Storm & Convective Discussion - 02/07/15 Onward - Heat & Plumes

[macuk83]

22.1c in Brecon mid Wales,very humid, hoping that blob near Merthyr intensifies and hits hear.

[Chris K]

Remembering 17th July last year when the radar was clear around this time then numerous storms erupted from the South coast soon after 22.00 .

 

Indeed, Met Office shoes initiation around W country for 2200 hours with development becoming more widespread following this.

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

Remembering 17th July last year when the radar was clear around this time then numerous storms erupted from the South coast soon after 22.00 .

Yep as was the case on July 23rd 2013. All I was seeing were skies like this, then started hearing the booming at midnight! BBC had it spot on that night too. Still insistent on their latest forecast of severe thunderstorms!

[Yenneffer]

Hey I'm new.is there gonna be any thunderstorms in Bournemouth hehe

[ancientsolar]

large blobs of rain - most likely remnants of ice/hail at cloud level

I understand, ~ that shower came over us was very very heavy looking,. but it didn't produce much, may'be there's quite a high density of precipitation that isn't making it to the ground or/and being kept up by updraft.. 

[Yenneffer]

Yep as was the case on July 23rd 2013. All I was seeing were skies like this, then started hearing the booming at midnight! BBC had it spot on that night too. Still insistent on their latest forecast of severe thunderstorms!

i remember that night at 11pm boom

[tomp456]

Hey I'm new.is there gonna be any thunderstorms in Bournemouth hehe

Welcome!!! Good chance!! You are in prime location! 

[Paul Sherman]

At a 50th until 2230 so hoping it continues to hold off - Lol

[> mark]

Ha, a fellow Bucks resident. The rebellion brewery is over Marlow way right? Few pints of rebellion and a storm on the cards eh?

Absolutely my friend, that tankard is Blonde freshly purchased this evening :-) At danger tho of falling asleep before any action here this evening! lol

[Guest]

I seem to remember at the beginning of this week forecasting some records going down on Wednesday. A new July hottest temp record was duly set. However at the time, my prediction was jumped on by a few trigger happy contributors

 

This time, I predicted a distinct lack of significant storms let alone super cells and it looks like the very same. It just goes to show that weather models tend to be unreliable. I wonder if the new supercomputer at the met office will overcome this in time...who knows?

 

Enjoy the nice sunset with a juicy barbecue!

[ancientsolar]

Plymouth rain looking torrential now! 

Also first Sferic goes to Aberystwyth Congratulations!!!

Edited July 3, 2015 by ancientsolar

[Panayiotis]

First land sferics detected over W Wales, feeling v.humid here in Cardiff T@23C DP@12.5C

Edited July 3, 2015 by Panayiotis

[Matty23]

we have lighting

[SupaSnowy]

Remembering 17th July last year when the radar was clear around this time then numerous storms erupted from the South coast soon after 22.00 .

 

I remember that day, I took these below. Hope to get something tonight with my new camera and lens.

[radiohead]

I see we have liftoff in Wales now. First storm there.

[Candice]

He he shall be looking your way, I'm on other side of the Wash at Sunny Hunny!

*waves*. Snettisham

[Karl83]

OK cheers guys! Guess I'll have a small Pimms whilst I wait!

[A.J]

first mainland sferics...near Aberystwth

[jessandjon]

Plymouth rain looking torrential now!

Also first Sferic goes to Aberystwyth Congratulations!!!

there is nothing falling from the sky!! Edited July 3, 2015 by jessandjon

[Uncle_Barty]

Hey I'm new.is there gonna be any thunderstorms in Bournemouth hehe

 

I suspect not. think it will all form north and west of here.

The somewhat disturbed looking mid-level cloud formations seem to have gone and clouds melting away here.

 

Not going to rule it out altogether, of course, but unless something blows up very quickly to the south, we're in for a quiet and probably dry night here.

Edited July 3, 2015 by Uncle_Barty

[ancientsolar]

there is nothing falling from the sky!!

Must be aliens! Invisible aliens! the size of large spiders

[Mokidugway]

there is nothing falling from the sky!!

cat under the Peugeot seems to think so !!!!.

[jessandjon]

Must be aliens! Invisible aliens! the size of large spiders

Must be

[thunderhead 2005]

As the cold front begins to move NE it will collide with the unstable airmass, so ppl in the areas of highest cape should start to see cells spurt up across the channel and move N/NE. the most unstable cape is around 23:00 around CS England so it's slowly moving in

[jessandjon]

cat under the Peugeot seems to think so !!!!.

he's waiting for the rain!!!