South East and East Anglia weather discussion/Chat - A new year

[snowfish1]

4 hours ago, Earnest Easterly* said:

Bank la ARPEGE!!!!! C'est fantastique 

adds some meat to the bones considering it is a high res model 

A lot of us would be happy aside from EA however I do not see it ending up like below

Enough from me, night folks

I wouldn't ! South East missing out yet again 

[Captain Shortwave]

             

This mornings Euro 4 output, still a lot of uncertainty about this front.

A clear and frosty start up here.

Edited January 16, 2016 by Captain Shortwave

[NO LONGER POSTING]

11 hours ago, PLANET THANET said:

 

Sorry thanet no idea why your tagged.

So.. Anyone seen the Mets warnings?

Western areas 1-3cm tonight tehehehe 

[Laurence Hill]

10 minutes ago, Surrey said:

Sorry thanet no idea why your tagged.

So.. Anyone seen the Mets warnings?

Western areas 1-3cm tonight tehehehe 

Anything for us in the pipeline?

[Ben Lewis]

So I'm in the warning area from the MET for snow tonight. METO website has my town on snow symbols nearly all night. 

Ill believe it when I see it 

[Mal_UK]

6 minutes ago, Sharpedge said:

Anything for us in the pipeline?

Western parts of the region could see a little sprinkle overnight I'd say. Very marginal though. Here's hoping we get a little bit in Surrey! 

[NO LONGER POSTING]

8 minutes ago, Mal Kapadia said:

Western parts of the region could see a little sprinkle overnight I'd say. Very marginal though. Here's hoping we get a little bit in Surrey! 

Every high res I've viewed and the GFS shows snow. The only one coming up with a mix is the EURO4, we need the ppn to arrive as a late as poss so we have colder temps. But I think we should be okay 

[Daniel*]

"Outbreaks of sleet and snow will spread from the northwest on Saturday, initially into western Scotland, and then into parts of northwest England later in the day before reaching the Midlands and southern England during the evening and night. 1-3 cm snowfall is likely at low levels with 5-10 cm possible above 200 metres across western Scotland and Cumbria. Ice may prove an additional hazard in places. Please be aware of the potential for some travel disruption and difficult driving conditions.

A frontal zone moving eastwards into Britain on Saturday will run into and stall against the cold airmass which became established over the UK earlier in the week. This allows rain at the leading edge of this frontal zone to turn to snow and persist for several hours before the frontal zone weakens during Sunday, allowing less cold conditions to start developing and some of the snow to start melting. This snow is expected to fall along a relatively narrow corridor, perhaps only 100 miles wide, which means that some areas within the warning area may escape much of the snow. Meanwhile, where snow is limited or rain occurs instead, icy stretches may develop on untreated roads as rain and snow starts."

[tinybill]

all we got  to   do is  watch   the radar to see how    far east it could   go plus those showers  running down  the  north sea ,  all I say is    that Monday is looking d good for  the white stuff  if the   gfs is  right

Edited January 16, 2016 by tinybill

[Jimmyh]

Grr we need an eastrtly no sign us south easters will get anything. Plus when it snows we won't see anything as the council turn the lights out at midnight 

[snowray]

West of London then is it?

 

So for me its too far East, too far East, too far West, too far West, miss, miss, miss, miss.....

 

Waist of time, I gotta find myself a new Winter hobby! 

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Taking the accumulated charts from now till Sunday to compare.. In general terms 1mm of PPN is 1cm of snow. (various factors do vary this general rule of thumb though)

NNM High res..

Probs the best of them all really...

 

ARPEGE Keen on the idea but not as much PPN more in line with the met..

 

GFS same as ARPEGE perhaps a touch more

 

EURO4

More for North East London

 

 

If it snows and guesses this is how I see it based on the above as an average..

 

[shotski]

3 minutes ago, Surrey said:

Taking the accumulated charts from now till Sunday to compare.. In general terms 1mm of PPN is 1cm of snow. (various factors do vary this general rule of thumb though)

NNM High res..

Probs the best of them all really...

 

ARPEGE Keen on the idea but not as much PPN more in line with the met..

 

GFS same as ARPEGE perhaps a touch more

 

EURO4

More for North East London

 

 

If it snows and guesses this is how I see it based on the above as an average..

 

Thanks Surrey

ill be keeping an eye on it later this evening. 

[weathergeek]

Yaaayyyyy!!! Thanks for that Surrey!! I'll be happy to see anything so this is fab!! When is this likely to start falling?!xx

[timboy666]

Weather geek Boxhill tomorrow ?? Lol 

[Dami]

what a surprise it misses Bedford. you couldn't make it up.

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17 minutes ago, timboy666 said:

Weather geek Boxhill tomorrow ?? Lol 

Boxhill is were I am heading tomorrow with mum and the little ones if it snows.. 

 

I would reckon from around 9-10pm tonight we should see it coming in.. FINGERS CROSSED!

[weathergeek]

18 minutes ago, timboy666 said:

Weather geek Boxhill tomorrow ?? Lol 

Quite possibly!!!! Although knowing my luck it won't have snowed over Dorking/Boxhill, just 1cm where I am, lol!x

[weathergeek]

Feeling so excited but trying not to be!!! Boxhill meet it is then!!xx

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Will update later but I am up for a boxhill meet yes!!! 

[Blessed Weather]

It really is looking good for a cover of snow for the area that Surrey has marked-up above. Everything slotting into place nicely - the ppn moves in late in the night, so ground temps have had a chance to fall away and the dewpoint is between 0C and -1C. Are you lot really going to meet on Boxhill in the middle of the night? I'll bring a few pairs of skis down and we can try skiing by torchlight!!

Temp 05.00   Dewpoint 05.00

 

[Kent Blizzard]

I think them Met Office warnings will change again by lunchtime, seem to be moving more East the snow zone compared to Yesterday.

So if not in the Warning zone at the moment...have faith

 

[crazysnowcatz4]

The North sea showers do seem to be taking a more southerly path atm rather than bending out into the channel however this would only give very light snow/ sleet /rain and very localised..

 

 

[NO LONGER POSTING]

4 minutes ago, Blessed Weather said:

It really is looking good for a cover of snow for the area that Surrey has marked-up above. Everything slotting into place nicely - the ppn moves in late in the night, so ground temps have had a chance to fall away and the dewpoint is between 0C and -1C. Are you lot really going to meet on Boxhill in the middle of the night? I'll bring a few pairs of skis down and we can try skiing by torchlight!!

Temp 05.00   Dewpoint 05.00

 

Haha! I've got 2 really good speed sledges here too! We could swap for a bit!! If anyone goes up it will be in the morning

[Essex winter]

Am I to far east for any snow 2nite guys?