Storm & Convective Discussion - 02/07/15 Onward - Heat & Plumes

[tomp456]

Remember models are just a guide they are often wrong and storms will pop up from seemingly nowhere even though the computers didn't predict it.(like the other night storms were east of where forecast) If like me you are in the middle of this west/east split keep positive you never know, the ingredients are there, stay positive..... (says me lol, usually the first to whinge) 

 

Time for some beer!!! And if on the off chance we get something here, it will be time for another round of beer! 

[Harry]

Just had a look at what the MetOffice has put on its rainfall radar forecast map. Appears to be somethimg big moving north east between 2300 and 0100am through London.

What's everyones thoughts??

My thoughts are as follows:

1. Make sure your phone/camera/camcorder is fully charged - if you have a tripod, set it up now

2. Have a small drink (if of age of course) and chill

3. Keep tabs on this thread of as people post regular updates on developments

4. As the skies darken around sunset, commence perusing the southern and western skies for flashes.

Model and chart gazing of little consequence from now on in. Nobody can give you an answer - just sit back, relax and enjoy the night ahead

I'm further east of you so if you don't get at least a light show, I sure as he'll won't.

Oh and IF you must go to sleep, heavens bells set an alarm for no later than midnight!!!!

[Jet Streak]

Mid Channel echoes starting to appear doesn't look like anaprop, temp 25.1c dew 17c sky looks unstable mid level towers going up.

[ancientsolar]

Sky gone very dark here in the Welsh Valleys

Edited July 3, 2015 by ancientsolar

[A.J]

latest NW v6 radar.....forget the stuff north of Southampton, it's anaprop, but look at the rapid development over the west country/south wales.....

 

[Gordon Webb]

I have one crumb of comfort when it's get going and move north it will happen fairly smartly none of these 12 hours journeys these things sometimes take

Edited July 3, 2015 by Gordon Webb

[Andy Pepler]

ok for one night only i have put one of my hd cams online and streaming .. its pointing west towards the mendips(houses are in the way )  but its streaming hd ill put the audio on later  https://www.ustream.tv/broadcaster/8210760

Edited July 3, 2015 by Andy Pepler

[Gordon Webb]

latest NW v6 radar.....forget the stuff north of Southampton, it's anaprop, but look at the rapid development over the west country/south wales.....

 

Untitled.jpg

 

isn't that zone 1 according to torro

[80sWeather]

I have my camera primed and ready I am two minutes from the beach looking out over the wash towards Norfolk so fingers crossed. temp dropped earlier and got quite gusty but has gone back up now and I gone calm out there. bring on the action!

He he shall be looking your way, I'm on other side of the Wash at Sunny Hunny!

Edited July 3, 2015 by 80sWeather

[Rain123]

Anaprop in the Winchester/Salisbury area is beginning to annoy me.

 

However genuine showers seem to be breaking out over West Somerset and Devon.

Whats an Anaprop?

[80sWeather]

From looking at the radar, perhaps some developements just starting in south wales

 

My dads in skegness tonight, he will be shaw to phone me if anything goes down.

Nice one.

[Dean E]

Real mix of Altocumulus and Cirrus right now here on the South Coast

 

Temp 24c DP 18c

 

 

[Harry]

Walking home from the station and the skies are absolutely filled AcCas flooding in from the SSW (or so it appears). Good signs still coming chaps an chappettes

[alibabba]

From looking at the radar, perhaps some developements just starting in south wales

 

My dads in skegness tonight, he will be shaw to phone me if anything goes down.

I'm in Skegness :-)

[Wet'n'Dry]

Nothing is going to happen. Been there and got the T-shirt. Perhaps a slight risk between Oxford and Boston, and a risk of an extreme event in the SE. 

[Buckster]

Sky looking very promising in Essex lots of bubbling ACCAS

[Rain123]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anomalous_propagation

Cheers.

 

I see Altocumulus (?) developing. Looks good for storms.

[Chris K]

Rapid development of cells seems to be commencing across S Wales and parts of SW England going by latest radar.

[Harry]

Can report humidity has now shot up in Bexley, coinciding with the Ac/AcCas flood and brief strong breeze.

[Jet Streak]

Jersey Airport reporting Cumulonimbus. 

[Hector the Convector]

Humid in Exeter, hope we get a great thunderstorm and rain to clear the air, does anyone know our chances? Thankyou

Wouldn't have thought it'll be long before you see something in your neck of the woods. There's an area of showers to the south of Plymouth that will probably expand north and eastwards over the next few hours. Anyhow, hope you get a great storm! Very humid here too..

[Mokidugway]

TCU 's going up all over the South looking at the satellite !!.

[80sWeather]

I'm on holiday with the family but still glued to this thread oh Lord forgive me!

[Grazy2266]

A bit of development over me at the moment, in Aylesbury, just cloud building at the moment with a few nice tops growing seen on my journey home from work in Thame. I suppose if anything home grown happens it will develop in the south and give the north the display. We like breeding in the home counties and sending storms north lol. At the moment my thought is west is best lol 

[Michael Jd Scott]

Sky is looking very ominous here in the south.e Welsh valleys,gone very still and calm and very heavy,loads of little annoying bugs flying about...looking like the heavens will open anytime soon ðŸ˜fingers crossed for a little bit of t&l 👌