 24 hours but the end result has certainly been impressive. 

Gusts to 95mph on the coast.

[Jack Wales]

Yes, looking very impressive at long last. Could make landfall as a cat2.  At least that coastal region of florida is sparsely populated which will hopefully mitigate  the damage to property and lives.