July 2016 C.E.T. Forecasts

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield up 16.4C

Surprised by 16.7C seems a bit low to me. There's normally a 0.7C between Sheffield and the set zone.

[Summer Sun]

16.8c to the 21st

0.8c above the 61 to 90 average

0.3c above the 81 to 10 average

[BornFromTheVoid]

Minimum today is 15.2C, while maxima look like reaching the mid 23s, so an increase to 16.9C is likely on tomorrows update.

After that, the 06z GFS has the CET at:

17.0C to the 23rd (19.3: +2.4)
17.1C to the 24th (18.9: +2.3)
17.1C to the 25th (17.0: +0.0)
17.0C to the 26th (16.3: -0.9)
17.1C to the 27th (17.7: +0.5)
17.1C to the 28th (17.7: +0.3)
17.1C to the 29th (17.7: +0.0)
17.0C to the 30th (15.4: -2.0)
17.0C to the 31st (15.3: -1.9)

The latest GFS has a gradual trend from slightly above average to slightly below average from now until the end of the month. At this stage, I'd say a likely finishing range is 16.5C to 17.4C before corrections, and 16.1C to 17.4C after corrections.

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield now at 16.7C another rise for today so will go above average just whether it will stay that way is another matter.

[Summer Sun]

16.9c to the 22nd

0.9c above the 61 to 90 average

0.4c above the 81 to 10 average

[BornFromTheVoid]

Minimum today is 14.1C, while maxima look like being in the mid 23s, so an increase to 17.0C is likely on tomorrows update.

After that, the 06z GFS has the CET at:

17.1C to the 24th (19.0: +2.4)
17.1C to the 25th (17.1: +0.1)
17.0C to the 26th (16.0: -1.2)
17.1C to the 27th (18.0: +0.8)
17.1C to the 28th (18.8: +1.4)
17.1C to the 29th (17.5: -0.2)
17.1C to the 30th (17.3: -0.1)
17.2C to the 31st (17.6: +0.4)

Looking a little milder for the final week now. At this stage, a finish of between 16.5C and 17.4C before corrections, and 16.1C to 17.4C after looks likely.

[Summer Sun]

17.0c to the 23rd

1.0c above the 61 to 90 average

0.5c above the 81 to 10 average

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield 16.8C it also been a very dry month here with only  25.2mm of rain 44% of average.

[BornFromTheVoid]

Latest GFS runs are a little cooler, with the CET finishing at 17.0C before corrections.

[damianslaw]

The last few days have certainly helped push the CET value up from what was beginning to look like a rather average and indeed cool month. The rest of the month looks fairly average, so I suspect it will now flatline. A finish in the low 17's most likely, so it will end up an above average month but not exceptionally so, indeed overall a rather average month, with maxes in the main nearer average, mins have helped push it to such levels.

 

[BornFromTheVoid]

18 hours ago, damianslaw said:

The last few days have certainly helped push the CET value up from what was beginning to look like a rather average and indeed cool month. The rest of the month looks fairly average, so I suspect it will now flatline. A finish in the low 17's most likely, so it will end up an above average month but not exceptionally so, indeed overall a rather average month, with maxes in the main nearer average, mins have helped push it to such levels.

 

The minimum is currently running about 1C above the rolling 81-10 average, while the maximum is 0.1C above average.
The maximum was 4C above average from the 17th to the 23rd, so pushed it up considerably.

[Summer Sun]

17.0c to the 24th

1.0c above the 61 to 90 average

0.5c above the 81 to 10 average

[BornFromTheVoid]

Minimum today of 13.3C, while maxima look like reaching the low 20s, so remaining on 17.0C on tomorrows update.

After that, the 06z GFS has the CET at:

17.0C to the 26th (16.2: -1.0)
17.0C to the 27th (18.3: +1.1)
17.0C to the 28th (16.8: -0.6)
17.0C to the 29th (17.1: -0.6)
17.0C to the 30th (15.8: -1.6)
16.9C to the 31st (15.4: -1.8)

A relatively cool end to the month now favoured. The likely finishing range now 16.6C to 17.3C, and 16.2C to 17.3C after corrections. Best guesses in the high 16s.

[Summer Sun]

17.0c to the 25th

1.0c above the 61 to 90 average

0.4c above the 81 to 10 average

[DAVID SNOW]

Final figure this month,(after corrections) 16.7, with a chance of 16.6.

[Summer Sun]

17.0c to the 26th

1.0c above the 61 to 90 average

0.4c above the 81 to 10 average

[BornFromTheVoid]

The minimum today is 15.5C, while maxima look like reaching the low 21s, so remaining on 17.0C on tomorrows update.

After that, the 06z GFS has the CET at:

17.0C to the 28th (16.4: -1.0)
17.0C to the 29th (16.8: -0.9)
17.0C to the 30th (15.9: -1.5)
16.9C to the 31st (14.5: -2.7)

A cool finish very likely now, taking the CET to between 16.7 and 17.2C before corrections, and 16.3 to 17.2C after corrections.

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield 16.8C may get another rise tomorrow although looking at the dew point tonight might be well down on forecast levels. Depend son how fast the rain arrives.

[Summer Sun]

17.0c to the 27th

1.0c above the 61 to 90 average

0.4c above the 81 to 10 average

[BornFromTheVoid]

Minimum today of 11.5C, while maxima look like getting close to 21C, so remaining on 17.0C on tomorrows update.

After that, the 06z GFS has the CET at:

17.0C to the 29th (17.7: +0.0)
17.0C to the 30th (16.4: -1.0)
17.0C to the 31st (15.8: -1.4)

A finish of A range of 16.8C to 17.1C before corrections, and 16.4C to 17.1C after corrections is most likely now.

[DAVID SNOW]

Looks a tad 'chilly' in the north of the zone, perhaps a drop on tomorrows update.

[The PIT]

On 27/07/2016 at 17:48, The PIT said:

Sunny Sheffield 16.8C may get another rise tomorrow although looking at the dew point tonight might be well down on forecast levels. Depend son how fast the rain arrives.

Yup a much colder night than predicted so a slight drop although hidden by the rounding. Today will produce a drop for us anyway.

[BornFromTheVoid]

Minimum today of 14.3C, while maxima look like being in the low 20s, so remaining on 17.0C on tomorrows update.

After that, the 06z GFS has the CET at:

17.0C to the 30th (16.7: -0.7)
17.0C to the 31st (15.8: -1.4)

A finish of A range of 16.9C or 17.0C before corrections, and 16.5C to 17.0C after corrections is most likely now.

[Summer Sun]

17.0c to the 28th

1.0c above the 61 to 90 average

0.4c above the 81 to 10 average

[ARTDEMOLE]

7th day of no change to Hadley....