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After a lull of 3 weeks, the Western Pacific has h

generated a new tropical depression way out in the southeast of the basin, southeast of Pohnpei. Winds are 35kts according to JTWC. A general northwest track towards Guam is forecast as ridging to the north remains in control of 27W. Shear is relatively low and waters warm along track, so at least steady intensification is expected over the next 5 days.

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27W has strengthened quite quickly, and is bow a 65kt typhoon according to JTWC. The system has been named In-fa by JMA. The typhoon has a small central dense overcast from which an eye has emerged. Further intensification is expected over the next few days as shear remains low and waters warm.

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After a day of arrested development, In-fa is now intensifying quicker as it gets ready to pass to the south of Guam. Winds are up to 90kts, a cat 2 on the SS scale. The typhoon has developed a small, well defined eye. Further intensification appears likely.

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In-fa has continued to strengthen, with winds now at 115kts, a category 4 on the SS scale. Some further intensification is expected, and a peak of 125kts is forecast. Quite lucky that this typhoon didn't take the more northern route through Guam as originally expected.

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In-fa peaked at 115kts. The typhoon is now recurving and weakening under increased shear. As In-fa continues northeast southeast of Japan, it should begin to lose tropical characteristics as it moves over decreasing sea temperatures.

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