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South East and East Anglia weather discussion/Chat - 18th February onwards


Captain Shortwave

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Posted
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cool not cold, warm not hot. No strong Wind.
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
1 hour ago, Wivenswold said:

Worth watching and it's brilliant that something of interest is happening when most of us will be home and able to watch it unfold (with a lie-in the next morning too. Bonus!)

However, perhaps in the spirit the inevitable non-apocalypse backlash in the "Hurricane Katie" thread in a couple of days, I'll only use the quotes from experts like Captain Shortwave that serve my purpose. Which are "Monday..a....severe storm....70mph....secondary low,.....severe."

It had better happen exactly like that Captain! :)

 

 

 

Bill Farkin lives:D

 

Happy Easter all

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Posted
  • Location: Upminster, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, high winds, thunder, snow
  • Location: Upminster, Essex

I've got a feeling this will be more of a channel and coastal event then it will be for inland areas, the latest charts suggest it'll stay a little further south then first indicated meaning it'll effect a narrower area of our shores if at all.

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Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy and thundery.
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level

Good really, I don't want another tree to fall over a powerline like what has happened and we ended up in pitch black all evening and lost a fridge of food. Can stay away for all I care.

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Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON
2 hours ago, jayney69 said:

Watching Storm Katie closely, not so much for me in North Kent, but for parents due to get the lunchtime ferry back from Calais!

I'd skip lunch if I was them. How strong must winds be to cancel ferry crossings?

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Posted
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch

car  cleaned  now  ready  for kate  to  come  puting things  away  just in case

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Posted
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch

this   is  a  repost    from  the model thread   worrying

 

  4 hours ago, Steve Murr said:

If we look at this set up & then compare October 1987 there are a lot of similarities-

I havent looked on the METO page but there should already be amber warnings out & sunday overnight into monday may eventually be upgraded to red...

S

Well at the moment one hopes not too similar. The 1987 depression dropped to 953mb as it approached the western Channel from Biscay.

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Posted
  • Location: Woodingdean (near Brighton)
  • Location: Woodingdean (near Brighton)

I live close to Brighton and have a max of 68 mph winds for one hour.....

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Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
51 minutes ago, EJA said:

I live close to Brighton and have a max of 68 mph winds for one hour.....

You are well situated to see the real strength of Storm Kate 

Latest GFS, the swathe of damaging winds are largely offshore Hampshire/W Sussex coastline

any northern movements and it would be troubling indeed. Gusting roughly 80mph at 0000 just out to sea, on land this can cause a fair bit of damage :shok: 

I expect to see your location to be covered by Amber at least.

image.png

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Posted
  • Location: Wrexham, North East Wales 80m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Wrexham, North East Wales 80m asl
10 minutes ago, Surrey said:

Squall line very clear on radar 

Screenshot_2016-03-26-15-49-34.png

And it's coming your way!! If it holds....

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Posted
  • Location: Brighton
  • Weather Preferences: snow cold,storms and heat
  • Location: Brighton

I'm just west of Brighton by the South Downs , it's just started to spit and is breezy but other than that is just a typical dull day 

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Posted
  • Location: Ampthill, Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Heat, Cold, Sun
  • Location: Ampthill, Bedfordshire
6 hours ago, Blessed Weather said:

 

*ignore post quote

Rotten afternoon here, bring back the dry weather please 'weather gods'

I wish I could get excited over a squall line and a bit of wind and rain...

I'm definitely living in the wrong country when Dry/sunny - Snow/cold - Heat/thunderstorms is your preferred weather type - lol

 

 

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Posted
  • Location: Hadleigh, Suffolk
  • Weather Preferences: An Alpine climate - snowy winters and sunny summers
  • Location: Hadleigh, Suffolk
1 minute ago, Ben Lewis said:

*ignore post quote

Rotten afternoon here, bring back the dry weather please 'weather gods'

I wish I could get excited over a squall line and a bit of wind and rain...

I'm definitely living in the wrong country when Dry/sunny - Snow/cold - Heat/thunderstorms is your preferred weather type - lol

 

 

The unwanted quote box in a new post has happened to me too Ben. I've found that if you hold your pointer over the box, a 'cross' appears above the top left-hand border of the box. Click on this and it highlights the entire quote box; then you can hit the delete or back-space key to get rid of it. (Hope that makes sense). :)

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Posted
  • Location: Ampthill, Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Heat, Cold, Sun
  • Location: Ampthill, Bedfordshire
5 minutes ago, Blessed Weather said:

The unwanted quote box in a new post has happened to me too Ben. I've found that if you hold your pointer over the box, a 'cross' appears above the top left-hand border of the box. Click on this and it highlights the entire quote box; then you can hit the delete or back-space key to get rid of it. (Hope that makes sense). :)

Ah cheers blessed. 

Will defintely look out for that when on laptop next, Just on iPhone this afternoon. 

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Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL

This squall was absolutely insane on the night of 07th February most incredible rainfall accompanied by very strong gusts, it was very short lived, but it packed a mighty punch.

image.pngimage.png

Edited by Daniel*
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Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON

Weatherwise, April is looking zzzzzzzzzzzzzzz. A bit like the last two and a half years then.:drunk-emoji: Happy Easter everyone! Hope you all got more than a tiny £1 Buttons Egg:angry: My mum got a giant Lindt one:angry:

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Posted
  • Location: Hadleigh, Suffolk
  • Weather Preferences: An Alpine climate - snowy winters and sunny summers
  • Location: Hadleigh, Suffolk

This afternoon's 12z Arpege run continues to show max southerly gusts of around 110/120 km/h (70/75 mph) for southern coastal counties in the early hours of Monday. This is ahead of the cold front associated with storm Katie. And the model is refusing to drop its idea of even stronger s/westerly gusts following along later Monday morning, as Katie exits the eastern coast to the north of the Wash. If Arpege is correct, this secondary 'burst' of strong winds is more worrying as it occurs around the middle of the day and would impact all forms of travel in the SE corner.

Mon 05.00 ARPEGE 12z Sat Max Gusts for Mon28Mar 05.00.png Mon 12.00 ARPEGE 12z Sat Max Gusts for Mon28Mar 12.00.png

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Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL

Meanwhile GFS tones it down the ARPEGE on the other hand a real beastie for densely populated southeastern corner of Britain this is very thrilling to watch it must be said. 

image.pngimage.png

Edited by Daniel*
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Posted
  • Location: Ampthill, Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Heat, Cold, Sun
  • Location: Ampthill, Bedfordshire
14 minutes ago, Surrey said:

So the question is, will the gfs back track to the arpege idea or  the arpege back towards the gfs 

Well if it's anything like its OTT snowfall prediction expect it to back towards the GFS big time.

I know where my money is, but you never know. Fingers crossed the GFS is right.

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Posted
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and heatwave
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft

Heavy rain and wind here, felt like a tornedo, wasn't of course, thought the fences would be blown away

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Posted
  • Location: Work Haverhill Suffolk. Live in Thurrock
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Cold.
  • Location: Work Haverhill Suffolk. Live in Thurrock

Wind really picking up here in the last 50mins

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