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2016 Arctic Sea Ice Minimum Prediction Thread - June

BornFromTheVoid

By BornFromTheVoid
in Climate Change

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Arctic Sea Ice Minimum Poll 2016 - June  

10 members have voted

  1. 1. What will the NSIDC daily minimum Arctic sea ice extent be for 2016? (in millions km^2)

    • >7.0
      0
    • 6.8-7.0 (80s average)
      0
    • 6.6-6.8
      0
    • 6.4-6.6 (90s average)
      0
    • 6.2-6.4
      0
    • 6.0-6.2
      0
    • 5.8-6.0
      0
    • 5.6-5.8
      0
    • 5.4-5.6 (00s average)
      0
    • 5.2-5.4
      0
    • 5.0-5.2 (2013 minimum)
      0
    • 4.8-5.0 (2014 minimum)
      1
    • 4.6-4.8
      0
    • 4.4-4.6 (2010s average so far)
      0
    • 4.2-4.4 (2015 minimum)
      0
    • 4.0-4.2 (2007 minimum)
      1
    • 3.8-4.0
      1
    • 3.6-3.8
      1
    • 3.4-3.6
      0
    • 3.2-3.4 (2012 minimum, lowest on record)
      2
    • 3.0-3.2
      1
    • 2.8-3.0
      1
    • 2.6-2.8
      1
    • 2.4-2.6
      0
    • <2.4
      1

Recommended Posts

BornFromTheVoid Maestro

BornFromTheVoid

Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
Posted

This is the 3rd sea ice minimum poll of the summer. The previous poll, posted on May 5th, had an average of 3.03 million km2 after 21 votes, while the April poll average 3.48 million from 16 votes.

At the moment, we are still lowest on record by about half a million km2 going by most area and extent calculations, and lowest or 2nd lowest by volume. The sensor calibration is underway at the NSIDC and we should hopefully have the full official extent data back again soon. For now, we are going by the uncalibrated data provided by Wipneus.

Here are the daily minima since 2000, and the 80s and 90s averages.

 80s     6.963
 90s     6.423
2000    5.943
2001    6.567
2002    5.625
2003    5.969
2004    5.770
2005    5.314
2006    5.746
2007    4.147
2008    4.548
2009    5.047
2010    4.590
2011    4.333
2012    3.340
2013    5.040
2014    4.988
2015    4.341

As always, voting is set to private.

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  • 1 month later...
BornFromTheVoid Maestro

BornFromTheVoid

Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Author
Posted

Interest in these polls seems to have died off. Shall I put together the next one?

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stewfox Accomplished

stewfox

Posted
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and heatwave
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft
Posted
2 hours ago, BornFromTheVoid said:

Interest in these polls seems to have died off. Shall I put together the next one?

Yes please. I think the referendum and all that non important stuff has got in the way

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