C.E.T. forecasts for December 2015 (start of 2015-16 competition year)

[Daniel*]

3.5C please i feel this not going to be the typical El Niño winter,

A rather remarkable mid to late December coming up I feel into new year.

Good chance of a White Christmas this year I sense.

[Bobd29]

4.8 for me please

[BLAST FROM THE PAST]

4.4c for now......

 

BFTP

[summerplume18]

4.8 for me please!

[shuggee]

4.2°C

[Polar Gael]

3.9C for me please.

[Harve]

5.4c

[Stargazer]

My guess is for a typical December mix - let's say 5.3.

[J10]

Thanks to Roger for setting up this thread.

 

I have put up a thread, going through the rules of the comp, if you want to have your say follow the link

 

https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/84491-cet-competition-2015-2016-rules-thread/#entry3289801

[AWD]

5.7 please

[igloo]

another mild dec and winter as a whole 6.3c cold winters happen in cycles this is not one

Edited November 22, 2015 by igloo

[BlueHedgehog074]

Admit I'm not feeling totally convinced that it will be a month dominated by long chilly spells (though it could throw up a few surprises still); therefore, will take an estimate of 4.9*C please.

[SteveB]

I think I'll go for 6.3c please.

[Robbie Garrett]

Going all out...

 

-0.7 C

Edited November 22, 2015 by Robbie Garrett

[Paul]

Now that's hardcore, I like your style

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

Going for 5.1c please with a colder second half negating the mild start.

[Stationary Front]

Will be 5.9 for the first time in December!

[BornFromTheVoid]

Below is the December CET from 1659-2014 in blue, the 30 year average in red and the linear trend in black.

 

 

The CET this month is likely to finish somewhere between 8.6C and 9.5C after corrections. The average December following Novembers within that range is 4.1C.

 

The linear trend for the whole record is +0.36C per century. Following this trend gives a December CET of 4.7C.

The linear trend since 1850 is +0.55C per century. Following this trend gives a December CET of 4.9C.

The linear trend since 1950 is +0.50C per century. Following this trend gives a December CET of 4.8C.

The linear trend over the last 50 years is -0.63C per century. Following this trend gives a December CET of 4.6C.

The linear trend over the last 30 years is -4.41C per century. Following this trend gives a December CET of 4.2C.

 

The run of cool/cold Decembers in the last decade has given it the unusual status of having an overall cooling trend over the last few decades, the opposite of every other month.

[stewfox]

5.3c please

[Surprised Weather]

Five and a half degrees Celsius please.

[LomondSnowstorm]

4.3C

[VillagePlank]

5.4 for me, please.

 

https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/72635-the-seasonal-forecast-thread/?p=3291219

[CongletonHeat]

6.0

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Going all out...

 

-0.7 C

 

almost as bad as my predictions! always mild with westerlies

[sundog]

A little below average 4.3c for me please.