Jump to content
A.J

European Storm & Convective Discussion

Recommended Posts

4 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

i would love to keep going but the alcohol has taken over lol

going to call it,night  EES:)

but will keep watching for a few more minutes:),cannot resist lol

Lol i know the feeling. Love it even more being out there, getting back after many an estrella, sitting on the balcony and seeing a belter. Happened when I was in alcudia, and just sat there with a beer at hand until 5:30am watching a cracker over towards menorca. Certainly made it worth every penny going! 

Gonna call it a night soon too I think pal. Cam watching is becoming the new normal haha. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Clouds developing nicely in Hvar,storms to the north of there,remember this cam gave us a great show the other night,i think it was sunday,

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

A light show on the cam above with some beautiful lightning with a nice sunset:D

59593ea10944a_Hvar10.thumb.png.268294e5809af20eb19dc87fb7732f56.png59593f1296c3c_hvar11.thumb.png.2496fb079ce39c184047283f1816e4af.png

 

Edited by Allseasons-si

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

2.png

If we're lucky we may get our own storms to view towards the end of next week :)

Edited by <<Ryan>>

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, Sparkiee storm said:

Another Sunday, another storm in Hvar :D 

Yep,It's a shame it's pulling away but still good to watch.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Allseasons-si said:

Yep,It's a shame it's pulling away but still good to watch.

I agree, stunning lightning again :)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The frequency of the lightning is picking up due to the nocturnal cooling taking affect over the warm waters,the water temp is 24c there.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If there was a webcam near Varna in Bulgaria it may be good in the next hour. I cannot find any though.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
16 minutes ago, Supacell said:

If there was a webcam near Varna in Bulgaria it may be good in the next hour. I cannot find any though.

There is one across the pond at Termoli,seems the storm is heading that way in the next hour or so

https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/italia/molise/campobasso/spiaggia-di-termoli.html

it's ok this Hvar cam but the pixels keep on whighting out every time a stike appears(when zoomed in).

still a good watch though ey:)

Edited by Allseasons-si

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

There is another one kicking off just to the right of the cam and is closer,could be good viewing in a bit.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Here is some lightning grabs from the storm earlier:D

59595bd0699ea_hvar15.thumb.png.0f7aa90e19d6de06fea5031125ee9b74.png59595adca4fff_hvar16.thumb.png.623771e1fe67c04a653571ebafcbd01a.png59595afa1cc13_hvar17.thumb.png.139ac9e84262234c59f2008147d80f1c.png59595b124a863_hvar18.thumb.png.5542f1478da19f2399c423c682a5d159.png59595b260a3a9_hvar19.thumb.png.e9c141d565f3d86e3c3d81ba30a7a44e.png59595b40a86e1_hvar20.thumb.png.a7e0f95d1ea1cd5471196c13cf86d0e7.png59595b5df2022_hvar21.thumb.png.d866cc30fa35a78944c64d850544f749.png

Edited by Allseasons-si

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Managed to find a webcam at vieste,Italy with flashes on it,i don't know how good the cam will be when then storm hits but i have been searching all over,so here goes:)

http://www.viestemeteolive.com/whatsup

ok,it looks like the cam is viewing NW ish so will have to be patiant,watch for lightning top right of the cam.

Edited by Allseasons-si

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

showforecast_cgi.thumb.png.70f4f0781da2dd67ebf5212501c9d730.png

Storm Forecast
Valid: Mon 03 Jul 2017 06:00 to Tue 04 Jul 2017 06:00 UTC
Issued: Mon 03 Jul 2017 03:54
Forecaster: VAN DER VELDE

A level 3 was issued for eastern Bulgaria mainly for very large hail and severe convective wind gusts.

A level 2 was issued for Bulgaria and southern Romania mainly for excessive convective rainfall, and for large hail and severe wind gusts in Bulgaria and NE Greece.

SYNOPSIS

The southwestern half of Europe is under the influence of a stable high pressure system, while southern Scandinavia, and the eastern Balkan / Black Sea region are affected by very vigorous troughs that will activate deep convection.
The mid level trough coming from the northern Atlantic Ocean intensifies as it approaches Denmark by 18Z, then ploughs into the southern Baltic Sea region where on Tuesday 06Z it should start to move into Lithuania. CAPE is weak (50-200 J/kg)
A larger trough is moving very slowly across the Balkan, where Bulgaria and southern Romania will be under more than 24 hours of intense dynamic lifting of warm air, with MUCAPE between 1000-2000 J/kg until it is removed around 18Z. The subtropical jet stream blows from SW-NE over this zone

DISCUSSION

..eastern Balkan and Black Sea region...

A strong easterly flow over the Black Sea advects a moisture-rich air mass into Bulgaria and southern Romania (11-15 g/kg mixed over 0-1 km, GFS model), with currently Td of mostly 18-20 C, even 22 degree dewpoints in central Bulgaria. The flow should replenish the supply consumed by nocturnal thunderstorms, until it is pushed eastward by the cold front, which will come with intense thunderstorm activity. Because of opposing low and mid level flow, deep layer shear (0-6 km) will be over 30 m/s and 0-3 km storm-relative helicity ranges between 250 and 400 m2/s2 in the unstable airmass. Therefore, conditions look very favorable for a high concentration of severe storms, with supercells and squall lines bringing very large hail, severe wind gusts (Cordfidi>25 m/s, Delta Theta-e>20K S Bulgaria) and perhaps a tornado (0-1 km shear generally remains below 10 m/s, except along the BG-RO border). The combination of high PW, high column relative humidity, strong convergence and slow storm motion makes severe convective precipitation intensity and duration likely across northern Bulgaria and southern Romania with extensive flash flooding possible. As the system moves into the Black Sea during the evening, a strong cap prevents eastward propagation of the storms, but they likely will remain active along the Romanian and Moldovan coast, fed by strong low level moisture transport vectors.

...southern Scandinavia, southern Baltic Sea, northern Germany and northen Poland...

Low CAPE but strong dynamics and moderate shear in low and mid levels will be present at 18-21Z when the trough enters Denmark, southern Sweden and N Germany. A well-defined surface convergence line seems to be missing according to GFS output while the 3 km theta-e fields show an intensifying mid-level cold front. Shear is mostly friction-induced and reaches over 12 m/s 0-1 km over parts of Denmark, N Germany and N Poland, which could allow an isolated tornado, while gusts seem to remain under 20 m/s. A level 1 does not appear to be

http://www.estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygon/showforecast.cgi?text=yes&fcstfile=2017070406_201707030354_3_stormforecast.xml

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Ok i am trying really hard here to find a skyline cam that has a storm in it's path and found the only cam in  Austria lol,i don't know which way it is facing but we will find out soon.

Altenmarkt im Pongau - Austria SSE of Salzburg

https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/austria/salzburg/altenmarkt-im-pongau/altenmarkt-im-pongau.html

Edited by Allseasons-si

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Morisco123 said:

A few photos of yesterdays lightning. Fingers crossed for Sunday!

Storm 1.jpg

Storm 3.jpg

 

Storm 5.JPG

Storm 6.JPG

Love the photo's Morisco123 but maybe you should post them in the uk storm and convective thread,maybe you thought that it was lol,this is the European storm and convective thread:)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
16 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

Ok i am trying really hard here to find a skyline cam that has a storm in it's path and found the only cam in  Austria lol,i don't know which way it is facing but we will find out soon.

Altenmarkt im Pongau - Austria SSE of Salzburg

https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/austria/salzburg/altenmarkt-im-pongau/altenmarkt-im-pongau.html

A flash on there a minute ago. 

Nothing again at the moment.

Edited by matt111

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Restore formatting

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


×
×
  • Create New...