South East and East Anglia weather discussion/Chat - A new year

[Ben Lewis]

Those showers already feeling sorry for themselves as they move across the SW midlands.

[Karmamel]

Just drove past the gritters here in Whitstable . It's been a bright sunny but cold day . Fingers crossed for a dumping of the white stuff ( I'd also be happy with a fine scattering ) 

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Just now, Ben Lewis said:

Those showers already feeling sorry for themselves as they move across the SW midlands.

 

TBH even if I see light blue within say 30 mile radius of my house im still going to investigate it's been that long 

[alexisj9]

They've just gritted here.

[Lampostwatcher]

 Please please happen 10-20 cm of snow

[snowray]

What we really need is a big fat lake just South of Brum, bit of the good old lake snow effect would go down a treat for us lot down here!

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From the met..

This Evening and Tonight:

Cold with the odd sleet or snow shower possible this evening and overnight but mainly dry with prolonged clear spells. A widespread frost forming, locally sharp in some rural areas, along with a risk of icy patches on untreated surfaces. Minimum Temperature -3°C.

Saturday:

A bright and frosty start. Sunny for most through the day, despite light winds it will still feel cold. The odd wintry shower is possible at times over Kent. Maximum Temperature 6°C.

Updated: 1600 on Fri 15 Jan 2016

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Sunday morning? 

ARPGE

 

GFS

 

 

EURO 4 feeble attempt 

 

Other models not interested in it coming this far south 

 

 

 

[Daniel*]

3 minutes ago, Lampostwatcher said:

 Please please happen 10-20 cm of snow

All hail the ARPEGE. Yes please, London is ready to grind to a halt. 

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3 minutes ago, Earnest Easterly* said:

All hail the ARPEGE. Yes please, London is ready to grind to a halt. 

Can you imagine...

[Southender]

If the ARPEGE comes off and delivers 10-15cm of snow over our Region Mon into Tues, I will dive naked into the Thames off Southend Pier 

[Floatylight]

With a temp of 1c

and dew point of -3.3 c

I will be in for snow If we do get some of that blob ❄

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Showers being zapped.. Come on Monday! 

[snowray]

latest Euro4, showers fizzling out... Grrr

[snowray]

This is ok for early hours Sunday though!

[Kent Blizzard]

Hands up if you wouldn't be greedy and just bank this right now  ...nice little back edge that is!

Edited January 15, 2016 by Kent Blizzard

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

3 hours ago, fulham snow said:

Next week rain and warmish or Heavy Snow don't think anyone know's.

No idea, and neither have the experts.

[Captain Shortwave]

I fine and sunny day today. Cold with ice still present in places this afternoon.

Edited January 15, 2016 by Captain Shortwave

[PLANET THANET]

just seen the southeast weather and it was BAD !! they gave rain for monday and tuesday

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2 minutes ago, PLANET THANET said:

just seen the southeast weather and it was BAD !! they gave rain for monday and tuesday

Ignore it.. For now.. Plenty of suprises for all coming up this weekend (I hope according to high res models)

Keep the faith, expect the unexpected 

[Ben Lewis]

Just watched BBC London weather with John Hammond - apart from the slightest risk of a sleet shower over the west of our patch tonight and wintry showers to the very very east towards Suffolk tomorrow and Sunday  it's going to be dry and cold. 

Monday he zoomed out to the national map and showed the front stalling out west in Wales and West Midlands. 

Tuesday was light rain possible and turning milder!! 

So onto the next cold spell it is.. If there is going to be one. 

 

[Ben Lewis]

9 minutes ago, PLANET THANET said:

just seen the southeast weather and it was BAD !! they gave rain for monday and tuesday

Rain only for Tuesday. Monday was dry 

[PLANET THANET]

1 minute ago, Surrey said:

Ignore it.. For now.. Plenty of suprises for all coming up this weekend (I hope according to high res models)

Keep the faith, expect the unexpected 

over on the mod thread they seem to be getting excited over a certain model (arpege ?) as it is showing snow for the southeast monday and tuesday,  that is why I was surprised at the forecast on southeast and wondered if it was correct because I thought they had access to better models then us 

[shotski]

1 minute ago, Ben Lewis said:

Rain only for Tuesday. Monday was dry 

Meto wouldn't forecast snow that far in advance, especially a marginal event like early next week. Best to check the forecast on Sunday as things can and will change. 

[shotski]

7 minutes ago, PLANET THANET said:

over on the mod thread they seem to be getting excited over a certain model (arpege ?) as it is showing snow for the southeast monday and tuesday,  that is why I was surprised at the forecast on southeast and wondered if it was correct because I thought they had access to better models then us 

Arpege is the French meteo model, fairly high resolution similar to ECMWF. To forecast snow 4 days away is light years away and very tricky to forecast.