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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards

Supacell

By Supacell
in Storms & Severe Weather

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted (edited)
8 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

That's gonna turn in to a monster, I tell thee..

2016-08-27.png

You bet me to it,i was just about to say a star is born lol

also to add,isn't this initiation a bit further west than some models predicted,this little cell could produce nothing and more may/will develop further east,we shall see soon.

Edited by Allseasons-si
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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted (edited)

There is more echo's appearing in the channel now and on the brest,not sure if this is anoprop,awaiting the latest.

Edit:still non the wiser.

Edited by Allseasons-si
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NO LONGER POSTING Veteran

NO LONGER POSTING

Posted
Posted

Morning, stupid body clock! Usually up around 5:30am every day today is different!

My thoughts looking at all the latest bits this morning is if we draw a line from Bournemouth through to the wash anyone along that line and 30 miles north and south of that line is in for a shot. IF we get storms to fire 

Estofex I'm assuming they are going for a slightly different outcome than others.

Anything that does fire and can grow not getting it's energy cut off, could become fairly severe IF the conditions are prime. Would expect some pretty hefty hail and strong wind gusts.

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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted (edited)

Well I'm awake again but I see it's still AQOTPF !

Wondering whether to go back to sleep...

Quick question - is initiation supposed to start over land or sea?

Edited by Flash bang flash bang etc
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NO LONGER POSTING Veteran

NO LONGER POSTING

Posted
Posted
35 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Just discovered that sat24 doesn't show clouds at this time in a morning!

It does, but there is a time gap in the very early hours you need to make sure it's got "infrared" set on and not "visual" to it is light.

Firing of storms may happen over land or sea maybe not at all!

Here seem photos I just took:

DSC_0030.JPG

DSC_0031.JPG

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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, Surrey said:

It does, but there is a time gap in the very early hours you need to make sure it's got "infrared" set on and not "visual" to it is light.

Firing of storms may happen over land or sea maybe not at all!

Here seem photos I just took:

DSC_0030.JPG

DSC_0031.JPG

Cool pics and thanks for the tip I'll have a look...

edit: yes it works! swirly whirly!

Edited by Flash bang flash bang etc
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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Author
Posted

I am currently in Blackpool with the kids but heading home today. Models seem in agreement now that some storms should develop and push NE. They are not in agreement over where and when though. My weather app has thunderstorms over Derby this evening but that isn't the most accurate tool.

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legritter Accomplished

legritter

Posted
  • Location: winscombe north somerset
  • Weather Preferences: action weather
  • Location: winscombe north somerset
Posted

morning all ,very  interesting sky currently ,radar also starting to show some activity but i wouldnt want to try and forecast in any detail .

best of luck for all those needing a storm ,we currently have some large spots of rain but very few ,going back to bed then may tuck into a bacon bap later cheers 

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Thunderstruck Community Regular

Thunderstruck

Posted
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and breezy with a bit of cloud, about 20C
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex
Posted (edited)

Bit of Accas starting to form over here now

Looking at the radar, there is a band of showers from Exeter up to Swindon and also some very heavy rain around the Luton area

Edited by Jcweather
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Sprites Seasoned

Sprites

Posted
  • Location: South East UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms/squalls/hoar-frost/mist
  • Location: South East UK
Posted (edited)
44 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Looks like there's a bit of a CZ over Reading way. Can see the elevated cloud over that way from the Hogs Back

Can see the elevated cloud over that way from the Hogs Back. :nea::girl_devil:

Quote

 

 I know shes put on a bit of weight, but that is a bit OTT.:doh:

,going back to bed then may tuck into a bacon bap later cheers, all those bread crumbs and pig flesh to sleep in :good:

 

21 minutes ago, legritter said:

morning all ,very  interesting sky currently ,radar also starting to show some activity but i wouldnt want to try and forecast in any detail .

best of luck for all those needing a storm ,we currently have some large spots of rain but very few ,going back to bed then may tuck into a bacon bap later cheers 

 

Edited by Sprites
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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted

Waiting for Cafe to open but it's interesting to see the developing cloud . Skies were almost clear about an hour ago.

just a waiting game now although I would put NW London in the hot-spot for today taking into account wind direction, CZs and potential insolation / areas with minimal cloud.

itsone of those situations where I guess you don't want anything too early to leave a scuddy trail behind it and ward off energy from the sun, but equally you don't want nothing to happen at all!

unfortnately I haven't got all day to radar watch and I'm definately not making anymore trips up north from here.

It's local chasing for local storms today. One last hurrah before Autumn kicks in.

Come on weather do your shizzle!

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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Author
Posted

BBC seem to think that the best storms will be concentrated approximately SE of a zone from IOW to the Wash during the afternoon. They do not agree with GFS/NMM in bringing storms through the Midlands later in the day but do bring some heavy showers across N England (no real mention of these being thundery though). From a selfish POV I am hoping GFS/NMM are on the money.

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Eye to the sky Enthusiast

Eye to the sky

Posted
  • Location: Denby,Derbyshire,90m/295ft asl De5
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms/Clear and Frosty/Snow Showers
  • Location: Denby,Derbyshire,90m/295ft asl De5
Posted

Interesting skies over Derby this morning.Maybe there is hope for later.

image.jpeg

image.jpeg

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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Author
Posted
11 minutes ago, Spenna'82. said:

Interesting skies over Derby this morning.Maybe there is hope for later.

Some forecasts place Derby in the firing line but others don't. If there is going to be something later then it needs to hold off until late afternoon so that I am back in time :)

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Dami Maestro

Dami

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy and thundery.
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
Posted (edited)

As I have said in the SE thread, woke up to dark and cool and some mist, which soon cleared. Then out of no where a crack of thunder and it was most certainly thunder even although no strike recorded on any map at the moment. Very small cell close to me, but no rain and now the sun is coming out.

Edit ; 3 strikes recorded by blitzortung

Edited by Dami
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Eye to the sky Enthusiast

Eye to the sky

Posted
  • Location: Denby,Derbyshire,90m/295ft asl De5
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms/Clear and Frosty/Snow Showers
  • Location: Denby,Derbyshire,90m/295ft asl De5
Posted

Just watched the BBC weather forecast at work,and the words "intense thunderstorms " was used for the SW up through the midlands later this afternoon!!.We'll just have to wait and see.

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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted
39 minutes ago, Supacell said:

quote boxes not clearing again! Does the forum remove cookies after it reloads? If so its probably when the page doesn't get to reload the quotes remain in the box. Takes ages to clear all the text otherwise

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