Convective/Storm Discussion Thread 25/5/16 onwards

[Milocation]

5 minutes ago, ajpoolshark said:

yes, you certainly can and nothing wrong with that , but let's stick to what is actually happening and what is modelled to in this thread please

apologies 

[William Grimsley]

Still very windy with more Altocumulus Castellanus cloud streaming in from the E. LOL.

Here's the Nest cam live stream, now looking E: https://video.nest.com/live/OIJL3I

No idea why the video quality is so poor...

Edited May 31, 2016 by William Grimsley

[stainesbloke]

1 hour ago, William Grimsley said:

Pretty sure I will! About time!

Highly unlikely imho. General rain, maybe. It's chucked it down here all day and been very chilly, that's all moving your way.

[Chris.R]

20°C and almost unbroken strong sunshine all day. Quite a contrast.  I saw there was a bit of instability predicted for my area over night and into tomorrow, but now  doesn't seem like the rain will reach this far west after all. 

[William Grimsley]

24 minutes ago, stainesbloke said:

Highly unlikely imho. General rain, maybe. It's chucked it down here all day and been very chilly, that's all moving your way.

Ahh, come on it was a joke. I know it's going to be just rain but one clap of thunder wouldn't go amiss!

[stainesbloke]

13 minutes ago, William Grimsley said:

Ahh, come on it was a joke. I know it's going to be just rain but one clap of thunder wouldn't go amiss!

Again, highly unlikely 

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

I think people are getting dangerously optimistic because of storm withdrawal

Edited May 31, 2016 by Flash bang flash bang etc

[William Grimsley]

50 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

I think people are getting dangerously optimistic because of storm withdrawal

Hmm, I agree...

[Gordon Webb]

3 hours ago, LimoPreacherman said:

yes, one shows us, the other shows Europe, DON'T CRITICISE MY SNIPPING SKILLS!

 

seems your caps lock got stuck on the second half of the sentence and I wasn't criticizing but if you like I can say that the same point could have been made with only one image

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

Got my eye on those cells approaching Lincolnshire now. If only this setup occurred 5 months ago, it would be epic wash streamers! 

Edit: sferics showing just off the Lincs coast now :O!! 

Edited May 31, 2016 by East_England_Stormchaser91

[William Grimsley]

Rain band intensifying on the west side, god I'm hopeful...

[A.J]

hopeful of what?......heavy rain? yes, that's a possibility for a while maybe....for thunderstorms?....very little scope for that, I'm afraid

[William Grimsley]

1 minute ago, ajpoolshark said:

hopeful of what?......heavy rain? yes, that's a possibility for a while maybe....for thunderstorms?....very little scope for that, I'm afraid

Yes, thunderstorms and you're right, no chance. One day I bet you we'll get a 24 hour long MCS to make up for everything...

[Delka]

Huge downpour just finished coming through, just at the backend 30 seconds before it was all over there was a huge rumble, first thunder of the year? Any radars pick that up or was it just a wheelie bin?

[Martin Auld]

3 minutes ago, Delka said:

Huge downpour just finished coming through, just at the backend 30 seconds before it was all over there was a huge rumble, first thunder of the year? Any radars pick that up or was it just a wheelie bin?

Don't think it was thunder unfortunately probably a wheelie bin like you said. I usually get tricked by that and also by planes going over its frustrating

[Methuselah]

I remember back in July 1968, when I think the SE had a similar situation - a NE wind with sporadic thundery rain - patiently waiting, as the sky grew darker, for the first rumble of thunder. Although the thunder duly arrived, I have absolutely not the faintest idea what the lesson was about! But that's Asperger's: our minds can be anywhere!

[Severe Blizzard]

July 1968 was a good month for thunderstorms in the south, the best events being the 10th~11th and 13th~14th with rainfalls >25 mm on each of these occasions (Fleet, Hants). S.E. did not fare well on the 1st with the very hot day and thunderstorms over the west country moving N.E. and missed out on the large hail associated with these storms.

Summer 1968 saw much N.E.ly and E.ly type weather in the south and culminated in the thunderstorms and torrential rain from an almost stationary front on 14th~16th September. Guildford had 105 mm over these 3 days with major flooding. 

[Methuselah]

2 minutes ago, Severe Blizzard said:

July 1968 was a good month for thunderstorms in the south, the best events being the 10th~11th and 13th~14th with rainfalls >25 mm on each of these occasions (Fleet, Hants). S.E. did not fare well on the 1st with the very hot day and thunderstorms over the west country moving N.E. and missed out on the large hail associated with these storms.

Summer 1968 saw much N.E.ly and E.ly type weather in the south and culminated in the thunderstorms and torrential rain from an almost stationary front on 14th~16th September. Guildford had 105 mm over these 3 days with major flooding. 

I'm guessing that that was when we had the 'red rain' (33C at Kew?). Your are right, we in MK missed most of the action. It must have been the 13th-14th when we had one house struck twice during one storm, after a cloudy, dreich sports day...Friday night? I'm glad someone-else can remember!

[Delka]

33 minutes ago, Martin Auld said:

Don't think it was thunder unfortunately probably a wheelie bin like you said. I usually get tricked by that and also by planes going over its frustrating

Not surprised, the wind definitely picked up alot whilst it all came through

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

32 minutes ago, Martin Auld said:

Don't think it was thunder unfortunately probably a wheelie bin like you said. I usually get tricked by that and also by planes going over its frustrating

Could very possibly have been. I've witnessed thunder before with no correspondence from lightning maps. Earlier this month at Leicester I saw proof of it too, physically observed the lightning, but no detection. It only registers strikes that make contact with the ground it would seem. 

[stainesbloke]

1 hour ago, William Grimsley said:

Yes, thunderstorms and you're right, no chance. One day I bet you we'll get a 24 hour long MCS to make up for everything...

Yes, why not? We used to! I remember numerous all night storms in decades past, sometimes continuing to lunchtime the next day. All changed now in this 'new' climate of ours that really needs to do one!

[Delka]

1 minute ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

Could very possibly have been. I've witnessed thunder before with no correspondence from lightning maps. Earlier this month at Leicester I saw proof of it too, physically observed the lightning, but no detection. It only registers strikes that make contact with the ground it would seem. 

I'm going to class it as just a heavy rain shower, I didn't see any lightning or flash at all just the deep rumble. Just going to take it as another close, but a miss, event. Don't mind though, was definitely worth it, plants are getting a good watering! 

[Speedway Slider]

The North sea seems to be capable today of spawning west bound cells at the moment, will these cells only be of the elevated flavour?

Edited May 31, 2016 by Speedway Slider

[Martin Auld]

24 minutes ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

Could very possibly have been. I've witnessed thunder before with no correspondence from lightning maps. Earlier this month at Leicester I saw proof of it too, physically observed the lightning, but no detection. It only registers strikes that make contact with the ground it would seem. 

Yeah I agree in the thundery shower I had last week I observed four strikes but the radar only managed to detect two of them

[Speedway Slider]

38 minutes ago, Martin Auld said:

Yeah I agree in the thundery shower I had last week I observed four strikes but the radar only managed to detect two of them

I have been told in the past, that detectors struggle with inter cloud and intra cloud? I suppose if it doesn't discharge to ground, there's nothing or very little to detect?