Model Output Discussion - 1st August 00z---------->

[Frosty.]

The Ecm 12z ensemble mean shows high pressure domination from the end of this week onwards. It looks to me like we are in for a prolonged very pleasant early autumn spell which is especially good news for the north of the UK which has endured a dreadful summer, this looks like a nationwide fine spell at last.

[Jezzer]

The Ecm 12z ensemble mean shows high pressure domination from the end of this week onwards. It looks to me like we are in for a prolonged very pleasant early autumn spell which is especially good news for the north of the UK which has endured a dreadful summer, this looks like a nationwide fine spell at last.

 

September really is the new August  

[knocker]

Morning Nouska

 

Out of interest just looked at the comparison 18z GEFS and (P) anomalies. Not a huge difference but perhaps the T574 does push the HP a little further east. Also a possibility of a breakdown from the south later in the ext period. I think the idea behind this is if the HP drifts ENE and is not accompanied by any significant rise in pressure to the SW the low pressure over Spain could possible come into play.

Charts courtesy weatherbell

Edited September 1, 2015 by knocker

[Polar Maritime]

A new thread coming up for the start of Autumn, So please hold off posting for a moment.

 

New thread here https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/83901-model-output-discussion-1st-september-00z/

Edited September 1, 2015 by Polar Maritime