Spring moans, ramps, chat and banter

[Captain Shortwave]

12 minutes ago, markyo said:

Nether where anything like what you would call cold in my neck of the woods

Looking at the stats from the metoffice the region you live in record a mean temperature of 1C in January 2010 which is cold (Average is 3.8C).  That said Jan 2013 was only 3.1C which was mostly due to the very mild start to the month.

[cheeky_monkey]

11 minutes ago, Captain Shortwave said:

Looking at the stats from the metoffice the region you live in record a mean temperature of 1C in January 2010 which is cold (Average is 3.8C).  That said Jan 2013 was only 3.1C which was mostly due to the very mild start to the month.

I thought the rolling average for Jan is 4.6c not 3.8c?

[Captain Shortwave]

1 minute ago, cheeky_monkey said:

I thought the rolling average for Jan is 4.6c not 3.8c?

The 61-90 average is 3.8C, the 1981-2010 average is 4.4C, well going by the stats posted by RJS in the January CET thread.

I guess the 81-10 average is probably the better standard these days though.

[markyo]

17 minutes ago, Captain Shortwave said:

Looking at the stats from the metoffice the region you live in record a mean temperature of 1C in January 2010 which is cold (Average is 3.8C).  That said Jan 2013 was only 3.1C which was mostly due to the very mild start to the month.

Was probably that cold previous month that made January  seem like a mild month!!

[cyclonic happiness]

5 hours ago, mushymanrob said:

bib... disagree with that.

id sooner have 1 page of reasoned, informed, unbiased and more accurate posts then pages of ramping nonsense.

but then again, im here for weather, not cold only.

Yes, but you have a separate thread for the 'high brow' educated model discussion. Us mere mortals can't keep up with all the technical stuff, and shouldn't be excluded or be made to feel stupid for getting excited about our passion for weather (which we all have, not just for cold).

I'm here for weather too, but mainly cold at this time of the year like 90% of the rest of us 

[cyclonic happiness]

4 hours ago, Dancerwithwings said:

I'm one for ramping!!!  and why not after the weather patten we've had to endure so far this winter....So just for you cyclonic happiness

 

If we get this much snow, I will build a bigger castle, just for this forum alone to ogle :-D

[Weather-history]

4th January: crikey a little bit of blue sky poked through.

 

[Dancerwithwings]

51 minutes ago, cyclonic happiness said:

If we get this much snow, I will build a bigger castle, just for this forum alone to ogle :-D

And me  but fearful you might be accused of being "unreasonable, uninforming, inaccurate, and ramping utter-nonsense

EDIT' Agreed most on here have a passion for cold weather, OK most of the time we get the knock back regarding the models and our hunt for the cold and so be it.

The only thing that is 'utter-nonsense' is when peeps stop the fact that this is a fourm and so be it.

Edited January 4, 2016 by Dancerwithwings

[Gord]

Good to see some interest in the model watching.

We're lucky that we've got 2 winters in the very recent memory that can remind us that it can go either way. Both on the backs of wet and stormy Decembers.

2012/13 is a good reminder that with patience, things can swing in our favour...and 2013/14 is a reminder that sometimes it doesn't.

For me personally, it helps me to keep level headed when we've had a December like the one we've had. I approached January 2014 thinking that it would be alright and it would just repeat 2013. But the wait went on and on and on until the hope faded with Spring. Was good for my own learning though.

So who knows which way it will go this year? Can't wait to find out! Still early in the season! We've still got 3 (maybe 4 at a push) months of cold and snow potential left. That's a quarter of the year!

 

(..and I don't go in for the idea that cold spells are rubbish in March/April. 2008 and 2013 are 2 years that spring to mind straight away. And I've seen very decent snow events in March/April in Columbus Ohio, the same latitude as Barcelona!)

Edited January 4, 2016 by Gord

[carinthian]

A frustrating time waiting for cold to arrive for snow lovers in Southern England. Approaching deep mid winter now and very little sign of snow for you, according to the UKMO. I just find it hard to believe some places in the south have hardly registered a snowflake or even at worse an air frost for near on 36 months . That's just crazy. Wretchedly unhappy weather set up.

 C

 

[steveinsussex]

so a boring brief northerly blast that will hardly be felt down here ......

[Froze were the Days]

1 ground frost here in 42 days...says it all. At least it's looking like we might get an air frost in the next 8-10 days going by the models...that says it all about this winter. 'where's the In search of the big air frost thread when you need it'?

[steveinsussex]

8 minutes ago, carinthian said:

A frustrating time waiting for cold to arrive for snow lovers in Southern England. Approaching deep mid winter now and very little sign of snow for you, according to the UKMO. I just find it hard to believe some places in the south have hardly registered a snowflake or even at worse an air frost for near on 36 months . That's just crazy. Wretchedly unhappy weather set up.

 C

 

pretty much!

[carinthian]

3 minutes ago, steveinsussex said:

pretty much!

Its just not fair for Sussex, my daughter who lives in Sweden, left Gatwick this afternoon in pouring rain and temp of 10C and just 3 hours later arrived home near Uppsala to snow and -10C.

 C

[Weather-history]

5 hours ago, Captain Shortwave said:

Or Jan 2013 for that matter...

Or January 1997 and the back end of January 1996, the last occasion, we had a real strong easterly in January.

The start of January 2009.....

[cyclonic happiness]

Well, at least when it comes, it'll be amazing and we'll appreciate it more. I can't imagine how boring it must be to have 5 months of snow like Canada every year. everything in black and white, and unchanging. I imagine even 20 foot snowdrifts lose their appeal before long. And anything below minus 20 is just 'more cold'.

[DAVID SNOW]

If you like cricket then it may be of some interest, that a certain woodshed has been obliterated by two Yorkers, and a devil of a bouncer.

Live match over on the MOD thread.

Edited January 4, 2016 by DAVID SNOW

[DAVID SNOW]

Interesting match, although the follow on has been implemented!

Draztic times indeed!

[Mark Neal.]

I Hope we get bowled over with amazing output tomorrow. 

[The PIT]

Poor 00 oz run from GFS pretty much same theme suppressed temps by day mild by night so feeling cool in the day and plenty of rain about. Scotland the place to be for the white stuff though.

[coldcomfort]

Very encouraged by the model outputs across the last 48hrs or so, but quite frankly I don't give a monkeys chuff if it snows or not next week, all I want to see is drier, colder conditions finally becoming established across all parts of the country - the hunt for wintry weather can start in earnest once we have drier up/out. I think unless you have been underneath these recent deluges or have suffered in the past, it's really hard to comprehend just how miserable and soul destroying things can feel. So it's all about priorities for me and the good news is there is still c.9 weeks of winter left, we aren't even half way through yet.

[pegg24]

I normally come on here and read all the posts and only make a few comments but nice to see there are changes happening. Nobody knows what will happen even the experts few weeks ago a lot of people were saying its being pushed back the cold now and wont happen till Feb.

Now this cold spell will only last 3 or 4 days nobody really knows do they. 

[Nick L]

Yes looking far more seasonal next week! EC has widespread frosts by night and temperatures struggling a few degrees above freezing at best by day. But best of all it offers sunshine and dry weather, beats mild dross any day of the week.

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

MOD thread hilarious - once again ludicrous ramping yesterday evening has proven inaccurate.

[cobbett]

So a brief northerly which will do diddly squat down here and then a coolish dry period. Does nothing for me but great news for those affected by flooding