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South East and East Anglia weather discussion/Chat - A new year


Captain Shortwave

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Posted
  • Location: Work Haverhill Suffolk. Live in Thurrock
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Cold.
  • Location: Work Haverhill Suffolk. Live in Thurrock
8 minutes ago, Greenland1080 said:

And?

To old.....

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Posted
  • Location: Rayleigh, Essex. 68m asl
  • Location: Rayleigh, Essex. 68m asl

Beers in - check

Curtain open - check

Netweather regional forum open -  check

Snow - errr. Not yet

Good luck everyone

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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
20 minutes ago, Captain Shortwave said:

Looking at the radar I think east Norfolk could be in for a good night with showers forming and pushing off the north sea, falling as snow inland by the looks of it. East Suffolk could be in for some action too going by that lot.

Heavy and possibly disruptive anaprop incoming!:D

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Posted
  • Location: colchester,essex,40m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Very Hot,Very cold.scared of thunder and lightning.
  • Location: colchester,essex,40m asl.

0.9 c

dew -1.7

here in colchester

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Posted
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms!! (With the odd gale thrown in)
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL
1 minute ago, Ed Stone said:

Heavy and possibly disruptive anaprop incoming!:D

Hahahahaha! It's going to be a long night...

Edited by Sno' problem
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Posted
  • Location: Huntingdon Cambridgeshire 45ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Frosty Mornings
  • Location: Huntingdon Cambridgeshire 45ft ASL

looking at the met app radar we are the cream in the snow sandwich here, snow to the west, snow to the east!

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Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough
5 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

Heavy and possibly disruptive anaprop incoming!:D

Just looked at the webcam down Marine parade in Great Yarmouth and snow is definitely falling there. 

This is a scenario which seems to get missed where any disrupting trough can sometimes engage shower activity in the north sea and pull it inland, this happened in January 2013 with the blob event where a cluster of showers in the north sea that developed and sat in the same spot for most of the day before moving north west in response to engaging the upper trough which brought the snow event over Wales the following day.

Speaking of anaprop, we have some here with the radar saying snow and the actual conditions being dry as a bone.

Edited by Captain Shortwave
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Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .

Not sure if the new AROME 1.3km has been put up. That shows the heaviest precip between 3 and 7 am.

The snow totals it gives is roughly 2cms upto 4cms to the west of London.

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Posted
  • Location: Orpington Kent.
  • Location: Orpington Kent.

Folks.. Do we need to worried about the easterly trend of this event.. Reports in the middles is that milder air is seeping further east than forecast.. 

Where is the cold air! Cannot we not draw in a little more from the continent.

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Posted
  • Location: colchester,essex,40m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Very Hot,Very cold.scared of thunder and lightning.
  • Location: colchester,essex,40m asl.

I just said that about the north sea.

it seems to be coming in further and further

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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
2 minutes ago, Captain Shortwave said:

Just looked at the webcam down Marine parade in Great Yarmouth and snow is definitely falling there. 

This is a scenario which seems to get missed where any disrupting trough can sometimes engage shower activity in the north sea and pull it inland, this happened in January 2013 with the blob event where a cluster of showers in the north sea that developed and sat in the same spot for most of the day before moving north west in response to engaging the upper trough which brought the snow event over Wales the following day.

Remember that one very well, Cap: snowing there, snowing where; snowing sodding everywhere. Except here!:D

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Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough
1 minute ago, Ed Stone said:

Remember that one very well, Cap: snowing there, snowing where; snowing sodding everywhere. Except here!:D

I good thing we got that secondary system moving up from France a couple of days later, that was the last good snow event I saw with blizzards for several hours on the coast dumping 4 inches with more further inland. Oh I miss those days :p

Edited by Captain Shortwave
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Posted
  • Location: North Norfolk, Antingham
  • Weather Preferences: Most except high humidity and thawing snow.
  • Location: North Norfolk, Antingham

On the front line just south of Cromer, can report every sort of wintery precipitation, except snow. Expect to wake tomorrow to ice pellets still on the roadside, but for snow we just need someone to tweak those uppers a couple of degrees lower.

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Posted
  • Location: nr Chelmsford, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: nr Chelmsford, Essex

20:00 update from Exeter suggests the extent of the precip from the weakening warm front will be Clacton. So, would expect anywhere South and West of there to see at least a few flakes.

Remember, just because you are outside the Met Office warning, doesn't mean you won't see snow. The yellow warning area was highlighted by the chief forecasters for disruption.

In regards to Monday, they don't expect any rain/sleet/snow to progress much further Eastwards then the Isle of Wight initially.

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Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .

Currently the safe zone re dew points is roughly in a line Hants/West Sussex border north.

In a few hours the new 18hrs Hi-Res models come out so hopefully that makes things a little clearer but these types of set ups do still have problems with how much might fall, it could be more or less.

 

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Posted
  • Location: St Albans, 95m asl
  • Location: St Albans, 95m asl
Just now, essexweather said:

20:00 update from Exeter suggests the extent of the precip from the weakening warm front will be Clacton. So, would expect anywhere South and West of there to see at least a few flakes.

Remember, just because you are outside the Met Office warning, doesn't mean you won't see snow. The yellow warning area was highlighted by the chief forecasters for disruption.

In regards to Monday, they don't expect any rain/sleet/snow to progress much further Eastwards then the Isle of Wight initially.

Good to have you in this evening Tom and always great to hear insight from 'the inside' as it were.

SK

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Posted
  • Location: greenhithe, kent (nr bluewater) 51.45216 n 0.25966 e
  • Weather Preferences: snow in winter hot in summer
  • Location: greenhithe, kent (nr bluewater) 51.45216 n 0.25966 e

cold here down to -1.7at the moment

sky clear

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Posted
  • Location: St Albans, 95m asl
  • Location: St Albans, 95m asl
2 minutes ago, nick sussex said:

Currently the safe zone re dew points is roughly in a line Hants/West Sussex border north.

In a few hours the new 18hrs Hi-Res models come out so hopefully that makes things a little clearer but these types of set ups do still have problems with how much might fall, it could be more or less.

 

Indeed, more impressive than was modelled actually:

pointrosee.png

16011621_2_1612.gif

The aforementioned AROME actually looks closest to the mark:

arome-18-8-0.png?16-16

SK

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Posted
  • Location: Dover. Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, sun, thunder, storms, frosts, summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Dover. Kent
1 minute ago, alexisj9 said:

Temp 0.9 here, dp - 0.6

Hi.  Are you expecting anything here?  I think we are too far east.  As luck would have it though I'm walking in the west Chilterns near Hemel Hempstead with a  mate tomorrow so I'm hoping for something there!

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Posted
  • Location: nr Chelmsford, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: nr Chelmsford, Essex

This should give a good representation of where we are around 02:00 Sunday, from latest UKV run. Expected error margin of Eastern extent is considered 15-20 miles.

2l8vzmd.gif

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Posted
  • Location: Worthing, South Coast UK - 6m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: snow, wind, storms
  • Location: Worthing, South Coast UK - 6m ASL

Temp and dew point now rising :sorry: 1.7 and -0.3 respectively.  I guess it will be rain this time :nea: 

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