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Storm & Convective Discussion - 20th August 2015 onwards

Supacell

By Supacell
in Storms & Severe Weather

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Rain123 Apprentice

Rain123

Posted
  • Location: Ash Vale, Surrey/Hampshire border
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny Spells or thunderstorms.
  • Location: Ash Vale, Surrey/Hampshire border
Posted

In my opinion nobody except those in the Extreme SE have much chance tonight.

Cheers Cableguy. Its raining now, only lightly.

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Buckster Enthusiast

Buckster

Posted
  • Location: Chelmsford, Essex
  • Location: Chelmsford, Essex
Posted (edited)

Been humid last two weeks in Barc and three occasions of Cape in the thousands and LI below -5

 

One TS grazed us that was it ! :(

 

Just goes to show that you still need a trigger

 

Did see the monster (supercell maybe) way way off in distance (over 100 miles away) on Blitz looked crazy

 

Ws last week and over mid South France somewhere 

Edited by Buckster
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East_England_Stormchaser91 Veteran

East_England_Stormchaser91

Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
Posted

Hmmm. That storm near St Malo area looks like it could hit London in a few hours or so.

In my personal forecast, anywhere from say East Devon or Dorset across to East Anglia has a chance tonight, with the risk being increased the further SE you go. Kent would be my optimum location.

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted (edited)

I know.. But it's an ingredient isn't it?

Also..

attachicon.gifScreenshot_2015-08-30-19-21-49.png

Looks good, destabilising a lot further West than forecast..

Not as forecast by estofex. They have anticipated initiating as far west as Brittany.

Hmmm. That storm near St Malo area looks like it could hit London in a few hours or so.

In my personal forecast, anywhere from say East Devon or Dorset across to East Anglia has a chance tonight, with the risk being increased the further SE you go. Kent would be my optimum location.

Kent eh? Will let you know :D

Can see towers way off to my East.

Edited by Harry
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YokTok Newbie

YokTok

Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
Posted

Not as forecast by estofex. They have anticipated initiating as far west as Brittany.

Kent eh? Will let you know :D

Can see towers way off to my East.

I'm in dymchurch as well Harry :) fingers crossed ;)

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<<Ryan>> Aficionado

<<Ryan>>

Posted
  • Location: Hawkhurst (TN18) Kent
  • Weather Preferences: All weather extremes
  • Location: Hawkhurst (TN18) Kent
Posted

Wow - There's some intense lightning rates coming out of those storms! 200+ a minute.. :O

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted (edited)

I'm in dymchurch as well Harry :) fingers crossed ;)

Fine place I say! Between us two and TN26 hopefully we'll have a lot to report. Can see some cauliflowers off to the east though didn't notice any flashes yet.

Northern France going nuts - like last night, question mark is where the storms will track. Need a more NE shunt than the ENE track last night!

Edited by Harry
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daveywoo1977 Newbie

daveywoo1977

Posted
Posted (edited)

Fine place I say!

Northern France going nuts - like last night, question mark is where the storms will track. Need a more NE shunt than the ENE track last night!

Looks to be on the same track the cells last night. the ones over north East France. We need to look more west for ours. It's 50/50 at the moment

Edited by daveywoo1977
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Cableguy Enthusiast

Cableguy

Posted
  • Location: West Byfleet, Surrey
  • Location: West Byfleet, Surrey
Posted

Everything far too East, even for those in the SE corner by the looks of it although im sure theyll still get a distant light show from the impressive storms over France currently

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted (edited)

Seen my first few flashes off to the south and South East :D

Fingers crossed tonight's action comes a lot closer

Edit - just saw a nice IC fork.

Edited by Harry
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snowrye Seasoned

snowrye

Posted
  • Location: Mill Corner East Sussex, 55m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow,thunder,tornados
  • Location: Mill Corner East Sussex, 55m asl
Posted

Fingers crossed,but im not hopeful,they always seem to hug the french coast,or they are wasted in the north sea

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UKSupercell Enthusiast

UKSupercell

Posted
  • Location: East Hants
  • Weather Preferences: Supercells n snow
  • Location: East Hants
Posted

Storms in almost exactly the same places as last night, for the Benelux and North-East France. 

 

With the direction they're heading, I'm sceptical to believe that even East Kent will see anything tonight. 

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tomp456 Seasoned

tomp456

Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything unusual
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
Posted

Probably a bit too west for me but fosters at the ready to either celebrate or drown sorrows. Looking gloomy out there.

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East_England_Stormchaser91 Veteran

East_England_Stormchaser91

Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
Posted

Right. Game over me thinks. Cannot see anything remotely promising now. Everything erupting the other side of the water. Brittany storm is all but gone.

Enjoy your 2nd night disco Belgians and frenchies you lucky sods.

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Costa Del Fal Experienced

Costa Del Fal

Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
Posted

Right. Game over me thinks. Cannot see anything remotely promising now. Everything erupting the other side of the water. Brittany storm is all but gone.

Enjoy your 2nd night disco Belgians and frenchies you lucky sods.

There was never a real chance north of London.
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Rain123 Apprentice

Rain123

Posted
  • Location: Ash Vale, Surrey/Hampshire border
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny Spells or thunderstorms.
  • Location: Ash Vale, Surrey/Hampshire border
Posted

https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/belgique/flandres/bruges/markt.html You can see some on that, live Brugge webcam.

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Nick F Maestro

Nick F

Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
Posted

Right. Game over me thinks. Cannot see anything remotely promising now. Everything erupting the other side of the water. Brittany storm is all but gone.

Enjoy your 2nd night disco Belgians and frenchies you lucky sods.

Still strikes from the cells pushing out off NW France, currently sferics around Channel Islands ... though nowhere near as active as those approaching the Dover Straits.

But unless you are in east Kent, potential ATM lies with storms currently around the CIs and Cherbourg Peninsula holding together or even expanding as a trough that's generating them heads towards S/SE England.

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<<Ryan>> Aficionado

<<Ryan>>

Posted
  • Location: Hawkhurst (TN18) Kent
  • Weather Preferences: All weather extremes
  • Location: Hawkhurst (TN18) Kent
Posted (edited)

Can see near constant flashes towards my southeast. It's so close, may have to buy a boat so I can head out to sea! 
 

 

Seen my first few flashes off to the south and South East  :D

Fingers crossed tonight's action comes a lot closer

Edit - just saw a nice IC fork.

 

I bet you're getting a nice showing right now? :D

Edited by <<Ryan>>
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Button Up Rookie

Button Up

Posted
  • Location: Thorrington (North East Essex)
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme
  • Location: Thorrington (North East Essex)
Posted

My lightning detector is going like crazy at over 120 strikes/ min and warning of a severe storm which to date I have never heard it do !!

Having said that it looks as though its going to miss us !

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