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Lettucing Gutted

October 2015 CET

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I haven't started one of these for a very long time so here goes.  Make your CET guesses without penalties before the 1st October.  After that guesses can only be made with penalties until the end of the 3rd October.

 

My guess is 14C.  :(  Last sub 6C October in 1740.  Last sub 7C October in 1896.  Last sub 8C October in 1992.  Last sub 9C October in 1993.

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I haven't started one of these for a very long time so here goes.  Make your CET guesses without penalties before the 1st October.  After that guesses can only be made with penalties until the end of the 3rd October.

 

My guess is 14C. :(

 

Last sub 6C October 1740.  Last sub 7C October 1896.  Last sub 8C October 1992.  Last sub 9C October 1993.

 

9.9C, for now.

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9.1 a warm start but a increasingly cold end to the month.

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October CET averages and extremes

 

20.2 ... warmest day, 1st 1985

20.1 ... second warmest day, 1st 2011

 

13.3 ... warmest month 2001

13.1 ... second warmest month 2005

13.0 ... third warmest months, 1969 and 2006

 

12.7 ... 8th warmest, warmest of 19th century 1831

12.5 ... 2013 and 2014 CET

12.3 ... tied 13th and warnest of 18th century 1731

 

11.1 ... mean 2001-2014

10.7 ... mean 1981-2010

10.6 ... mean 1961-1990

10.3 ... mean 1971-2000

10.2 ... mean 1901-2000

 

9.7 .... mean for all years 1659-2014, also 2012 CET

9.5 .... mean 1801-1900

9.4 .... mean 1701-1800

9.3 .... mean 1659-1700

 

7.8 .... tied 26th coldest, coldest recent past, 1974 and 1992

7.5 .... tied 8th coldest, coldest 20th century 1905

6.5 .... tied 3rd coldest, 1683 and 1692

6.4 .... second coldest 1817

5.3 .... coldest 1740

 

0.3 .... coldest day (since 1772, guessing some subzero days in 1740) 29th, 1895

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10.2 please.

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11.0ºc

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9.8 for me please

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Guest

10.9C

 

Mild for the start of the month, getting colder to the end.

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An early call for a chilly 8.4C using 1974 as a parallel year.

I think we are in for a warm December and January, and that October, in terms of anomalies, will be the chilliest month we see for some time

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I'll hold off for the moment however I do consider this settled spell to be the calm before the storm. I'm firmly of the opinion that mid-Oct to mid-Dec will be wetter and stormier than average.

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Same thought here the run has to stop soon so 11C

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