autumn Autumn 2016

[markyo]

25 minutes ago, cheese said:

Lovely stuff. 

Interesting, but I would be a hypocrite to take much credence in any model output even showing a general trend at such range,even though I would love it. Very cynical when it comes to seasonal output,our weather is way to unpredictable for anything like that in my opinion.

[Nick L]

1 minute ago, markyo said:

Interesting, but I would be a hypocrite to take much credence in any model output even showing a general trend at such range,even though I would love it. Very cynical when it comes to seasonal output,our weather is way to unpredictable for anything like that in my opinion.

This model is all new to me so will be interesting to see how it performs. It is only run once a month.

[Summer Sun]

Temperatures on the rise for some parts of Europe inc the UK next week

 

[Joseph Hudson]

4 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Temperatures on the rise for some parts of Europe inc the UK next week

 

great it going to get hotter.it been oppressive the last two days here 

 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

19 hours ago, sundog said:

For Oct ,I would like fantasy thoughts of deep northerlies from the Arctic giving Frost's and wintry precip. 

Haven't Autumn's been warm enough in recent yrs without the likes of that though?  Summer had its chance. People egging on autumn warmth and heat and all this warmth would do is show us if proof were needed just how much our climate is changing IMO. No thanks

 

would agree if I lived oop norf 300m asl, northerlies in 0ct here absolutely useless, 8°, rain, wind just generally miserable

[cheese]

19 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

would agree if I lived oop norf 300m asl, northerlies in 0ct here absolutely useless, 8°, rain, wind just generally miserable

No point in searching for cold until November, might as well have it nice and warm until then.

[markyo]

4 minutes ago, cheese said:

No point in searching for cold until November, might as well have it nice and warm until then.

Last thing  i would want is a nice warm October,September yep thats doable but after that no,we need a Autumn,the colours and freshness are at their best then,its a change of season and we need it,nice and warm till November is probably not a great idea,but just as always just my humble opinion!

[Methuselah]

6 minutes ago, cheese said:

No point in searching for cold until November, might as well have it nice and warm until then.

I'd much prefer a warm autumn to a cold one (what's to like about rain at 7C, anyway?)...But, what we a currently experience is, IMO, too hot. Early October 2011 was also too hot...

I just hope that, come January, we'll see uppers of -15C blowing our way, over very warm SSTs??

[Methuselah]

3 hours ago, Nick L said:

This model is all new to me so will be interesting to see how it performs. It is only run once a month.

Hopefully better than the CFS?

[cheese]

2 minutes ago, markyo said:

Last thing  i would want is a nice warm October,September yep thats doable but after that no,we need a Autumn,the colours and freshness are at their best then,its a change of season and we need it,nice and warm till November is probably not a great idea,but just as always just my humble opinion!

Warm, sunny, dry days + cool nights above freezing result in the best autumn colours. 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

2 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

I'd much prefer a warm autumn to a cold one (what's to like about rain at 7C, anyway?)...But, what we a currently experience is, IMO, too hot. Early October 2011 was also too hot...

I just hope that, come January, we'll see uppers of -15C blowing our way, over very warm SSTs??

dream on Ed! more like 10° uppers wafting in from the SW, with flood risk

[markyo]

1 minute ago, cheese said:

Warm, sunny, dry days + cool nights above freezing result in the best autumn colours. 

Depends on your definition of warm,i'd go for warm Oct day as low teens,no more,may be a 15c odd day, Agree dry and cool sub 6 to 7c nights helps. And obviously sunny that goes without saying!

[cheese]

Just now, markyo said:

Depends on your definition of warm,i'd go for warm Oct day as low teens,no more,may be a 15c odd day, Agree dry and cool sub 6 to 7c nights helps. And obviously sunny that goes without saying!

Well, I'd be fine with normal October weather, or even cold October weather.. as long as it's sunny and dry. I just can't stand rainy, dreary days!

[stainesbloke]

4 hours ago, Nick L said:

EC seasonal has been updated. October is shown as settled with high pressure dominated, while November has a significant northern blocking scenario. Interestingly, it maintains some degree of northern blocking through December and January.

Very interesting for winter. Sounds great for Autumn, lots of sunny days and some frost and fog by night would be perfect. 

[markyo]

21 minutes ago, cheese said:

Well, I'd be fine with normal October weather, or even cold October weather.. as long as it's sunny and dry. I just can't stand rainy, dreary days!

Very much agree on that one!!! Just a tweak in temp can make a October day memorable,to be honest the lack of humidity makes it one of my favourite months.

[MP-R]

50 minutes ago, markyo said:

Very much agree on that one!!! Just a tweak in temp can make a October day memorable,to be honest the lack of humidity makes it one of my favourite months.

Well, if it's not littered with south westerlies. A lot of Octobers e.g. 2014, 2011, 2009 etc have had a lot humid weather.

People on here talk fondly about October 2012. I was living in Spain then so I'd like to have one similar to that.

[Weather-history]

Front clears the humidity. Sky looked thundery just ahead of front

 

[cheese]

10 minutes ago, MP-R said:

Well, if it's not littered with south westerlies. A lot of Octobers e.g. 2014, 2011, 2009 etc have had a lot humid weather.

People on here talk fondly about October 2012. I was living in Spain then so I'd like to have one similar to that.

October 2012 was good for autumn colours. It snowed on the 26th and the 27th as well.

Edited September 8, 2016 by cheese

[Summer Sun]

Uncertainties for Sunday's low and where it will position itself

By Monday we have better agreement that high pressure will bring much warmer air with the south and SE in the mid 20's on Monday high 20's Tuesday

The high slips south towards D10 allowing unsettled conditions to move in off the Atlantic how much for the south will depend on how far the high moves away

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/37313953

[bobbydog]

why are so many people moaning about the heat in september? everyone was moaning about the poor start to summer so why not just enjoy it? it might be humid but i'd rather have that than dull and wet, which will happen eventually anyway. 

[Nick L]

Just now, bobbydog said:

why are so many people moaning about the heat in september? everyone was moaning about the poor start to summer so why not just enjoy it? it might be humid but i'd rather have that than dull and wet, which will happen eventually anyway. 

Because some people don't like heat (like myself).

[Relativistic]

I'll take unseasonably cold weather all year round. For October, I want the Thames to freeze over.

[stainesbloke]

14 minutes ago, bobbydog said:

why are so many people moaning about the heat in september? everyone was moaning about the poor start to summer so why not just enjoy it? it might be humid but i'd rather have that than dull and wet, which will happen eventually anyway. 

Exactly. Nice weather to enjoy the outdoors. Will be cooped up indoors when there's months of gales and rain all too soon. Enjoy it while it lasts! Plus 27C in mid September won't feel as hot as in July.

[stainesbloke]

5 minutes ago, Relativistic said:

I'll take unseasonably cold weather all year round. For October, I want the Thames to freeze over.

Haha, dream on! Move to Canada or Russia maybe?

Edited September 8, 2016 by stainesbloke

[Methuselah]

12 minutes ago, Nick L said:

Because some people don't like heat (like myself).

It's not the heat that bothers me, it's the humidity...I've lived through 1975,1976, 1983, 1989, 1995, 1997 and 2006...But, the humidity in those years was nothing like what it's been, this year...Yuck!