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Another Cape Verde system has formed. Track is generally west to north west and the NHC think it could be dying as it approaches the Caribbean as shear increases from day 4.

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Nice, tight and very deep convection.

45mph, 1004mb and strengthening.

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We did get to 50mph but went back again. Looks like it won't survive the shear shield around the Antilees though.

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Weakened to a tropical depression. Convection over the center will keep it alive for an advisory or two but it will be dead long before it gets past the wall of shear.

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