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The first tropical cyclone to form in the Australian area of responsibility has formed off the coast of NW Australia. Stan has winds of 45kts according to JTWC. The storm has deep, centralised convection and well developed banding features. Outflow is excellent, which is reducing the impact of moderate shear in the area. Landfall is expected on the Pilbara coast in about 36hrs, could be a hurricane strength system at landfall if the current rate of intensification continues.

 

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Stan has continued to intensify and has winds of 65kts according to JTWC. A weak eye has emerged from the central dense overcast. Shear has lessened now, so some further intensification is likely before landfall just of Port Hedland in about 12hrs.

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