Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards

[Boro Snow]

Things now seem to be happening the temp has increased to 25c looking out towards the dales towers can now be seen and even above darlo development can be seen

[Harsh Climate]

2 storms near stoke now

[toggerob]

I take a hour's nap, and now we have initiation towards the Goyt Valley

[Team Jo]

Just left the office and can see some attempts at bubbling cloud. Still very hot, so wouldn't surprise me if we have a little bit of a convective result from the heating this afternoon.... 

[P-M]

Just now, Boro Snow said:

Things now seem to be happening the temp has increased to 25c looking out towards the dales towers can now be seen and even above darlo development can be seen

To be fair Tony over on UKWW has just put the nail in the coffin for the NE region lol Saying that the NW warning is still out I so all to play for.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Just now, Harsh Climate said:

2 storms near stoke now

can see 'em from here

[P-M]

Stoke has defo come to life!

[Methuselah]

Come on fellow Southerners? Let's just rejoice in the fact that, this time, it's the Scottys that have got the best convection? I've almost lost count of this year's thunder-days, so far!

[Summer Sun]

4 minutes ago, Boro Snow said:

Things now seem to be happening the temp has increased to 25c looking out towards the dales towers can now be seen and even above darlo development can be seen

My rain app says rain is 26.9 miles away with an intensity of 50%

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

That cell up north is potent!

so I guess the important temperature here is 25°c - silly me I though 30° would be better.

It must be too warm for storms!

[P-M]

1 minute ago, Ed Stone said:

Come on fellow Southerners? Let's just rejoice in the fact that, this time, it's the Scottys that have got the best convection? I've almost lost count of this year's thunder-days, so far!

And the English side of the borders

[Allseasons-Si]

Can see the anvil to the SW now

and a CB to the S of it

might have to head further south for this one me thinks,Chesterfield looks good

 

Edited July 20, 2016 by Allseasons-si

[Boro Snow]

5 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

My rain app says rain is 26.9 miles away with an intensity of 50%

Not seeing anything lol 

[P-M]

Sferics around Birmingham now - looks like the CAP may have popped down that area?

[Staffordshire]

13 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

where are you leeds? towers going up north of here but missing me, one to the SW will fizzle out, is doing so already

I'm in gentleshaw Mark, I suspect they are the Stoke cells however

[A.J]

15 minutes ago, P-M said:

Edit - the odd Sferic popping up here and there..

 

I'm really bewildered...nowhere currently seeing any sort of activity I'd have at least expected the odd isolated storm to break out at least somewhere....meanwhile 100 miles out in the North Sea it's a completely different picture!

there is a robust cap in place which is inhibiting shower development......the cap will slowly erode as the afternoon wears on....because the cap is so strong it takes a lot of energy in any air parcels to break the capping. If any parcels do have the energy to break the cap then you will see explosive  development in that particular cell...........if the cap starts to erode (as per modelling) then more individual cells might fire where instability/forcing from wind convergence/insolation is strongest

 

3 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

Come on fellow Southerners? Let's just rejoice in the fact that, this time, it's the Scottys that have got the best convection? I've almost lost count of this year's thunder-days, so far!

speak for yourself Pete, I'n darn south and havent seen a jot this year

[Staffordshire]

Cb's to SW I think, will try confirm in a minute

[SalopWatcher]

Cells going up south east and east of Birmingham... going from nothing to potent in 10 minutes on Netweather 5 minute radar... game on for the Midlands. 

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

1 minute ago, ajpoolshark said:

there is a robust cap in place which is inhibiting shower development......the cap will slowly erode as the afternoon wears on....because the cap is so strong it takes a lot of energy in any air parcels to break the capping. If any parcels do have the energy to break the cap then you will see explosive  development in that particular cell...........if the cap starts to erode (as per modelling) then more individual cells might fire where instability/forcing from wind convergence/insolation is strongest

 

speak for yourself Pete, I'n darn south and havent seen a jot this year

Yeah I've practically seen nothing - and feeling rather fed up of waiting

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Just now, Staffordshire said:

Cb's to SW I think, will try confirm in a minute

yes was showing storm there, miss us to the north west though, if it holds

[P-M]

2 minutes ago, ajpoolshark said:

there is a robust cap in place which is inhibiting shower development......the cap will slowly erode as the afternoon wears on....because the cap is so strong it takes a lot of energy in any air parcels to break the capping. If any parcels do have the energy to break the cap then you will see explosive  development in that particular cell...........if the cap starts to erode (as per modelling) then more individual cells might fire where instability/forcing from wind convergence/insolation is strongest

 

speak for yourself Pete, I'n darn south and havent seen a jot this year

 

Thanks AJ

[STORMGUY]

Some Thunder Here now

[Puddy Galore]

Its going ever darker and have just heard a few rumbles of thunder here in Wolverhampton......

[A.J]

Just now, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Yeah I've practically seen nothing - and feeling rather fed up of waiting

I wish instead of a 'like' button, there was an 'empathy/sympathy' button....lol

[Windblade]

4 hours ago, Boro Snow said:

Any ideas photos don't do it justice though 

 

Looks like a horizontal vortices or funnel cloud to me.