autumn Autumn 2016

[markyo]

What disappointing day,not nice at all,heavy cloud,humidity going up along with the temp,can't see any enjoyment in that at all. So so thankful its only a quick burst this week,sick to the back teeth now of this summer.

[Walsall Wood Snow]

Don't forget also that in 1995 we had a very hot August followed by a cold December. Being as August is only the month before September and being as it's 4 months before December, there is the same time difference between now and January as there was then between a very hot month and a cold one. I'm not saying this means that January will be cold mind, I'm just highlighting how just because temperatures are above average now doesn't mean it's a given it will be then. In fact there's plenty of examples of above average and below average periods in close proximity. Iapennell mentioned the Winter of 1985/86. I don't remember it personally mind as it was my first Winter post womb, but I do know from the records that after the very cold November of 1985, December flipped to quite mild. This of course was followed by the sub zero CET month of February 1986. Coming back to more recent times we have the most recent sub zero CET month of December 2010 (the first since Feb 86 in fact) which was soon followed by the mild February of 2011. This just shows that no matter how extreme temperatures are in one direction doesn't negate the possibility of them flipping in the opposite direction in a matter of weeks even.

 

Edited September 12, 2016 by Walsall Wood Snow

[Walsall Wood Snow]

Getting back to aspects of this season rather than thinking what the next may have in store, I noticed a few mushrooms on my lawn today.

[Cheshire Freeze]

Stop press....

September Glosea update is out and it's a stonker- cold late autumn and winter with quite extensive N blocking and -NAO

This now backs up what we've heard RE EC Seasonal

[March]

The only time I take any notice of Winter forecasts is November 30th. 

[Turnedoutniceagain]

3 hours ago, CreweCold said:

Stop press....

September Glosea update is out and it's a stonker- cold late autumn and winter with quite extensive N blocking and -NAO

This now backs up what we've heard RE EC Seasonal

The Northern blocking theme seems to be gaining momentum now. Fingers x'd

[cheeky_monkey]

3 hours ago, CreweCold said:

Stop press....

September Glosea update is out and it's a stonker- cold late autumn and winter with quite extensive N blocking and -NAO

This now backs up what we've heard RE EC Seasonal

Didn't we have all this gumpf last year at this time?

[Summer Sun]

A level 2 heatwave alert is in place for parts of southern and eastern England

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/heat-health/#?tab=heatHealth

[MP-R]

Looking good out there this morning. I wake up so much more in the morning when I know it's going to be a nice day. Looks like some corking storms down south too.

[Singularity]

Feels absurd here so far today. Like a sauna even in the early morning, can't remember it feeling that way from the off in mid-September before (I.e since around 2000).

Does anyone happen to know what the date records are for today, tomorrow and Thursday?

Thanks

[Nick L]

3 hours ago, cheeky_monkey said:

Didn't we have all this gumpf last year at this time?

No. I don't remember any significant signal for cold, it was pretty much expected to be a fairly disappointing winter, but not quite on the scale of December

[Nick L]

7 minutes ago, Singularity said:

Feels absurd here so far today. Like a sauna even in the early morning, can't remember it feeling that way from the off in mid-September before (I.e since around 2000).

Does anyone happen to know what the date records are for today, tomorrow and Thursday?

Thanks

Today: 28.3c
Tomorrow: 28.6c
Thursday: 28.9c

http://www.torro.org.uk/hightempsyear.php

Certainly possible that all three could go.

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

I wonder what the winter or 1961/62 was like when the September preceding it also was very warm with similar temperatures.

[lassie23]

Looks like autumn will really kick in once this week is out of the way.

Edited September 13, 2016 by lassie23

[Singularity]

24 minutes ago, Nick L said:

Today: 28.3c
Tomorrow: 28.6c
Thursday: 28.9c

http://www.torro.org.uk/hightempsyear.php

Certainly possible that all three could go.

Thank you very much Nick  for some reason I could never locate that link despite having accessed it last year

This could be an exceptional spell of weather by this particular measure.

Already Gravesend is at around 28*C so the date record for today could go by noon!

Meanwhile it's come over all malicious looking here, with distant grumbles of thunder. Signs it will clear nice and sharply from the south in the early afternoon though 

 

[Nick L]

Really unpleasantly hot today for me. 

[stainesbloke]

Gorgeous day here, 28C and some decent storms further W. 

[Singularity]

Phwoar - the London airports have jumped into the lead with 30*C at noon. There goes the date record already - and then some!

[lassie23]

3 minutes ago, stainesbloke said:

Gorgeous day here, 28C and some decent storms further W. 

Are they staying there?

[markyo]

July I can stand it,August I can stand it,September I've had enough,really unpleasant  day,way to hot and humid, No way enjoyable at all. Roll on the pleasure of Autumn.

[Methuselah]

Well, I'm certainly not going to suggest that we won't be getting another dose of 'relative' heat sometime in October...October 1978 had a lovely spell of 25C-days, sometime around mid-month...

And, as they like to say: the rest was history!

[Mapantz]

again, more akin to July and August rather than the middle of September:

Just 20.1°C here, with a dew point of 18.8°C - Still, i've had a cracking thunderstorm instead. 

[mb018538]

Heathrow has already hit 32.2c today - above the expected levels and it's still early doors! How high will it climb? Could we sneak a 33c+ somewhere?

[stainesbloke]

43 minutes ago, lassie23 said:

Are they staying there?

For now, yes. Seem to be moving up the W half of the UK, the E mainly sunny and hot. 

[reef]

The humidity is shocking again today. It seems to be a running theme this year, another 20C+ dewpoint (that's four times this summer) when its generally once or twice a decade.

Currently 26.9C with a dewpoint of 20.3C.

The September record max is 27.0C here too (since 1980), so that looks like it might go aswell.