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South West & Central Southern England - Weather Chat, 6th December and Onwards...


Methuselah

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Posted
  • Location: Abingdon - 55m ASL - Capital of The Central Southern England Corridor of Winter Convectionlessness
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Snow>Freezing Fog; Summer: Sun>Daytime Storms
  • Location: Abingdon - 55m ASL - Capital of The Central Southern England Corridor of Winter Convectionlessness
19 minutes ago, Frosty hollows said:

I'm just down the road from you and we dipped below freezing about 6pm, but warmed up an hour later. We do seem to be the land weather forgets. Except frost.

You should be OK, Benson is in a notorious frost pocket. 1C here now, what sort of cold spell can't get below freezing at night?

Edited by The Enforcer
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Posted
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
1 minute ago, Earnest Easterly* said:

Bristollians would take this :spiteful: 

image.thumb.gif.32f567be4335713414111d36image.thumb.gif.da5e5309cf3f80d93f2bae47

Shift that 50 miles East and Oxonians would be happy! 

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Posted
  • Location: Yate, South Gloucestershire
  • Location: Yate, South Gloucestershire
18 minutes ago, Mark N said:

Shift that 50 miles East and Oxonians would be happy! 

16011700_1518.gif 

 

Something like this? :p

 

What's this lot going to fall as then when it makes landfall? 

 

16011718_1518.gif

16011718_1518.gif

Edited by Zephyr
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Posted
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
18 minutes ago, The Enforcer said:

You should be OK, Benson is in a notorious frost pocket. 1C here now, what sort of cold spell can't get below freezing at night?

Few miles North of you and our fourth frost in a row. 

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Posted
  • Location: Abingdon - 55m ASL - Capital of The Central Southern England Corridor of Winter Convectionlessness
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Snow>Freezing Fog; Summer: Sun>Daytime Storms
  • Location: Abingdon - 55m ASL - Capital of The Central Southern England Corridor of Winter Convectionlessness
7 minutes ago, Zephyr said:

16011700_1518.gif 

 

Something like this? :p

No - on the rain side of the ubiquitous NW to SE boundary. GFS 18z was better for here, towards the western edge of the area, but  would get a dusting.

NMM 18z has moved the snow from Scotland to Wales, but no further south or west: http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/wrfnmm.php?map=20

Arpege 18z closer to Euro 4, but with more favourable snow spread: http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege.php

11:25pm BBC News 24 forecast looks closest to the Arpege 18z, which should give a covering here if I have observed that correctly.

Edited by The Enforcer
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Posted
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
7 minutes ago, Dorsetbred said:

Temperature bouncing around all over the place tonight, down to 0.2C and now backup to 2C and the fost appears to be lifting.

Same here. Guess cloud's coming and going

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Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
1 minute ago, Bristle boy said:

BANK!!!!!

Really? That shows rain over Bristol and somerset? :cc_confused:

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Posted
  • Location: Nelson, Caerphilly County, 175m ASL
  • Location: Nelson, Caerphilly County, 175m ASL
2 minutes ago, Nights King said:

Really? That shows rain over Bristol and somerset? :cc_confused:

Yes, I noticed that too. I hate to be the bearer of bad news and whatnot, but Bristol is in the rain. As are we.

You're not alone, Southwesterners.

Edited by Jackfrost
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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
14 minutes ago, Zephyr said:

16011700_1518.gif 

 

Something like this? :p

 

What's this lot going to fall as then when it makes landfall? 

 

16011718_1518.gif

16011718_1518.gif

I'll be amazed if it hasn't shifted west by the time the 00z have rolled out.

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Posted
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, nr Bristol, SGlos
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, nr Bristol, SGlos
1 minute ago, Nights King said:

Really? That shows rain over Bristol and somerset? :cc_confused:

Oh yeah!

Dry cider taking over. LOL!

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Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
Just now, Bristle boy said:

Shift West on the actual day....i reckon.

I'll get me coat!

If something can go wrong then it will... :rofl:

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Posted
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
14 minutes ago, Mark N said:

Few miles North of you and our fourth frost in a row. 

Notorious frost spot indeed. Our record was -16.5 in 2010. Almost a month of sub zero or close to temps :cold:

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Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
17 minutes ago, Dorsetbred said:

Temperature bouncing around all over the place tonight, down to 0.2C and now backup to 2C and the fost appears to be lifting.

It hasn't dropped below 2.0°C here, but it is rising though.

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Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
Just now, lfcdude said:

 

Like the last few years!

 

Indeed its not been kind and I just know the Monday event will slip away to the north east of our region.... you heard it hear first. :nonono:

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Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL

Apologies for my disgraceful Geography. The E4 has quite a different take on it, oh well there's no fun without the drama.....will it snow in Cardiff? That is the question! :shok:

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Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
5 minutes ago, Earnest Easterly* said:

Apologies for my disgraceful Geography. The E4 has quite a different take on it, oh well there's no fun without the drama.....will it snow in Cardiff? That is the question! :shok:

Well it snowed for a bit last night here after bloody rain showers lol so had no chance of settling. 

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Posted
  • Location: Abingdon - 55m ASL - Capital of The Central Southern England Corridor of Winter Convectionlessness
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Snow>Freezing Fog; Summer: Sun>Daytime Storms
  • Location: Abingdon - 55m ASL - Capital of The Central Southern England Corridor of Winter Convectionlessness

Right, ordered from worst to best for my locale from L to R (Euro4 < NMM < GFS < Arpege < BBC):

16011700_1518.thumb.gif.ee2a91df09b9db5dnmm-1-28-0.thumb.png.9c65afff282386849c3image.gif.079fa1e2e13c0a8335fe1fc1bf7e64arpege-1-32-0.thumb.png.c732048e4f9569b2IMG_0001.thumb.JPG.f2a4304916b25f7f9b0b45699902d1c506_20160117Snow-1.thumb.png.5

 

 

Edited by The Enforcer
Added BBC website version
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