June 2016 C.E.T. Forecasts

[The PIT]

Bang on average for June in Sunny Sheffield 14.5C wet though with 112.5mm of rain and we missed a lot as well.

[Summer Sun]

On 25/05/2016 at 00:46, CongletonHeat said:

15.2

 

On 20/05/2016 at 09:46, geoffw said:

15.2 please 

 

On 29/05/2016 at 16:57, Summer Sun said:

15.2c for me please

 

On 30/05/2016 at 09:12, Paul said:

I'll go for 15.2c

 

On 30/05/2016 at 10:53, BornFromTheVoid said:

15.2C for me, thanks

 

On 30/05/2016 at 16:09, DR(S)NO said:

A few 15.2c guesses.. Who am I to disagree  15.2 c it is then.

 

On 31/05/2016 at 02:06, syed2878 said:

First month of summer 2016 and my guess is. 15.2C Plz. Thanks.

 

On 31/05/2016 at 20:35, seaside 60 said:

Actually on time this month.

I think warmer than average just,

15.2c

I really hope for nice days with cool nights.

 

On 31/05/2016 at 21:33, March said:

15.2C

 

On 31/05/2016 at 22:53, Norrance said:

15.2 please.

June confirmed as 15.2 it is ranked 294

Plenty of correct guesses for last month

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/mly_cet_mean_sort.txt

[BornFromTheVoid]

June 2016, at 15.2C, was the 64th warmest on record, 0.7C above the 81-10 average, 1.0C above the 61-90 average and 0.9C above the average of the entire CET record.

 

Of the 30 days this month, 18 days were above the 81-10 average, 11 were below and 1 was exactly average.

Of the 18 above average .......................... ..................... Of the 11 below average
4 were in the top 25 .............................. ......................... 0 were in the bottom 25
0 were in the top 5 .................................. ......................... 0 were in the bottom 5
0 were daily records ............................... .......................... 0 were daily records

 

The total downward correction in June was -0.22C, from 15.46C to 15.24C. Of the corrections, 19 saw drops, 8 saw increases and 3 days saw no change.

[J10]

As mentioned above, 10 players got it spot on. 15.2c, I think this is the most successful month ever.

geoffw, CongletonHeat, Summer Sun, Paul, BornFromTheVoid
DR(S)NO, syed2878, seaside 60, March and Norrance

Full results to follow tomorrow.

Edited July 4, 2016 by J10

[J10]

As promised full results have now been compiled.

The seasonal comp is very close with 10 players getting it spot on.

The top 3 based on entry order of these are

1. geoffw
2. CongletonHeat
3. Summer Sun

Overall

The top 2 are unchanged with

1. Roger J Smith
2. Evening Thunder (despite no entry this month)
in 3rd Man with Beard is up from 4th

However it remains very close.

June 2016 CET New.pdf

June 2016 CET New.xlsx

In terms of stats this month, The average entry was 15.3c, only 0.1c from the monthly out turn.

51 players got it within 0.5c of the correct figure.

Any problems please let me know.

Edited July 5, 2016 by J10

[Man With Beard]

Thanks J10

Well getting into the top 3 of the CET chase is definitely the pinnacle of my amateur weather-forecasting career!! I shall make the most of the moment before I sink back into the pack...

Gutted though to miss out getting the June spot on by 0.01, which would have taken me top! (CET was 15.24C, my guess was 15.3C)

 

[Roger J Smith]

Now at least two thirds of the top three are men with beards.

Hanging on precariously after losing a shoe on the final turn in June. Looking at the scoring, anyone in the current top 20 is easily within reach of the eventual lead with five months to go.

[BornFromTheVoid]

13 minutes ago, Roger J Smith said:

Now at least two thirds of the top three are men with beards.

Make that three quarters of the top four! Perhaps we've found the trick to successful CET forecasts

Edited July 6, 2016 by BornFromTheVoid

[DAVID SNOW]

Add another to the list

[seaside 60]

And another to the top 8 lol