Summer heat

[h2005__uk__]

I've a few questions about summer heat which I haven't been able to find the answers to elsewhere.

Hopefully someone may be able to answer!

- What's the average number of days per summer that 30C is reached in East Anglia or the SE?

- Is it possible to reach such temperatures without a plume (i.e. can they be 'home grown')?

- Does any model have a good track record of forecasting plumes and the such-like ahead of the reliable timeframe?

Thank you

[Fourty Point Three Degrees]

- Average about 3 days a year of 30C, not sure about Anglia but definatly SE gets 3i0C every year whilst Manchester about once every 3 years.

 

- Upto 35C can be reached without anything drawn in off Europe depending on Wind, Cloud and importantly how dry the air is.

 

- About 50% models predictions are correct

[h2005__uk__]

Thanks.

 

I suppose any home-grown heat would rely on a high-pressure system sitting over us which builds and builds the temperatures.

[chrcoluk]

when that high pressure got stuck over us for most of july 2 years ago (azore high) I think that was home grown heat.  Was very hot miserable weather.