Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards

[Buckster]

clouded over in Essex !

[Speedway Slider]

So, this rain band thats rattled up and through the Midlands (see screenshot) That isn't supposed to be the thundery stuff for us Midlanders, is it? 

The electric stuff is now starting to form behind it, and in the channel, and then starting to fire up?

So, I reckon these t/storms will arrive around Leicester around 14:30 Does that sound about the right sort of ball park? Or am I in the ball pit!!

[matty40s]

Newton Popplewell has been designated as the epicentre o the National ACAS Spotting Organisation and may be destroyed by violent storms later.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

21 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

To the west of the storms in the channel, looks to be plenty of clear sky on Sat24 so some good surface heating early afternoon!

May have the surface heating, but if you got no trigger it means diddly squat, I'm thinking that might be the issue today 

[chillyblast]

Well after my question last night about when would we be likely to see some precipitation in beds I can confirm that at 8.30am it was torrential for around 10mins then hail for about 5mins following then the sun came out.

At 5.30am this morning it was thick fog but that cleared around 8am.

Not so great when you're out on your bike for 3.5hours!

[Harry]

2 minutes ago, Surrey said:

May have the surface heating, but if you got no trigger it means diddly squat, I'm thinking that might be the issue today 

I'm reserving judgement to be honest - the Beeb graphics do show some precip across London/Home Counties later on under high CAPE (plus the sun is staying out pretty much here with the breeze picking up) - some of the Ac blanket moving in is thin with some tentative verticality to it. There's some albeit small chance 

[Speedway Slider]

The Thunderstorm Cake.

Hot Oven

Gallons Of Moisture

Tons Of CAPE

10 Tablespoons Of Lift Or Wind Convergence

Cook On High Oven For 2 Hours

Hail/Rain To Taste!

 

Am I missing any ingredients, or is there a better reciepe?

 

Voila!!

 

 

Edited August 27, 2016 by Speedway Slider

[AWD]

If storm initiation is already to the east of you & you are already too far west, then it is likely you will stay too far west throughout the day.

Convective activity is forecast to slowly transfer NNE throughout the day.

[Harry]

10 minutes ago, Speedway Slider said:

The Thunderstorm Cake.

Hot Oven

Gallons Of Moisture

Tons Of CAPE

10 Tablespoons Of Lift Or Wind Convergence

Cook On High Oven For 2 Hours

Hail/Rain To Taste!

 

Am I missing any ingredients, or is there a better reciepe?

 

Voila!!

 

 

Don't forget the fan setting to get the juice spinning 

[Ben Sainsbury]

12 minutes ago, AWD said:

If storm initiation is already to the east of you & you are already too far west, then it is likely you will stay too far west throughout the day.

Convective activity is forecast to slowly transfer NNE throughout the day.

And for us, look what's to the south!

[Frosty hollows]

Cell to my south has literally come from nowhere. Doubt it#ll deliver more than a downpour atm but it's a start

[Mapantz]

The MetO have adjusted their warnings, and looking at various outputs yesterday, it makes sense. What doesn't make sense, is saying the South and Southeast won't even see a light shower..

[Frosty hollows]

1 minute ago, Mapantz said:

The MetO have adjusted their warnings, and looking at various outputs yesterday, it makes sense. What doesn't make sense, is saying the South and Southeast won't even see a light shower..

Hefty showers are popping up now CS England

[Frosty hollows]

Reading is go!

[legritter]

I,V put my bacon bap on hold untill i get a Storm ,crikey i will starve .just hoping a few surprises pop up later this afternoon ,best of luck all .

[Frosty hollows]

I have the best mammatus I've ever seen overhead atm, it's gone very dark and that Reading cell is approaching!

Edited August 27, 2016 by Frosty hollows
additional info

[jamesthemonkeh]

2 minutes ago, Frosty hollows said:

I have the best mammatus I've ever seen overhead atm, it's gone very dark and that Reading cell is approaching!

Get your camera out then!

[Gordon Webb]

8 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

The MetO have adjusted their warnings, and looking at various outputs yesterday, it makes sense. What doesn't make sense, is saying the South and Southeast won't even see a light shower..

Hmm seems the threat has shifted more SE and although still in the warning area threat to local carboot sale tomorrow has decreased 

[chillyblast]

Definitely LOTS of moisture in the air, got soaked this morning within 20mins of leaving the front door and it wasn't even raining......

Looking forward to a good light show then! (fingers crossed)

[Harry]

Yay!! I'm inside the warning zone now - as (even more so) are you @Surrey

Sferics now showing broadly along the M4 corridor area, the leading edge of the proper plume I would guess

[TropicThunder]

Doesn't feel stormy at all here, just very overcast, but it's really starting to kick off in the channel which is giving me hope!

[Glenosnow]

Big cell heading up through central Dorset....

[Mapantz]

I can hear Weymouth's storm from here:

[A.J]

The current state of play with storms firing over southern England....A multicell cluster moving into Dorset looks quite potent.....steering flow is currently shifting storms northwards..

 

 

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

I'm ready to head out somewhere high up if anything kicks off to our south-west... Looking great so far