Jump to content
Paul

Model output discussion - 20th Feb onwards

Recommended Posts

Definitely looking interesting over next week onwards with generally cool/cold air taking over next week,  I think we could see a dominant Scandi block develop into March with nagging easterly, and wouldn't that be ironic!!!!

 

BFTP

  • Like 7

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

More cracking charts from the GFS, this at 168.  The uppers aren't what they should be but are probably sufficient for wintery stuff!

gfsnh-0-168.thumb.png.80e8b58f1ff479ff11gfsnh-1-168.thumb.png.a75b319d72ad8ec463

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
28 minutes ago, Frost HoIIow said:

Is this normally a good sign the main jet digging well south?

gfs-5-102.png?18

 

Affirmative.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Typical that Kent is about the only county on any of those charts not to get any snowfall - good job its a few days away and will change! Lets hope for a nationwide snow event, oh and for once a decent Easterly/ ENEerly

Edited by Polar Maritime
Removed quote box.
  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Fair bit off but,round two anyone?

another trough coming down from iceland

gfs-0-240.thumb.png.c78897cb48c551ae3016

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
16 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

:cold::yahoo:

 

image.gif

When those charts fail to produce 4cm at T+81: 56c8ebe922967_20160218T81.thumb.gif.f3d91cm at T+186 is a much bigger leap of faith.

12 minutes ago, IPredictASnowStorm said:

always misses out central london everytime :sorry:

uksnowdepth.png

Looking at the elevation required according to that chart - at least 300 metres - most places missing out in fact.

Edited by The Enforcer
  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
15 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

:cold::yahoo:

 

image.gif

All that is showing is hill/mountain snow and the rest get a sugar dusting.

Pretty well useless charts.

  • Like 5

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, The Enforcer said:

Looking at the elevation required - at least 300 metres - most places missing out in fact according to that chart.

300 meters is the level at which the air temp will be 0c at head height. Ground temp could be around freezing along with -5c upper air temp and low DP. Hence why it shows lying snow in areas below 300m 

  • Like 6

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Nick L said:

Do you mean that chart in particular or the run in general? To say that there will be nothing but a sugar dusting for low levels on this run is just plain wrong. 

Way too far away to take seriously though.

Pretty obvious my post refers to "that chart in particular". 

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, Nick L said:

Well you said "useless charts". 

Agreed. It's one of many this Winter.

  • Like 4

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.

×