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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards

Supacell

By Supacell
in Storms & Severe Weather

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Convective Community Regular

Convective

Posted
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summers, cold winters.. How it should be!
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL
Posted

Expecting it to go off just north of here soon, and just south. When it does, it should be big!

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Muffelchen Enthusiast

Muffelchen

Posted
  • Location: Beverley, E Yorks, 19m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder - not necessarily at the same time!
  • Location: Beverley, E Yorks, 19m ASL
Posted
1 hour ago, Cloud 10 said:

Nice fax chart for noon tomorrow with a small trough just in the right place.:D

 

PPVE89.gif

 

Buried treasure in Yorkshire perhaps?

Right under my house then!

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Tempest Contributor

Tempest

Posted
  • Location: Lochmaben Dumfries & Galloway
  • Weather Preferences: Spicy weather
  • Location: Lochmaben Dumfries & Galloway
Posted
1 minute ago, Convective said:

Expecting it to go off just north of here soon, and just south. When it does, it should be big!

Well, when its finished with your neck of the woods Convective I hope it makes a beeline for mine right up the Solway. Lovely thought.

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted

I was just having a look at this:

2016-07-19 (9).png

Sorta fits in quite well with what convectiveweather.co.uk are looking at tomorrow.

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Hodgheg Community Regular

Hodgheg

Posted
  • Location: Near Hull
  • Weather Preferences: Severe storms and heavy snow
  • Location: Near Hull
Posted
21 minutes ago, Lynxus said:

Im fairly certain the met office use a random number generator to make that map.

You do have a point!

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markw2680 Accomplished

markw2680

Posted
  • Location: Frankley, Birmingham 250masl
  • Weather Preferences: the weather extremes in general but my favourites are snow & thunderstorms
  • Location: Frankley, Birmingham 250masl
Posted
8 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Any good lookout places south of brum?

Lickey hills. Looks north west and pretty high up

 

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Hodgheg Community Regular

Hodgheg

Posted
  • Location: Near Hull
  • Weather Preferences: Severe storms and heavy snow
  • Location: Near Hull
Posted
14 minutes ago, matty40s said:

I can assure you that isn't there, I wouldn't be sat outside for one!!

Its the precip forecast for tomorrow, however I'm pretty sure you'll be sat outside tomorrow evening also. 

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P-M Seasoned

P-M

Posted
  • Location: Boldon, South Tyneside (Tyne & Wear) 271ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Severe Thunderstorms, Heat (Summer) & Snow in Winter
  • Location: Boldon, South Tyneside (Tyne & Wear) 271ft ASL
Posted
2 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

I was just having a look at this:

2016-07-19 (9).png

Sorta fits in quite well with what convectiveweather.co.uk are looking at tomorrow.

Yes please Mapantz!!

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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted
1 minute ago, markw2680 said:

Lickey hills. Looks north west and pretty high up

 

Ah nice - isn't that where that steep railway incline is? My dad took me there once to do some Trainspotting (when I was little!)

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Hodgheg Community Regular

Hodgheg

Posted
  • Location: Near Hull
  • Weather Preferences: Severe storms and heavy snow
  • Location: Near Hull
Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, P-M said:

Yes please Mapantz!!

How on earth is that forecast produced and what does it define as "extremely severe?

Edited by John Hodgson
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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted (edited)
11 minutes ago, Convective said:

Expecting it to go off just north of here soon, and just south. When it does, it should be big!

Cell popped up with sferic north of you.

Edit:make that two sferics.

Edited by Allseasons-si
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SalopWatcher Enthusiast

SalopWatcher

Posted
  • Location: Shrewsbury
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Snow, Floods...
  • Location: Shrewsbury
Posted

The view from Shrewsbury half an hour ago (at the football ground) 

 

clouded over a lot here now. Feel like storms are incoming. 

image.jpg

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P-M Seasoned

P-M

Posted
  • Location: Boldon, South Tyneside (Tyne & Wear) 271ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Severe Thunderstorms, Heat (Summer) & Snow in Winter
  • Location: Boldon, South Tyneside (Tyne & Wear) 271ft ASL
Posted
Just now, Frosty hollows said:

Has Cambourne moistened yet?

I'm not sure - looks like a lot of other areas are moistening though looking at the pics!

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sn0wman Contributor

sn0wman

Posted
  • Location: Edinburgh, Scotland
  • Location: Edinburgh, Scotland
Posted

Feel like that area of rain that's popped up north of the Isle of Man may be the focus for thunderstorms over the next few hours.

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bigguscumulus Apprentice

bigguscumulus

Posted
  • Location: Near Aberystwyth
  • Location: Near Aberystwyth
Posted

A few big blobs of rain here, the sky is not looking particularly threatening though. Hoping that some of showers in South Wales spark to life and head this way. Pretty please. :angel: 

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markw2680 Accomplished

markw2680

Posted
  • Location: Frankley, Birmingham 250masl
  • Weather Preferences: the weather extremes in general but my favourites are snow & thunderstorms
  • Location: Frankley, Birmingham 250masl
Posted
1 minute ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Ah nice - isn't that where that steep railway incline is? My dad took me there once to do some Trainspotting (when I was little!)

Not as far as I no but it's high up and you get a good view, it's in Rubery about 12 miles or so south of Birmingham, if we get anything decent it's well worth a look

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted

Storms are popping off nicely,the night time will not matter tonight,strewth it's damn muggy,owt can happen.

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Spikecollie Accomplished

Spikecollie

Posted
  • Location: Haute Vienne, Limousin, France (404m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Warm and sunny with night time t-storms
  • Location: Haute Vienne, Limousin, France (404m ASL)
Posted
1 minute ago, Frosty hollows said:

Don't Google that!!

It's after the watershed! Whoever invented that word needs to be water-shedded.

Looking good out there folks...

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted (edited)
7 minutes ago, John Hodgson said:

How on earth is that forecast produced and what does it define as "extremely severe?

It takes in all the convective parameters from WRF model output, to come up with a probability.  

I will add, it's not a forecast, merely a guide.

Edited by Mapantz
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